RIFTCAST
Weekly model report
Jun 29 — Jul 5, 2026
Last completed week · all leagues
35 evaluated series
Weekly overview
Series and game accuracy across every prediction evaluated this week.
FastTree
Series accuracy
57.1%
20 / 35
Game accuracy
75.0%
21 / 28
LightGBM
Series accuracy
54.3%
19 / 35
Game accuracy
82.1%
23 / 28
PCA Sweep
Series accuracy
57.6%
19 / 33
Game accuracy
82.6%
19 / 23
Consensus
Series accuracy
57.6%
19 / 33
Game accuracy
76.7%
23 / 30
Per-market performance
Accuracy across every settled prediction, plus flat-stake ROI on the value engine's positive-EV picks — broken down by market.
FastTree
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 57% 20/35 | -35% 5 picks |
| Game Winner | 75% 21/28 | -4% 8 picks |
| Series Handicap | 35% 7/20 | -76% 6 picks |
| Total Maps | 35% 7/20 | -100% 4 picks |
| Exact Score | 20% 4/20 | -100% 7 picks |
| Total | 48% 59/123 | -59% -17.6u |
LightGBM
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 54% 19/35 | +0% 2 picks |
| Game Winner | 82% 23/28 | +31% 2 picks |
| Series Handicap | 40% 8/20 | -52% 3 picks |
| Total Maps | 40% 8/20 | -100% 2 picks |
| Exact Score | 15% 3/20 | -100% 4 picks |
| Total | 50% 61/123 | -53% -6.9u |
PCA Sweep
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 58% 19/33 | +100% 1 pick |
| Game Winner | 83% 19/23 | +124% 7 picks |
| Series Handicap | 35% 7/20 | -39% 6 picks |
| Total Maps | 35% 7/20 | -100% 6 picks |
| Exact Score | 20% 4/20 | +720% 5 picks |
| Total | 48% 56/116 | +149% +37.3u |
Consensus
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 58% 19/33 | -33% 3 picks |
| Game Winner | 77% 23/30 | +10% 7 picks |
| Series Handicap | 30% 6/20 | -76% 6 picks |
| Total Maps | 35% 7/20 | -- |
| Exact Score | 20% 4/20 | -100% 6 picks |
| Total | 48% 59/123 | -49% -10.9u |
Match results
35 completed series with evaluated predictions, grouped by match day.
MONDAY
June 29, 2026
2 SERIESMSI
03:00 UTC
T1
3
-
0
Karmine CorpFastTree4/4
SERIES
60%
60%
GAME 1
60%
60%
GAME 2
71%
71%
GAME 3
72%
72%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
62%
62%
GAME 1
50%
50%
GAME 2
73%
73%
GAME 3
75%
75%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
63%
63%
GAME 1
51%
51%
GAME 2
71%
71%
GAME 3
70%
70%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
57%
57%
GAME 1
54%
54%
GAME 2
72%
72%
GAME 3
72%
72%
MSI
08:00 UTC
Team Liquid Alienware
3
-
0
Relove Deep Cross GamingFastTree1/2
SERIES
47%
47%
GAME 1
47%
47%
GAME 2
49%
49%
GAME 3
56%
56%
LightGBM2/3
SERIES
37%
37%
GAME 1
52%
52%
GAME 2
57%
57%
GAME 3
67%
67%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
50%
50%
GAME 1
48%
48%
GAME 2
54%
54%
GAME 3
59%
59%
Consensus1/2
SERIES
39%
39%
GAME 1
49%
49%
GAME 2
53%
53%
GAME 3
60%
60%
TUESDAY
June 30, 2026
6 SERIESMSI
08:00 UTC
Team Liquid Alienware
3
-
0
Karmine CorpFastTree0/4
SERIES
34%
34%
GAME 1
28%
28%
GAME 2
32%
32%
GAME 3
43%
43%
LightGBM1/2
SERIES
34%
34%
GAME 1
52%
52%
GAME 2
47%
47%
GAME 3
55%
55%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
27%
27%
GAME 1
47%
47%
GAME 2
45%
45%
GAME 3
49%
49%
Consensus0/3
SERIES
31%
31%
GAME 1
42%
42%
GAME 2
41%
41%
GAME 3
49%
49%
Prime League
15:00 UTC
E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS
0
-
1
Berlin International GamingFastTree1/1
SERIES
59%
59%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
57%
57%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
36%
36%
Consensus--
SERIES
57%
57%
Prime League
16:00 UTC
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
-
1
Unicorns of Love Sexy EditionFastTree1/1
SERIES
67%
67%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
56%
56%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
64%
64%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
58%
58%
Prime League
17:00 UTC
G2 NORD
0
-
1
ROSSMANN CentaursFastTree0/1
SERIES
22%
22%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
22%
22%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
24%
24%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
19%
19%
Prime League
18:00 UTC
VfB eSports
0
-
1
TeamOrangeGaming
FastTree1/1
SERIES
79%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
73%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
