RIFTCAST
Weekly model report
Oct 12–Oct 18, 2026
Last completed week · all leagues
8 evaluated series
Weekly overview
Series and game accuracy across every prediction evaluated this week.
FastTree
Series accuracy
85.7%
6 / 7
Game accuracy
44.4%
4 / 9
LightGBM
Series accuracy
75.0%
6 / 8
Game accuracy
57.1%
4 / 7
PCA Sweep
Series accuracy
87.5%
7 / 8
Game accuracy
57.1%
4 / 7
Consensus
Series accuracy
85.7%
6 / 7
Game accuracy
57.1%
4 / 7
Per-market performance
Accuracy across every settled prediction, plus flat-stake ROI on the value engine's positive-EV picks - broken down by market.
FastTree
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 86% 6/7 | -- |
| Game Winner | 44% 4/9 | -8% 2 picks |
| Series Handicap | 75% 6/8 | -- |
| Total Maps | 50% 4/8 | +67% 3 picks |
| Exact Score | 12% 1/8 | +240% 1 pick |
| Total | 52% 21/40 | +71% +4.2u |
LightGBM
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 75% 6/8 | -35% 2 picks |
| Game Winner | 57% 4/7 | -8% 2 picks |
| Series Handicap | 75% 6/8 | -- |
| Total Maps | 50% 4/8 | -- |
| Exact Score | 12% 1/8 | +13% 3 picks |
| Total | 54% 21/39 | -7% -0.5u |
PCA Sweep
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 88% 7/8 | -- |
| Game Winner | 57% 4/7 | -- |
| Series Handicap | 75% 6/8 | +69% 2 picks |
| Total Maps | 50% 4/8 | +56% 4 picks |
| Exact Score | 12% 1/8 | +240% 1 pick |
| Total | 56% 22/39 | +86% +6.0u |
Consensus
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 86% 6/7 | -- |
| Game Winner | 57% 4/7 | +83% 1 pick |
| Series Handicap | 75% 6/8 | +69% 2 picks |
| Total Maps | 50% 4/8 | +67% 3 picks |
| Exact Score | 12% 1/8 | +240% 1 pick |
| Total | 55% 21/38 | +94% +6.6u |
Match results
8 completed series with evaluated predictions, grouped by match day.
MONDAY
October 12, 2026
2 SERIESDemacia Cup Global Invitational
06:00
KT Rolster
3
-
2
Team VitalityFastTree1/1
SERIES
72%
72%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
77%
77%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
73%
73%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
74%
74%
Demacia Cup Global Invitational
09:00
BNK FearX
3
-
2
JD GamingFastTree1/1
SERIES
72%
72%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
67%
67%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
67%
67%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
69%
69%
TUESDAY
October 13, 2026
3 SERIESDemacia Cup Global Invitational
06:00
Team WE
3
-
2
FlyQuestFastTree1/1
SERIES
74%
74%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
82%
82%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
75%
75%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
77%
77%
Demacia Cup Global Invitational
09:00
HANJIN BRION
3
-
1
LGD GamingFastTree--
SERIES
52%
52%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
66%
66%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
57%
57%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
58%
58%
EMEA Masters
16:00
Galions
3
-
0
Movistar KOI FénixFastTree3/4
SERIES
75%
75%
GAME 1
58%
58%
GAME 2
43%
43%
GAME 3
57%
57%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
81%
81%
GAME 1
64%
64%
GAME 2
52%
52%
GAME 3
65%
65%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
84%
84%
GAME 1
62%
62%
GAME 2
49%
49%
GAME 3
66%
66%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
80%
80%
GAME 1
61%
61%
GAME 2
48%
48%
GAME 3
63%
63%
WEDNESDAY
October 14, 2026
1 SERIESEMEA Masters
16:00
Anubis Gaming
1
-
3
SolaryFastTree2/2
SERIES
59%
59%
GAME 4
59%
59%
LightGBM1/2
SERIES
44%
44%
GAME 4
59%
59%
PCA Sweep2/2
SERIES
59%
59%
GAME 4
64%
64%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
55%
55%
GAME 4
61%
61%
THURSDAY
October 15, 2026
1 SERIESWorlds
18:00
Cloud9 Kia
2
-
3
Karmine CorpFastTree2/5
SERIES
60%
60%
GAME 1
39%
39%
GAME 2
45%
45%
GAME 3
43%
43%
GAME 4
47%
47%
GAME 5
60%
60%
LightGBM2/4
SERIES
60%
60%
GAME 1
38%
38%
GAME 2
51%
51%
GAME 3
38%
38%
GAME 4
53%
53%
GAME 5
64%
64%
PCA Sweep2/4
SERIES
60%
60%
GAME 1
38%
38%
GAME 2
50%
50%
GAME 3
37%
37%
GAME 4
52%
52%
GAME 5
65%
65%
Consensus2/4
SERIES
60%
60%
GAME 1
38%
38%
GAME 2
49%
49%
GAME 3
39%
39%
GAME 4
51%
51%
GAME 5
63%
63%
FRIDAY
October 16, 2026
1 SERIESWorlds
23:00
Cloud9 Kia
1
-
3
FURIAFastTree0/2
SERIES
29%
29%
GAME 1
49%
49%
GAME 2
39%
39%
GAME 3
49%
49%
GAME 4
53%
53%
LightGBM0/2
SERIES
32%
32%
GAME 1
49%
49%
GAME 2
37%
37%
GAME 3
49%
49%
GAME 4
52%
52%
PCA Sweep0/2
SERIES
24%
24%
GAME 1
48%
48%
GAME 2
41%
41%
GAME 3
51%
51%
GAME 4
53%
53%
Consensus0/2
SERIES
28%
28%
GAME 1
49%
49%
GAME 2
39%
39%
GAME 3
49%
49%
GAME 4
53%
53%