RIFTCAST
Weekly model report
Jul 13 — Jul 19, 2026
Last completed week · all leagues
42 evaluated series
Weekly overview
Series and game accuracy across every prediction evaluated this week.
FastTree
Series accuracy
67.5%
27 / 40
Game accuracy
59.1%
13 / 22
LightGBM
Series accuracy
73.2%
30 / 41
Game accuracy
59.1%
13 / 22
PCA Sweep
Series accuracy
73.8%
31 / 42
Game accuracy
56.5%
13 / 23
Consensus
Series accuracy
72.5%
29 / 40
Game accuracy
59.1%
13 / 22
Per-market performance
Accuracy across every settled prediction, plus flat-stake ROI on the value engine's positive-EV picks — broken down by market.
FastTree
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 68% 27/40 | +40% 3 picks |
| Game Winner | 59% 13/22 | +3% 10 picks |
| Series Handicap | 50% 9/18 | -12% 7 picks |
| Total Maps | 70% 14/20 | -- |
| Exact Score | 50% 10/20 | -5% 6 picks |
| Total | 61% 73/120 | +2% +0.4u |
LightGBM
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 73% 30/41 | -21% 2 picks |
| Game Winner | 59% 13/22 | -1% 8 picks |
| Series Handicap | 61% 11/18 | -63% 8 picks |
| Total Maps | 65% 13/20 | -- |
| Exact Score | 50% 10/20 | -59% 7 picks |
| Total | 64% 77/121 | -39% -9.7u |
PCA Sweep
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 74% 31/42 | -16% 5 picks |
| Game Winner | 57% 13/23 | -6% 5 picks |
| Series Handicap | 61% 11/18 | -52% 3 picks |
| Total Maps | 65% 13/20 | -- |
| Exact Score | 50% 10/20 | -42% 7 picks |
| Total | 63% 78/123 | -28% -5.6u |
Consensus
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 72% 29/40 | +54% 2 picks |
| Game Winner | 59% 13/22 | -1% 8 picks |
| Series Handicap | 56% 10/18 | -32% 6 picks |
| Total Maps | 65% 13/20 | -- |
| Exact Score | 50% 10/20 | -32% 6 picks |
| Total | 62% 75/120 | -13% -2.9u |
Match results
42 completed series with evaluated predictions, grouped by match day.
MONDAY
July 13, 2026
5 SERIESPrime League
15:00 UTC
E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS
0
-
1
Unicorns of Love Sexy EditionFastTree0/1
SERIES
37%
37%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
35%
35%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
33%
33%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
33%
33%
Prime League
16:00 UTC
Kaufland Hangry Knights
1
-
0
Eintracht Frankfurt
FastTree1/1
SERIES
63%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
74%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
81%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
78%
Prime League
17:00 UTC
ROSSMANN Centaurs
0
-
1
TeamOrangeGaming
FastTree1/1
SERIES
80%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
65%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
69%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
77%
Prime League
18:00 UTC
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
-
1
E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTSFastTree1/1
SERIES
80%
80%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
74%
74%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
81%
81%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
79%
79%
Prime League
19:00 UTC
VfB eSports
0
-
1
Berlin International GamingFastTree1/1
SERIES
80%
80%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
75%
75%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
81%
81%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
79%
79%
TUESDAY
July 14, 2026
6 SERIESLRN
02:00 UTC
Polar Squad Esports
0
-
2
SDM TigresFastTree1/1
SERIES
81%
81%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
75%
75%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
69%
69%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
78%
78%
LES
15:00 UTC
LUA Gaming
2
-
1
FALKE ESPORTSFastTree3/4
SERIES
63%
63%
GAME 1
67%
67%
GAME 2
33%
33%
GAME 3
67%
67%
LightGBM3/4
SERIES
65%
65%
GAME 1
73%
73%
GAME 2
29%
29%
GAME 3
71%
71%
PCA Sweep3/4
SERIES
68%
68%
GAME 1
60%
60%
GAME 2
40%
40%
GAME 3
60%
60%
Consensus3/4
SERIES
67%
67%
GAME 1
67%
67%
GAME 2
34%
34%
GAME 3
66%
66%
LES
17:30 UTC
UCAM Esports Club
2
-
0
Heretics AcademyFastTree0/3
SERIES
45%
45%
GAME 1
32%
32%
GAME 2
32%
32%
LightGBM0/3
SERIES
35%
35%
GAME 1
29%
29%
GAME 2
28%
28%
PCA Sweep0/3
SERIES
31%
31%
GAME 1
38%
38%
GAME 2
38%
38%
Consensus0/3
SERIES
34%
34%
GAME 1
33%
33%
GAME 2
33%
33%
LRS
20:00 UTC
ZEN Esports
1
-
2
Docta EsportsFastTree--
SERIES
50%
50%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
60%
60%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
61%
61%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
56%
56%
LRS
23:00 UTC
Volticons
2
-
0
Seven Dark
FastTree1/1
SERIES
81%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
66%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