76%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
77%
Prime League
19:00 UTC
Kaufland Hangry Knights
1
-
0
Eintracht SpandauFastTree0/1
SERIES
23%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
29%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
23%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
25%
WEDNESDAY
July 1, 2026
6 SERIESMSI
08:00 UTC
Team Liquid Alienware
0
-
3
T1FastTree4/4
SERIES
68%
68%
GAME 1
78%
78%
GAME 2
79%
79%
GAME 3
79%
79%
LightGBM4/4
SERIES
71%
71%
GAME 1
71%
71%
GAME 2
82%
82%
GAME 3
82%
82%
PCA Sweep4/4
SERIES
78%
78%
GAME 1
79%
79%
GAME 2
79%
79%
GAME 3
80%
80%
Consensus4/4
SERIES
75%
75%
GAME 1
76%
76%
GAME 2
80%
80%
GAME 3
80%
80%
Prime League
15:00 UTC
Eintracht Frankfurt
1
-
0
TeamOrangeGaming
FastTree0/1
SERIES
22%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
35%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
26%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
30%
Prime League
16:00 UTC
G2 NORD
1
-
0
E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTSFastTree1/1
SERIES
67%
67%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
65%
65%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
76%
76%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
69%
69%
Prime League
17:00 UTC
Eintracht Spandau
0
-
1
ROSSMANN CentaursFastTree0/1
SERIES
23%
23%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
29%
29%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
24%
24%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
24%
24%
Prime League
18:00 UTC
VfB eSports
0
-
1
Unicorns of Love Sexy EditionFastTree1/1
SERIES
78%
78%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
72%
72%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
76%
76%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
76%
76%
Prime League
19:00 UTC
Kaufland Hangry Knights
0
-
1
Berlin International GamingFastTree1/1
SERIES
68%
68%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
65%
65%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
73%
73%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
69%
69%
THURSDAY
July 2, 2026
8 SERIESPrime League
15:00 UTC
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
-
1
ROSSMANN CentaursFastTree0/1
SERIES
33%
33%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
35%
35%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
37%
37%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
41%
41%
Prime League
16:00 UTC
Kaufland Hangry Knights
0
-
1
E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTSFastTree1/1
SERIES
77%
77%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
65%
65%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
72%
72%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
68%
68%
Prime League
17:00 UTC
Eintracht Spandau
1
-
0
TeamOrangeGaming
FastTree1/1
SERIES
51%
51%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
56%
56%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
73%
73%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
57%
57%
Prime League
18:00 UTC
VfB eSports
1
-
0
G2 NORDFastTree0/1
SERIES
22%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
22%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
23%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
19%
Prime League
19:00 UTC
Unicorns of Love Sexy Edition
0
-
1
Berlin International GamingFastTree1/1
SERIES
68%
68%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
64%
64%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
74%
74%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
69%
69%
LRS
20:00 UTC
Malvinas Gaming
2
-
0
ZEN EsportsFastTree0/1
SERIES
23%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
37%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
35%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
32%
LRS
23:00 UTC
Volticons
0
-
2
Maze Gaming
FastTree0/1
SERIES
23%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
34%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
23%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
26%
LRS
23:00 UTC
9z Globant
2
-
1
Golden Lions
FastTree0/1
SERIES
33%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
42%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
