RIFTCAST
Weekly model report
Oct 5–Oct 11, 2026
Last completed week · all leagues
13 evaluated series
Weekly overview
Series and game accuracy across every prediction evaluated this week.
FastTree
Series accuracy
87.5%
7 / 8
Game accuracy
0.0%
0 / 1
LightGBM
Series accuracy
70.0%
7 / 10
Game accuracy
0.0%
0 / 1
PCA Sweep
Series accuracy
75.0%
9 / 12
Game accuracy
0.0%
0 / 1
Consensus
Series accuracy
77.8%
7 / 9
Game accuracy
0.0%
0 / 1
Per-market performance
Accuracy across every settled prediction, plus flat-stake ROI on the value engine's positive-EV picks - broken down by market.
FastTree
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 88% 7/8 | -- |
| Game Winner | 0% 0/1 | -- |
| Series Handicap | 75% 9/12 | -- |
| Total Maps | 77% 10/13 | -- |
| Exact Score | 46% 6/13 | -- |
| Total | 68% 32/47 | -- |
LightGBM
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 70% 7/10 | -- |
| Game Winner | 0% 0/1 | -- |
| Series Handicap | 58% 7/12 | -- |
| Total Maps | 77% 10/13 | -- |
| Exact Score | 46% 6/13 | -- |
| Total | 61% 30/49 | -- |
PCA Sweep
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 75% 9/12 | -- |
| Game Winner | 0% 0/1 | -- |
| Series Handicap | 75% 9/12 | -- |
| Total Maps | 77% 10/13 | -- |
| Exact Score | 46% 6/13 | -- |
| Total | 67% 34/51 | -- |
Consensus
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 78% 7/9 | -- |
| Game Winner | 0% 0/1 | -- |
| Series Handicap | 75% 9/12 | -- |
| Total Maps | 77% 10/13 | -- |
| Exact Score | 46% 6/13 | -- |
| Total | 67% 32/48 | -- |
Match results
13 completed series with evaluated predictions, grouped by match day.
TUESDAY
October 6, 2026
3 SERIESEMEA Masters
16:00
Movistar KOI Fénix
3
-
1
Frites Esports ClubFastTree1/1
SERIES
67%
67%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
63%
63%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
65%
65%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
65%
65%
EMEA Masters
16:00
TLN Pirates
3
-
0
Bushido WildcatsFastTree1/1
SERIES
70%
70%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
59%
59%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
56%
56%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
61%
61%
EMEA Masters
16:00
Galions
3
-
0
Berlin International GamingFastTree1/1
SERIES
74%
74%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
61%
61%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
74%
74%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
70%
70%
WEDNESDAY
October 7, 2026
4 SERIESEMEA Masters
16:00
Heretics Academy
2
-
3
G2 NORDFastTree--
SERIES
49%
49%
LightGBM--
SERIES
50%
50%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
38%
38%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
45%
45%
EMEA Masters
16:00
Karmine Corp Blue
3
-
0
SkillcampFastTree1/1
SERIES
89%
89%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
85%
85%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
82%
82%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
85%
85%
EMEA Masters
16:00
Anubis Gaming
3
-
2
Ruddy CorporationFastTree1/1
SERIES
74%
74%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
80%
80%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
77%
77%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
77%
77%
EMEA Masters
16:00
Kaufland Hangry Knights
3
-
1
Unicorns of Love Sexy EditionFastTree1/1
SERIES
67%
67%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
74%
74%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
64%
64%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
68%
68%
FRIDAY
October 9, 2026
2 SERIESEMEA Masters
16:00
TLN Pirates
1
-
3
Movistar KOI FénixFastTree0/1
SERIES
40%
40%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
25%
25%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
38%
38%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
35%
35%
EMEA Masters
16:00
Kaufland Hangry Knights
0
-
3
GalionsFastTree1/1
SERIES
73%
73%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
57%
57%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
67%
67%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
66%
66%
SATURDAY
October 10, 2026
3 SERIESCBLOL
16:00
FURIA
2
-
3
LOSFastTree--
SERIES
52%
52%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
39%
39%
PCA Sweep--
SERIES
50%
50%
Consensus--
SERIES
48%
48%
EMEA Masters
16:00
G2 NORD
1
-
3
SolaryFastTree--
SERIES
53%
53%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
45%
45%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
44%
44%
Consensus--
SERIES
47%
47%
EMEA Masters
16:00
Anubis Gaming
3
-
0
Karmine Corp BlueFastTree--
SERIES
51%
51%
LightGBM--
SERIES
51%
51%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
55%
55%
Consensus--
SERIES
53%
53%
SUNDAY
October 11, 2026
1 SERIESVCS
10:00
MVK Esports Academy
3
-
0
Saigon WarriorFastTree0/1
SERIES
51%
51%
GAME 3
40%
40%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
53%
53%
GAME 3
37%
37%
PCA Sweep1/2
SERIES
56%
56%
GAME 3
37%
37%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
54%
54%
GAME 3
38%
38%