81%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
78%
LRS
23:00 UTC
9z Globant
2
-
0
Malvinas Gaming
FastTree1/1
SERIES
62%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
73%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
76%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
77%
WEDNESDAY
July 15, 2026
7 SERIESEsports World Cup
09:00 UTC
Gen.G
1
-
0
Karmine CorpFastTree1/1
SERIES
79%
79%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
73%
73%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
68%
68%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
68%
68%
Esports World Cup
10:10 UTC
T1
1
-
0
GAM Esports
FastTree1/1
SERIES
63%
63%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
66%
66%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
76%
76%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
78%
78%
Esports World Cup
10:10 UTC
Bilibili Gaming
1
-
0
Movistar KOIFastTree1/1
SERIES
79%
79%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
75%
75%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
81%
81%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
79%
79%
Esports World Cup
11:20 UTC
G2 Esports
1
-
0
FURIAFastTree1/1
SERIES
63%
63%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
74%
74%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
81%
81%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
78%
78%
Esports World Cup
12:30 UTC
LYON
0
-
1
JD GamingFastTree0/1
SERIES
37%
37%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
26%
26%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
37%
37%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
33%
33%
LES
15:00 UTC
UB Alma Mater
0
-
2
GIANTX ITEROFastTree3/3
SERIES
81%
81%
GAME 1
85%
85%
GAME 2
85%
85%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
75%
75%
GAME 1
78%
78%
GAME 2
78%
78%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
76%
76%
GAME 1
77%
77%
GAME 2
77%
77%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
79%
79%
GAME 1
80%
80%
GAME 2
80%
80%
LES
17:30 UTC
Movistar KOI Fénix
2
-
0
Barça EsportsFastTree3/3
SERIES
62%
62%
GAME 1
64%
64%
GAME 2
66%
66%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
59%
59%
GAME 1
66%
66%
GAME 2
67%
67%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
68%
68%
GAME 1
59%
59%
GAME 2
61%
61%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
66%
66%
GAME 1
63%
63%
GAME 2
65%
65%
THURSDAY
July 16, 2026
8 SERIESEsports World Cup
10:10 UTC
Hanwha Life Esports
1
-
0
JD GamingFastTree1/1
SERIES
62%
62%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
74%
74%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
68%
68%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
68%
68%
LES
15:00 UTC
FALKE ESPORTS
0
-
2
UCAM Esports ClubFastTree3/3
SERIES
78%
78%
GAME 1
82%
82%
GAME 2
82%
82%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
75%
75%
GAME 1
82%
82%
GAME 2
83%
83%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
81%
81%
GAME 1
78%
78%
GAME 2
78%
78%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
79%
79%
GAME 1
81%
81%
GAME 2
81%
81%
Prime League
15:00 UTC
Kaufland Hangry Knights
0
-
1
ROSSMANN CentaursFastTree0/1
SERIES
37%
37%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
34%
34%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
25%
25%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
23%
23%
Prime League
16:00 UTC
G2 NORD
1
-
0
TeamOrangeGaming
FastTree1/1
SERIES
51%
51%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
79%
79%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
75%
75%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
68%
68%
Prime League
17:00 UTC
VfB eSports
0
-
1
Kaufland Hangry Knights
FastTree1/1
SERIES
79%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
75%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
81%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
78%
LES
17:30 UTC
Barça Esports
1
-
2
Heretics AcademyFastTree3/4
SERIES
80%
80%
GAME 1
82%
82%
GAME 2
21%
21%
GAME 3
79%
79%
LightGBM3/4
SERIES
74%
74%
GAME 1
81%
81%
GAME 2
25%
25%
GAME 3
77%
77%
PCA Sweep3/4
SERIES
81%
81%
GAME 1
78%
78%
GAME 2
17%
17%
GAME 3
83%
83%
Consensus3/4
SERIES
79%
79%
GAME 1
80%
80%
GAME 2
21%
21%
GAME 3
79%
79%
Prime League
18:00 UTC
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
-
1
Eintracht SpandauFastTree1/1
SERIES
80%
80%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
79%
79%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
81%
81%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
80%
80%
Prime League
19:00 UTC
Unicorns of Love Sexy Edition
1
-
0
TeamOrangeGaming
FastTree0/1
SERIES
49%
49%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
66%
66%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