35%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
41%
FRIDAY
July 3, 2026
5 SERIESMSI
03:00 UTC
Hanwha Life Esports
3
-
0
Team Secret WhalesFastTree4/4
SERIES
61%
61%
GAME 1
59%
59%
GAME 2
67%
67%
GAME 3
69%
69%
LightGBM2/3
SERIES
44%
44%
GAME 1
52%
52%
GAME 2
75%
75%
GAME 3
79%
79%
PCA Sweep4/4
SERIES
62%
62%
GAME 1
57%
57%
GAME 2
72%
72%
GAME 3
72%
72%
Consensus4/4
SERIES
60%
60%
GAME 1
56%
56%
GAME 2
71%
71%
GAME 3
73%
73%
MSI
08:00 UTC
G2 Esports
3
-
2
TOP ESPORTSFastTree4/6
SERIES
68%
68%
GAME 1
34%
34%
GAME 2
34%
34%
GAME 3
66%
66%
GAME 4
66%
66%
GAME 5
66%
66%
LightGBM4/6
SERIES
66%
66%
GAME 1
36%
36%
GAME 2
36%
36%
GAME 3
66%
66%
GAME 4
66%
66%
GAME 5
71%
71%
PCA Sweep4/6
SERIES
73%
73%
GAME 1
41%
41%
GAME 2
41%
41%
GAME 3
59%
59%
GAME 4
59%
59%
GAME 5
59%
59%
Consensus4/6
SERIES
69%
69%
GAME 1
37%
37%
GAME 2
37%
37%
GAME 3
64%
64%
GAME 4
64%
64%
GAME 5
65%
65%
LRS
20:00 UTC
Volticons
2
-
0
Malvinas Gaming
FastTree1/1
SERIES
60%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
65%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
75%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
68%
LRS
20:00 UTC
9z Globant
2
-
1
Maze Gaming
FastTree1/1
SERIES
67%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
65%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
72%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
59%
LRS
23:00 UTC
Seven Dark
1
-
2
ZEN EsportsFastTree1/1
SERIES
78%
78%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
66%
66%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
72%
72%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
69%
69%
SATURDAY
July 4, 2026
4 SERIESMSI
03:00 UTC
LYON
3
-
0
FURIAFastTree1/2
SERIES
40%
40%
GAME 1
49%
49%
GAME 2
49%
49%
GAME 3
56%
56%
LightGBM3/4
SERIES
44%
44%
GAME 1
69%
69%
GAME 2
63%
63%
GAME 3
70%
70%
PCA Sweep2/2
SERIES
50%
50%
GAME 1
54%
54%
GAME 2
54%
54%
GAME 3
61%
61%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
42%
42%
GAME 1
57%
57%
GAME 2
55%
55%
GAME 3
62%
62%
MSI
08:00 UTC
T1
2
-
3
BILIBILI GAMINGFastTree1/3
SERIES
41%
41%
GAME 1
52%
52%
GAME 2
48%
48%
GAME 3
53%
53%
GAME 4
43%
43%
GAME 5
57%
57%
LightGBM2/5
SERIES
36%
36%
GAME 1
63%
63%
GAME 2
35%
35%
GAME 3
46%
46%
GAME 4
36%
36%
GAME 5
62%
62%
PCA Sweep1/4
SERIES
50%
50%
GAME 1
57%
57%
GAME 2
43%
43%
GAME 3
44%
44%
GAME 4
50%
50%
GAME 5
50%
50%
Consensus2/5
SERIES
43%
43%
GAME 1
57%
57%
GAME 2
42%
42%
GAME 3
48%
48%
GAME 4
43%
43%
GAME 5
57%
57%
LRN
22:00 UTC
NCG Esports
2
-
1
SDM TigresFastTree0/1
SERIES
21%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
29%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
22%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
24%
LRN
22:00 UTC
Polar Squad Esports
0
-
2
Zeu5 Esports
FastTree1/1
SERIES
68%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
65%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
64%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
68%
SUNDAY
July 5, 2026
4 SERIESMSI
03:00 UTC
Team Secret Whales
3
-
1
TOP ESPORTSFastTree4/5
SERIES
52%
52%
GAME 1
55%
55%
GAME 2
45%
45%
GAME 3
58%
58%
GAME 4
59%
59%
LightGBM4/5
SERIES
64%
64%
GAME 1
61%
61%
GAME 2
40%
40%
GAME 3
68%
68%
GAME 4
62%
62%
PCA Sweep2/2
SERIES
50%
50%
GAME 1
50%
50%
GAME 2
50%
50%
GAME 3
59%
59%
GAME 4
59%
59%
Consensus4/5
SERIES
56%
56%
GAME 1
56%
56%
GAME 2
45%
45%
GAME 3
62%
62%
GAME 4
60%
60%
MSI
08:00 UTC
Hanwha Life Esports
3
-
0
G2 EsportsFastTree4/4
SERIES
59%
59%
GAME 1
67%
67%
GAME 2
69%
69%
GAME 3
69%
69%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
56%
56%
GAME 1
51%
51%
GAME 2
58%
58%
GAME 3
61%
61%
PCA Sweep4/4
SERIES
50%
50%
GAME 1
56%
56%
GAME 2
58%
58%
GAME 3
58%
58%
Consensus4/4
SERIES
61%
61%
GAME 1
58%
58%
GAME 2
62%
62%
GAME 3
62%
62%
LRN
19:00 UTC
Zeu5 Esports
2
-
1
Fuego
FastTree0/1
SERIES
23%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
28%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
24%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
24%
LRN
22:00 UTC
SDM Tigres
2
-
1
LYON Academy
FastTree1/1
SERIES
79%
79%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
65%
65%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
74%
74%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
70%
70%