Weekly Model Reports

Transparent, timestamped accuracy tracking for every prediction Riftcast makes.

FastTree
Series accuracy 73.4% 168 / 229
Game accuracy 72.2% 249 / 345
LightGBM
Series accuracy 72.6% 156 / 215
Game accuracy 71.8% 249 / 347
PCA Sweep
Series accuracy 74.0% 171 / 231
Game accuracy 74.7% 266 / 356
Consensus
Series accuracy 74.4% 169 / 227
Game accuracy 75.0% 261 / 348

Aggregated from 7 weekly reports.

Jun 1 — Jun 7, 2026 27 evaluated series
FastTree Series 65% Games 63%LightGBM Series 64% Games 60%PCA Sweep Series 64% Games 66%Consensus Series 64% Games 64%
May 25 — May 31, 2026 43 evaluated series
FastTree Series 74% Games 74%LightGBM Series 72% Games 71%PCA Sweep Series 76% Games 77%Consensus Series 74% Games 71%
May 18 — May 24, 2026 45 evaluated series
FastTree Series 73% Games 73%LightGBM Series 71% Games 75%PCA Sweep Series 71% Games 73%Consensus Series 70% Games 77%
May 11 — May 17, 2026 25 evaluated series
FastTree Series 79% Games 72%LightGBM Series 76% Games 73%PCA Sweep Series 76% Games 69%Consensus Series 79% Games 75%
May 4 — May 10, 2026 27 evaluated series
FastTree Series 73% Games 70%LightGBM Series 82% Games 70%PCA Sweep Series 78% Games 71%Consensus Series 80% Games 74%
Apr 27 — May 3, 2026 33 evaluated series
FastTree Series 76% Games 76%LightGBM Series 76% Games 70%PCA Sweep Series 77% Games 80%Consensus Series 77% Games 78%
Apr 20 — Apr 26, 2026 42 evaluated series
FastTree Series 73% Games 75%LightGBM Series 69% Games 80%PCA Sweep Series 75% Games 84%Consensus Series 77% Games 83%