RIFTCAST Weekly model report
Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 Last completed week · all leagues 60 evaluated series

Weekly overview

Series and game accuracy across every prediction evaluated this week.

FastTree
Series accuracy 56.0% 28 / 50
Game accuracy 68.8% 11 / 16
LightGBM
Series accuracy 53.5% 23 / 43
Game accuracy 66.7% 10 / 15
PCA Sweep
Series accuracy 63.6% 28 / 44
Game accuracy 68.8% 11 / 16
Consensus
Series accuracy 62.8% 27 / 43
Game accuracy 70.6% 12 / 17

Per-market performance

Accuracy across every settled prediction, plus flat-stake ROI on the value engine's positive-EV picks - broken down by market.

FastTree
Market Accuracy ROI
Series Winner 56% 28/50 --
Game Winner 69% 11/16 --
Series Handicap 81% 13/16 --
Total Maps 75% 21/28 --
Exact Score 36% 10/28 --
Total 60% 83/138 --
LightGBM
Market Accuracy ROI
Series Winner 53% 23/43 --
Game Winner 67% 10/15 --
Series Handicap 69% 11/16 --
Total Maps 75% 21/28 --
Exact Score 39% 11/28 --
Total 58% 76/130 --
PCA Sweep
Market Accuracy ROI
Series Winner 64% 28/44 --
Game Winner 69% 11/16 --
Series Handicap 62% 10/16 --
Total Maps 75% 21/28 --
Exact Score 43% 12/28 --
Total 62% 82/132 --
Consensus
Market Accuracy ROI
Series Winner 63% 27/43 --
Game Winner 71% 12/17 --
Series Handicap 69% 11/16 --
Total Maps 75% 21/28 --
Exact Score 39% 11/28 --
Total 62% 82/132 --

Match results

60 completed series with evaluated predictions, grouped by match day.

