RIFTCAST Weekly model report
Oct 19–Oct 25, 2026 Last completed week · all leagues 21 evaluated series

Weekly overview

Series and game accuracy across every prediction evaluated this week.

FastTree
Series accuracy 47.1% 8 / 17
Game accuracy 50.0% 6 / 12
LightGBM
Series accuracy 47.4% 9 / 19
Game accuracy 45.5% 5 / 11
PCA Sweep
Series accuracy 43.8% 7 / 16
Game accuracy 53.8% 7 / 13
Consensus
Series accuracy 44.4% 8 / 18
Game accuracy 45.5% 5 / 11

Per-market performance

Accuracy across every settled prediction, plus flat-stake ROI on the value engine's positive-EV picks - broken down by market.

FastTree
Market Accuracy ROI
Series Winner 47% 8/17 +83% 1 pick
Game Winner 50% 6/12 -40% 5 picks
Series Handicap 33% 1/3 +62% 2 picks
Total Maps 33% 1/3 --
Exact Score 33% 1/3 -100% 1 pick
Total 45% 17/38 -10% -0.9u
LightGBM
Market Accuracy ROI
Series Winner 47% 9/19 -100% 1 pick
Game Winner 45% 5/11 -25% 4 picks
Series Handicap 33% 1/3 +62% 2 picks
Total Maps 33% 1/3 --
Exact Score 33% 1/3 -100% 1 pick
Total 44% 17/39 -22% -1.8u
PCA Sweep
Market Accuracy ROI
Series Winner 44% 7/16 --
Game Winner 54% 7/13 --
Series Handicap 33% 1/3 -30% 2 picks
Total Maps 33% 1/3 --
Exact Score 0% 0/3 -100% 1 pick
Total 42% 16/38 -53% -1.6u
Consensus
Market Accuracy ROI
Series Winner 44% 8/18 --
Game Winner 45% 5/11 -40% 5 picks
Series Handicap 33% 1/3 +62% 2 picks
Total Maps 33% 1/3 --
Exact Score 33% 1/3 -100% 1 pick
Total 42% 16/38 -22% -1.8u

Match results

21 completed series with evaluated predictions, grouped by match day.