50%
50%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
56%
56%
FRIDAY
July 17, 2026
10 SERIESNACL
00:00 UTC
Maryville University
1
-
2
Dorado GamingFastTree1/4
SERIES
19%
19%
GAME 1
15%
15%
GAME 2
85%
85%
GAME 3
14%
14%
LightGBM1/4
SERIES
21%
21%
GAME 1
20%
20%
GAME 2
79%
79%
GAME 3
20%
20%
PCA Sweep1/4
SERIES
19%
19%
GAME 1
16%
16%
GAME 2
84%
84%
GAME 3
16%
16%
Consensus1/4
SERIES
20%
20%
GAME 1
17%
17%
GAME 2
83%
83%
GAME 3
17%
17%
LJL
08:00 UTC
RAYN Clocks
0
-
3
L Guide GamingFastTree0/4
SERIES
38%
38%
GAME 1
35%
35%
GAME 2
35%
35%
GAME 3
35%
35%
LightGBM0/4
SERIES
48%
48%
GAME 1
28%
28%
GAME 2
43%
43%
GAME 3
41%
41%
PCA Sweep0/4
SERIES
32%
32%
GAME 1
29%
29%
GAME 2
44%
44%
GAME 3
44%
44%
Consensus0/4
SERIES
48%
48%
GAME 1
31%
31%
GAME 2
41%
41%
GAME 3
40%
40%
Esports World Cup
11:00 UTC
Gen.G
2
-
0
JD GamingFastTree1/1
SERIES
57%
57%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
65%
65%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
68%
68%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
66%
66%
Esports World Cup
13:30 UTC
Bilibili Gaming
1
-
2
Dplus KIAFastTree0/1
SERIES
21%
21%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
25%
25%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
24%
24%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
22%
22%
Prime League
15:00 UTC
G2 NORD
1
-
0
Berlin International GamingFastTree0/1
SERIES
44%
44%
LightGBM--
SERIES
49%
49%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
61%
61%
Consensus--
SERIES
45%
45%
Prime League
16:00 UTC
Eintracht Spandau
1
-
0
Berlin International GamingFastTree0/1
SERIES
43%
43%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
52%
52%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
38%
38%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
43%
43%
Prime League
17:00 UTC
G2 NORD
1
-
0
Eintracht SpandauFastTree1/1
SERIES
51%
51%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
64%
64%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
62%
62%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
51%
51%
Prime League
18:00 UTC
VfB eSports
0
-
1
E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTSFastTree1/1
SERIES
78%
78%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
79%
79%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
81%
81%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
81%
81%
Prime League
19:00 UTC
ROSSMANN Centaurs
0
-
1
Unicorns of Love Sexy EditionFastTree1/1
SERIES
79%
79%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
74%
74%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
76%
76%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
78%
78%
NACL
21:00 UTC
Blue Otter
0
-
2
CCG EsportsFastTree3/3
SERIES
79%
79%
GAME 1
77%
77%
GAME 2
77%
77%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
79%
79%
GAME 1
71%
71%
GAME 2
63%
63%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
76%
76%
GAME 1
74%
74%
GAME 2
64%
64%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
79%
79%
GAME 1
74%
74%
GAME 2
68%
68%
SATURDAY
July 18, 2026
3 SERIESLJL
08:00 UTC
Arneb
0
-
3
New MetaFastTree0/1
SERIES
37%
37%
GAME 1
48%
48%
GAME 2
48%
48%
GAME 3
48%
48%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
35%
35%
GAME 1
52%
52%
GAME 2
55%
55%
GAME 3
52%
52%
PCA Sweep0/2
SERIES
50%
50%
GAME 1
41%
41%
GAME 2
52%
52%
GAME 3
45%
45%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
48%
48%
GAME 1
47%
47%
GAME 2
52%
52%
GAME 3
49%
49%
Esports World Cup
11:00 UTC
T1
0
-
2
Karmine CorpFastTree0/1
SERIES
21%
21%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
27%
27%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
25%
25%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
22%
22%
LRN
23:00 UTC
SDM Tigres
0
-
2
Zeu5 Esports
FastTree1/1
SERIES
52%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
74%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
74%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
67%
SUNDAY
July 19, 2026
3 SERIESLRN
02:00 UTC
Polar Squad Esports
0
-
2
Kits Esports
FastTree1/1
SERIES
80%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
59%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
68%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
68%
Esports World Cup
12:30 UTC
Karmine Corp
0
-
3
Dplus KIAFastTree--
SERIES
50%
50%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
42%
42%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
50%
50%
Consensus--
SERIES
47%
47%
LRN
23:00 UTC
Kits Esports
2
-
0
SDM TigresFastTree0/1
SERIES
38%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
34%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
32%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
33%