MONDAY September 28, 2026
17 SERIES
WSCI 06:00
T1 Esports Academy
3 - 1
Cupid Esports
FastTree--
SERIES 53%
GAME 4 54%
LightGBM--
SERIES 52%
GAME 4 54%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES 54%
GAME 4 56%
Consensus--
SERIES 53%
GAME 4 54%
WSCI 09:00
KT Rolster Challengers
0 - 3
Galions
FastTree2/2
SERIES 64%
GAME 3 63%
LightGBM2/2
SERIES 68%
GAME 3 71%
PCA Sweep2/2
SERIES 76%
GAME 3 70%
Consensus2/2
SERIES 71%
GAME 3 68%
EMEA Masters 16:00
Anubis Gaming
1 - 0
Skillcamp
FastTree1/1
SERIES 66%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES 55%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES 62%
Consensus1/1
SERIES 61%
EMEA Masters 16:00
G2 NORD
1 - 0
Frites Esports Club
FastTree0/1
SERIES 43%
LightGBM--
SERIES 49%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES 58%
Consensus--
SERIES 51%
EMEA Masters 16:00
PCIFIC Esports
1 - 0
UCAM Esports Club
FastTree0/1
SERIES 38%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES 39%
PCA Sweep--
SERIES 47%
Consensus0/1
SERIES 42%
EMEA Masters 16:00
eSuba
0 - 1
LODIS
FastTree1/1
SERIES 62%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES 76%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES 57%
Consensus1/1
SERIES 65%
EMEA Masters 17:00
TLN Pirates
1 - 0
JSK Gamefy
FastTree1/1
SERIES 57%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES 68%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES 63%
Consensus1/1
SERIES 63%
EMEA Masters 17:00
Kaufland Hangry Knights
1 - 0
Senshi eSports
FastTree--
SERIES 50%
LightGBM--
SERIES 54%
PCA Sweep--
SERIES 55%
Consensus--
SERIES 53%
EMEA Masters 17:00
Team Phantasma
0 - 1
Otter Side
FastTree1/1
SERIES 59%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES 39%
PCA Sweep--
SERIES 53%
Consensus--
SERIES 51%
EMEA Masters 17:00
BOMBA Team
1 - 0
Avella SU Esports
FastTree--
SERIES 47%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES 43%
PCA Sweep--
SERIES 47%
Consensus--
SERIES 46%
EMEA Masters 18:00
Karmine Corp Blue
1 - 0
NightBirds
FastTree0/1
SERIES 38%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES 35%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES 42%
Consensus0/1
SERIES 38%
EMEA Masters 18:00
Berlin International Gaming
1 - 0
MAGAZA
FastTree1/1
SERIES 62%
LightGBM--
SERIES 52%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES 60%
Consensus1/1
SERIES 58%
EMEA Masters 18:00
Colossal Gaming
1 - 0
White Dragons
FastTree0/1
SERIES 25%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES 17%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES 28%
Consensus0/1
SERIES 24%
EMEA Masters 19:00
Bushido Wildcats
0 - 1
Ruddy Corporation
FastTree--
SERIES 51%
LightGBM--
SERIES 50%
PCA Sweep--
SERIES 55%
Consensus--
SERIES 52%
EMEA Masters 19:00
HMBLE
0 - 1
Unicorns of Love Sexy Edition
FastTree0/1
SERIES 41%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES 31%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES 42%
Consensus0/1
SERIES 38%
EMEA Masters 19:00
Forsaken
0 - 1
Barça Esports
FastTree0/1
SERIES 43%
LightGBM--
SERIES 46%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES 39%
Consensus0/1
SERIES 42%
EMEA Masters 19:00
The Secret Club
0 - 1
Gamespace M.C.
FastTree0/1
SERIES 43%
LightGBM--
SERIES 46%
PCA Sweep--
SERIES 53%
Consensus--
SERIES 48%
TUESDAY September 29, 2026
15 SERIES
EMEA Masters 15:00
G2 NORD
1 - 0
Ruddy Corporation
FastTree1/1
SERIES 56%
LightGBM--
SERIES 51%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES 61%
Consensus1/1
SERIES 56%
EMEA Masters 15:00
Colossal Gaming
1 - 0
Avella SU Esports
FastTree0/1
SERIES 38%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES 30%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES 36%
Consensus0/1
SERIES 35%
EMEA Masters 15:00
MAGAZA
1 - 0
Barça Esports
FastTree1/1
SERIES 58%
LightGBM--
SERIES 49%
PCA Sweep--
SERIES 55%
Consensus--
SERIES 54%
EMEA Masters 16:00
Berlin International Gaming
0 - 1
BOMBA Team
FastTree--
SERIES 45%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES 44%
PCA Sweep--
SERIES 47%
Consensus--
SERIES 45%
EMEA Masters 16:00
PCIFIC Esports
0 - 1
NightBirds
FastTree1/1
SERIES 73%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES 65%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES 55%