THURSDAY October 22, 2026
1 SERIES
EMEA Masters 12:00
Galions
3 - 2
Solary
FastTree1/2
SERIES 58%
GAME 5 41%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES 41%
GAME 5 46%
PCA Sweep0/2
SERIES 37%
GAME 5 39%
Consensus0/2
SERIES 44%
GAME 5 42%
FRIDAY October 23, 2026
7 SERIES
Worlds 17:00
Gen.G Esports
1 - 0
Invictus Gaming
FastTree1/1
SERIES 75%
GAME 1 51%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES 63%
GAME 1 55%
PCA Sweep2/2
SERIES 74%
GAME 1 59%
Consensus1/1
SERIES 70%
GAME 1 55%
Worlds 18:00
Hanwha Life Esports
1 - 0
TOP ESPORTS
FastTree1/1
SERIES 63%
GAME 1 48%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES 67%
GAME 1 47%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES 70%
GAME 1 46%
Consensus1/1
SERIES 67%
GAME 1 47%
Worlds 19:00
BILIBILI GAMING
0 - 1
Movistar KOI
FastTree0/1
SERIES 26%
GAME 1 48%
LightGBM0/2
SERIES 39%
GAME 1 45%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES 41%
GAME 1 46%
Consensus0/1
SERIES 36%
GAME 1 46%
Worlds 20:00
Anyone's Legend
0 - 1
Karmine Corp
FastTree1/1
SERIES 51%
GAME 1 59%
LightGBM2/2
SERIES 55%
GAME 1 60%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES 54%
GAME 1 62%
Consensus1/1
SERIES 53%
GAME 1 60%
Worlds 21:00
G2 Esports
0 - 1
Dplus KIA
FastTree0/1
SERIES 41%
GAME 1 51%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES 40%
GAME 1 47%
PCA Sweep--
SERIES 48%
GAME 1 50%
Consensus0/1
SERIES 43%
GAME 1 50%
Worlds 22:00
Team Liquid Alienware
0 - 1
CTBC Flying Oyster
FastTree0/2
SERIES 27%
GAME 1 23%
LightGBM0/2
SERIES 17%
GAME 1 25%
PCA Sweep0/2
SERIES 39%
GAME 1 26%
Consensus0/2
SERIES 28%
GAME 1 25%
Worlds 23:00
LOS
0 - 1
T1
FastTree1/1
SERIES 48%
GAME 1 57%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES 72%
GAME 1 47%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES 60%
GAME 1 52%
Consensus1/1
SERIES 60%
GAME 1 52%
SATURDAY October 24, 2026
8 SERIES
Worlds 00:00
Team Secret Whales
0 - 1
LYON
FastTree0/1
SERIES 33%
GAME 1 52%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES 26%
GAME 1 52%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES 42%
GAME 1 50%
Consensus0/1
SERIES 34%
GAME 1 52%
Worlds 17:00
Anyone's Legend
0 - 1
TOP ESPORTS
FastTree0/1
SERIES 34%
GAME 1 51%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES 38%
GAME 1 54%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES 33%
GAME 1 51%
Consensus0/1
SERIES 35%
GAME 1 52%
Worlds 18:00
CTBC Flying Oyster
0 - 1
Movistar KOI
FastTree2/2
SERIES 56%
GAME 1 61%
LightGBM2/2
SERIES 58%
GAME 1 59%
PCA Sweep2/2
SERIES 62%
GAME 1 63%
Consensus2/2
SERIES 59%
GAME 1 61%
Worlds 19:00
G2 Esports
1 - 0
LOS
FastTree1/1
SERIES 66%
GAME 1 51%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES 64%
GAME 1 52%
PCA Sweep2/2
SERIES 61%
GAME 1 57%
Consensus1/1
SERIES 63%
GAME 1 53%
Worlds 20:00
LYON
1 - 0
Karmine Corp
FastTree0/2
SERIES 39%
GAME 1 37%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES 48%
GAME 1 36%
PCA Sweep0/2
SERIES 40%
GAME 1 34%
Consensus0/2
SERIES 43%
GAME 1 36%
Worlds 21:00
Team Secret Whales
0 - 1
Invictus Gaming
FastTree0/2
SERIES 36%
GAME 1 42%
LightGBM0/2
SERIES 21%
GAME 1 36%
PCA Sweep0/2
SERIES 30%
GAME 1 33%
Consensus0/2
SERIES 29%
GAME 1 37%
Worlds 22:00
Gen.G Esports
1 - 0
Hanwha Life Esports
FastTree1/1
SERIES 62%
GAME 1 49%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES 64%
GAME 1 51%
PCA Sweep--
SERIES 50%
GAME 1 48%
Consensus1/1
SERIES 58%
GAME 1 49%
Worlds 23:00
T1
0 - 1
Dplus KIA
FastTree--
SERIES 53%
GAME 1 54%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES 32%
GAME 1 51%
PCA Sweep--
SERIES 52%
GAME 1 52%
Consensus--
SERIES 46%
GAME 1 52%
SUNDAY October 25, 2026
5 SERIES
Worlds 00:00
Team Liquid Alienware
0 - 1
BILIBILI GAMING
FastTree1/1
SERIES 59%
GAME 1 49%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES 65%
GAME 1 47%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES 64%
GAME 1 48%
Consensus1/1
SERIES 63%
GAME 1 48%
Worlds 17:00
Hanwha Life Esports
0 - 1
Invictus Gaming
FastTree0/1
SERIES 37%
GAME 1 48%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES 33%
GAME 1 52%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES 26%
GAME 1 51%
Consensus0/1
SERIES 31%
GAME 1 51%
Worlds 18:00
TOP ESPORTS
1 - 0
G2 Esports
FastTree0/1
SERIES 37%
GAME 1 54%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES 38%
GAME 1 53%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES 36%
GAME 1 48%
Consensus0/1
SERIES 37%
GAME 1 52%
Worlds 19:00
Movistar KOI
0 - 2
Dplus KIA
FastTree1/2
SERIES 55%
GAME 1 44%
GAME 2 61%
LightGBM1/2
SERIES 54%
GAME 1 44%
GAME 2 59%
PCA Sweep1/2
SERIES 49%
GAME 1 44%
GAME 2 56%
Consensus1/2
SERIES 52%
GAME 1 44%
GAME 2 59%
Worlds 22:00
Gen.G Esports
2 - 1
LYON
FastTree3/4
SERIES 81%
GAME 1 43%
GAME 2 65%
GAME 3 67%
LightGBM3/4
SERIES 78%
GAME 1 40%
GAME 2 73%
GAME 3 73%
PCA Sweep3/4
SERIES 74%
GAME 1 37%
GAME 2 73%
GAME 3 74%
Consensus3/4
SERIES 77%
GAME 1 40%
GAME 2 70%
GAME 3 71%