LPLWeek 7
TOP ESPORTS
VS
May 15, 11:00
Bo3
BILIBILI GAMING
Series Predictions
TOP ESPORTS
BILIBILI GAMING
LightGBM
Premium
PCA Sweep
Premium
Head-to-Head & Form
Top Esports
Elo Rating 1600
Tournament Record —
Overall Record 27W - 24L (52.9%)
Current Streak 6W
H2H Win Rate 45.6%
VS
Bilibili Gaming
Elo Rating 1901
Tournament Record —
Overall Record 43W - 17L (71.7%)
Current Streak 3W
H2H Win Rate 54.4%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Expected Win Rate Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
+35% expected WR
Impact 18.4% Bilibili Gaming
2
Elo x Format Elo x FormatElo gap weighted by match format. Elo matters MORE in BO5 (variance dampens) and LESS in BO1.
+0.452
Impact 18.4% Bilibili Gaming
3
Elo Rating
+301 Elo
Impact 17.5% Bilibili Gaming
4
Form Momentum GPM
+11 GPM
Impact 7.4% Bilibili Gaming
5
Patch Avg Kills Patch Avg KillsAverage kills per game on the current patch only.
+2.733
Impact 6.2% Bilibili Gaming
6
Form Momentum DPM
+87 DPM
Impact 5.3% Bilibili Gaming
7
Elo x Gold Diff @15
+0.277
Impact 2.5% Bilibili Gaming
8
Objective Control Objective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
+0.436
Impact 1.9% Bilibili Gaming
9
Early to Late Game Momentum Early to Late Game MomentumHow well the team transitions from a strong early game into a strong late game (positive = lategame scaling, negative = early-game fade).
+0.352
Impact 1.8% Top Esports
10
Gold Diff @15
+184 gold @15
Impact 1.7% Top Esports
Scouting Report
Top Esports BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Bilibili Gaming RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (72%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Higher first blood rate