Consensus1/1
SERIES 63%
EMEA Masters 16:00
JSK Gamefy
0 - 1
Unicorns of Love Sexy Edition
FastTree1/1
SERIES 64%
LightGBM--
SERIES 52%
PCA Sweep--
SERIES 53%
Consensus1/1
SERIES 56%
EMEA Masters 16:00
Frites Esports Club
1 - 0
Gamespace M.C.
FastTree1/1
SERIES 70%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES 62%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES 65%
Consensus1/1
SERIES 65%
EMEA Masters 17:00
Kaufland Hangry Knights
1 - 0
Otter Side
FastTree--
SERIES 48%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES 62%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES 58%
Consensus1/1
SERIES 56%
EMEA Masters 17:00
Bushido Wildcats
1 - 0
UCAM Esports Club
FastTree0/1
SERIES 41%
LightGBM--
SERIES 50%
PCA Sweep--
SERIES 49%
Consensus--
SERIES 47%
EMEA Masters 17:00
HMBLE
0 - 1
Senshi eSports
FastTree0/1
SERIES 29%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES 36%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES 35%
Consensus0/1
SERIES 34%
EMEA Masters 17:00
Team Phantasma
0 - 1
LODIS
FastTree1/1
SERIES 58%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES 60%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES 57%
Consensus1/1
SERIES 58%
EMEA Masters 18:00
TLN Pirates
0 - 2
Anubis Gaming
FastTree--
SERIES 46%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES 67%
PCA Sweep--
SERIES 46%
Consensus--
SERIES 51%
EMEA Masters 18:00
Heretics Academy
1 - 2
Karmine Corp Blue
FastTree0/1
SERIES 32%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES 22%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES 23%
Consensus0/1
SERIES 25%
EMEA Masters 18:00
Forsaken
1 - 2
The Secret Club
FastTree--
SERIES 55%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES 41%
PCA Sweep--
SERIES 48%
Consensus--
SERIES 48%
EMEA Masters 18:00
eSuba
2 - 0
White Dragons
FastTree0/1
SERIES 16%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES 20%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES 34%
Consensus0/1
SERIES 25%
WEDNESDAY September 30, 2026
8 SERIES
WSCI 06:00
DN SOOPers Challengers
0 - 3
Solary
FastTree4/4
SERIES 73%
GAME 1 73%
GAME 2 71%
GAME 3 71%
LightGBM4/4
SERIES 77%
GAME 1 79%
GAME 2 77%
GAME 3 77%
PCA Sweep4/4
SERIES 81%
GAME 1 78%
GAME 2 74%
GAME 3 75%
Consensus4/4
SERIES 78%
GAME 1 77%
GAME 2 74%
GAME 3 74%
WSCI 09:00
Galions
1 - 3
T1 Esports Academy
FastTree0/2
SERIES 32%
GAME 1 39%
GAME 2 48%
GAME 3 53%
GAME 4 49%
LightGBM1/5
SERIES 25%
GAME 1 33%
GAME 2 42%
GAME 3 59%
GAME 4 43%
PCA Sweep0/3
SERIES 26%
GAME 1 36%
GAME 2 44%
GAME 3 54%
GAME 4 46%
Consensus1/4
SERIES 28%
GAME 1 36%
GAME 2 45%
GAME 3 55%
GAME 4 46%
EMEA Masters 13:00
Berlin International Gaming
1 - 0
Senshi eSports
FastTree1/1
SERIES 65%
LightGBM--
SERIES 53%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES 62%
Consensus1/1
SERIES 60%
EMEA Masters 13:00
Bushido Wildcats
1 - 0
MAGAZA
FastTree1/1
SERIES 57%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES 64%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES 55%
Consensus1/1
SERIES 58%
EMEA Masters 13:00
Frites Esports Club
1 - 0
Otter Side
FastTree1/1
SERIES 69%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES 58%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES 69%
Consensus1/1
SERIES 66%
EMEA Masters 14:00
PCIFIC Esports
0 - 1
Ruddy Corporation
FastTree1/1
SERIES 62%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES 67%
PCA Sweep--
SERIES 55%
Consensus1/1
SERIES 60%
EMEA Masters 14:00
JSK Gamefy
0 - 1
Skillcamp
FastTree1/1
SERIES 60%
LightGBM--
SERIES 49%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES 62%
Consensus1/1
SERIES 58%
EMEA Masters 14:00
Colossal Gaming
1 - 0
LODIS
FastTree0/1
SERIES 39%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES 36%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES 43%
Consensus0/1
SERIES 40%
THURSDAY October 1, 2026
9 SERIES
EMEA Masters 15:00
Bushido Wildcats
2 - 1
Frites Esports Club
FastTree1/1
SERIES 58%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES 65%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES 56%
Consensus1/1
SERIES 59%
EMEA Masters 15:00
Colossal Gaming
0 - 2
Unicorns of Love Sexy Edition
FastTree1/1
SERIES 61%
LightGBM--
SERIES 46%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES 58%
Consensus1/1
SERIES 55%
EMEA Masters 15:00
BOMBA Team
1 - 2
Skillcamp
FastTree0/1
SERIES 36%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES 37%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES 38%
Consensus0/1
SERIES 37%
EMEA Masters 15:00
MAGAZA
2 - 0
Otter Side
FastTree1/1
SERIES 61%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES 57%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES 64%
Consensus1/1
SERIES 61%
EMEA Masters 18:00
Berlin International Gaming
2 - 0
NightBirds
FastTree0/1
SERIES 38%
LightGBM--
SERIES 47%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES 57%
Consensus--
SERIES 49%
EMEA Masters 18:00
PCIFIC Esports
2 - 0
LODIS
FastTree1/1
SERIES 64%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES 59%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES 62%
Consensus1/1
SERIES 62%
EMEA Masters 18:00
JSK Gamefy
0 - 2
UCAM Esports Club
FastTree1/1
SERIES 78%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES 73%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES 73%
Consensus1/1
SERIES 75%
EMEA Masters 18:00
Team Phantasma
1 - 2
The Secret Club
FastTree0/1
SERIES 42%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES 41%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES 38%
Consensus0/1
SERIES 40%
EMEA Masters 18:00
Senshi eSports
0 - 2
Barça Esports
FastTree0/1
SERIES 36%
LightGBM--
SERIES 49%
PCA Sweep--
SERIES 51%
Consensus--
SERIES 46%
FRIDAY October 2, 2026
5 SERIES
WSCI 09:00
T1 Esports Academy
3 - 2
Solary
FastTree0/1
SERIES 45%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES 42%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES 44%
Consensus0/1
SERIES 43%
EMEA Masters 15:00
PCIFIC Esports
0 - 2
Frites Esports Club
FastTree0/1
SERIES 38%
LightGBM--
SERIES 51%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES 41%
Consensus0/1
SERIES 42%
EMEA Masters 15:00
Colossal Gaming
0 - 2
The Secret Club
FastTree--
SERIES 53%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES 44%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES 42%
Consensus--
SERIES 45%
EMEA Masters 15:00
NightBirds
0 - 2
UCAM Esports Club
FastTree0/1
SERIES 35%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES 65%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES 56%
Consensus--
SERIES 53%
EMEA Masters 18:00
BOMBA Team
0 - 2
Barça Esports
FastTree0/1
SERIES 29%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES 28%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES 27%
Consensus0/1
SERIES 28%
SATURDAY October 3, 2026
2 SERIES
CBLOL 16:00
FURIA
3 - 0
LOUD
FastTree3/4
SERIES 72%
GAME 1 61%
GAME 2 43%
GAME 3 69%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES 70%
GAME 1 61%
GAME 2 47%
GAME 3 61%
PCA Sweep2/3
SERIES 62%
GAME 1 54%
GAME 2 39%
GAME 3 56%
Consensus3/4
SERIES 67%
GAME 1 59%
GAME 2 43%
GAME 3 62%
LCS 20:00
LYON
3 - 1
Cloud9 Kia
FastTree3/5
SERIES 64%
GAME 1 43%
GAME 2 45%
GAME 3 59%
GAME 4 58%
LightGBM3/5
SERIES 61%
GAME 1 42%
GAME 2 44%
GAME 3 59%
GAME 4 57%
PCA Sweep3/4
SERIES 67%
GAME 1 38%
GAME 2 48%
GAME 3 64%
GAME 4 62%
Consensus3/4
SERIES 64%
GAME 1 41%
GAME 2 46%
GAME 3 61%
GAME 4 59%
SUNDAY October 4, 2026
4 SERIES
EMEA Masters 16:00
Galions
3 - 0
The Secret Club
FastTree1/1
SERIES 80%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES 80%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES 88%
Consensus1/1
SERIES 83%
EMEA Masters 16:00
Solary
3 - 0
Barça Esports
FastTree1/1
SERIES 82%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES 84%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES 88%
Consensus1/1
SERIES 85%
EMEA Masters 16:00
Movistar KOI Fénix
3 - 2
UCAM Esports Club
FastTree1/1
SERIES 62%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES 62%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES 69%
Consensus1/1
SERIES 65%
LCS 20:00
LYON
1 - 3
Team Liquid Alienware
FastTree3/4
SERIES 46%
GAME 1 57%
GAME 2 59%
GAME 3 39%
GAME 4 58%
LightGBM1/2
SERIES 42%
GAME 1 55%
GAME 2 53%
GAME 3 47%
GAME 4 53%
PCA Sweep3/4
SERIES 53%
GAME 1 59%
GAME 2 58%
GAME 3 43%
GAME 4 56%
Consensus3/4
SERIES 48%
GAME 1 57%
GAME 2 57%
GAME 3 43%
GAME 4 56%