RIFTCAST
Weekly model report
Sep 14–Sep 20, 2026
Last completed week · all leagues
20 evaluated series
Weekly overview
Series and game accuracy across every prediction evaluated this week.
FastTree
Series accuracy
64.3%
9 / 14
Game accuracy
72.7%
24 / 33
LightGBM
Series accuracy
62.5%
10 / 16
Game accuracy
69.4%
25 / 36
PCA Sweep
Series accuracy
53.3%
8 / 15
Game accuracy
67.6%
23 / 34
Consensus
Series accuracy
62.5%
10 / 16
Game accuracy
67.6%
23 / 34
Per-market performance
Accuracy across every settled prediction, plus flat-stake ROI on the value engine's positive-EV picks - broken down by market.
FastTree
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 64% 9/14 | -- |
| Game Winner | 73% 24/33 | -- |
| Series Handicap | 36% 5/14 | -- |
| Total Maps | 80% 16/20 | -- |
| Exact Score | 25% 5/20 | -- |
| Total | 58% 59/101 | -- |
LightGBM
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 62% 10/16 | -- |
| Game Winner | 69% 25/36 | -- |
| Series Handicap | 43% 6/14 | -- |
| Total Maps | 80% 16/20 | -- |
| Exact Score | 30% 6/20 | -- |
| Total | 59% 63/106 | -- |
PCA Sweep
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 53% 8/15 | -- |
| Game Winner | 68% 23/34 | -- |
| Series Handicap | 43% 6/14 | -- |
| Total Maps | 80% 16/20 | -- |
| Exact Score | 35% 7/20 | -- |
| Total | 58% 60/103 | -- |
Consensus
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 62% 10/16 | -- |
| Game Winner | 68% 23/34 | -- |
| Series Handicap | 36% 5/14 | -- |
| Total Maps | 80% 16/20 | -- |
| Exact Score | 35% 7/20 | -- |
| Total | 59% 61/104 | -- |
Match results
20 completed series with evaluated predictions, grouped by match day.
MONDAY
September 14, 2026
3 SERIESLCK CL
08:00
kt Challengers
3
-
2
DK ChallengersFastTree4/4
SERIES
58%
58%
GAME 1
47%
47%
GAME 2
61%
61%
GAME 3
59%
59%
GAME 4
45%
45%
GAME 5
56%
56%
LightGBM4/6
SERIES
60%
60%
GAME 1
45%
45%
GAME 2
65%
65%
GAME 3
58%
58%
GAME 4
44%
44%
GAME 5
58%
58%
PCA Sweep3/5
SERIES
50%
50%
GAME 1
44%
44%
GAME 2
66%
66%
GAME 3
59%
59%
GAME 4
45%
45%
GAME 5
60%
60%
Consensus4/5
SERIES
56%
56%
GAME 1
45%
45%
GAME 2
64%
64%
GAME 3
59%
59%
GAME 4
45%
45%
GAME 5
58%
58%
NLC
16:00
Verdant
3
-
0
Arctic PandasFastTree4/4
SERIES
80%
80%
GAME 1
67%
67%
GAME 2
67%
67%
GAME 3
66%
66%
LightGBM4/4
SERIES
69%
69%
GAME 1
79%
79%
GAME 2
79%
79%
GAME 3
76%
76%
PCA Sweep4/4
SERIES
64%
64%
GAME 1
71%
71%
GAME 2
72%
72%
GAME 3
68%
68%
Consensus4/4
SERIES
71%
71%
GAME 1
72%
72%
GAME 2
73%
73%
GAME 3
70%
70%
CD
20:00
KaBuM! Eports
0
-
3
Estral EsportsFastTree4/4
SERIES
69%
69%
GAME 1
76%
76%
GAME 2
77%
77%
GAME 3
75%
75%
LightGBM4/4
SERIES
69%
69%
GAME 1
65%
65%
GAME 2
65%
65%
GAME 3
59%
59%
PCA Sweep4/4
SERIES
72%
72%
GAME 1
74%
74%
GAME 2
74%
74%
GAME 3
73%
73%
Consensus4/4
SERIES
70%
70%
GAME 1
72%
72%
GAME 2
72%
72%
GAME 3
70%
70%
TUESDAY
September 15, 2026
1 SERIESLCK CL
08:00
kt Challengers
0
-
3
T1 Esports AcademyFastTree2/2
SERIES
50%
50%
GAME 1
62%
62%
GAME 2
51%
51%
GAME 3
56%
56%
LightGBM1/2
SERIES
49%
49%
GAME 1
64%
64%
GAME 2
42%
42%
GAME 3
47%
47%
PCA Sweep4/4
SERIES
66%
66%
GAME 1
61%
61%
GAME 2
59%
59%
GAME 3
63%
63%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
56%
56%
GAME 1
62%
62%
GAME 2
51%
51%
GAME 3
56%
56%
WEDNESDAY
September 16, 2026
1 SERIESNLC
16:00
Verdant
1
-
3
Ruddy CorporationFastTree0/2
SERIES
30%
30%
GAME 1
53%
53%
GAME 2
30%
30%
GAME 3
47%
47%
GAME 4
51%
51%
LightGBM0/2
SERIES
38%
38%
GAME 1
55%
55%
GAME 2
48%
48%
GAME 3
42%
42%
GAME 4
46%
46%
PCA Sweep1/3
SERIES
43%
43%
GAME 1
49%
49%
GAME 2
48%
48%
GAME 3
43%
43%
GAME 4
55%
55%
Consensus0/3
SERIES
37%
37%
GAME 1
52%
52%
GAME 2
42%
42%
GAME 3
44%
44%
GAME 4
51%
51%
THURSDAY
September 17, 2026
1 SERIESLPL
09:00
TOP ESPORTS
3
-
1
Invictus GamingFastTree--
SERIES
48%
48%
LightGBM--
SERIES
47%
47%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
44%
44%
Consensus--
SERIES
46%
46%
FRIDAY
September 18, 2026
3 SERIESLPL
09:00
Xi'an Team WE
1
-
3
Beijing JDG EsportsFastTree--
SERIES
47%
47%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
57%
57%
PCA Sweep--
SERIES
48%
48%
Consensus--
SERIES
50%
50%
LEC
15:00
Movistar KOI
3
-
1
Natus VincereFastTree2/2
SERIES
49%
49%
GAME 1
46%
46%
GAME 2
53%
53%
GAME 3
58%
58%
GAME 4
59%
59%
LightGBM3/4
SERIES
62%
62%
GAME 1
43%
43%
GAME 2
56%
56%
GAME 3
56%
56%
GAME 4
54%
54%
PCA Sweep--
SERIES
49%
49%
GAME 1
47%
47%
GAME 2
53%
53%
GAME 3
53%
53%
GAME 4
51%
51%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
53%
53%
GAME 1
46%
46%
GAME 2
54%
54%
GAME 3
56%
56%
GAME 4
55%
55%
LCS
20:00
Sentinels
2
-
3
Shopify RebellionFastTree1/4
SERIES
32%
32%
GAME 1
45%
45%
GAME 2
81%
81%
GAME 3
21%
21%
GAME 4
42%
42%
GAME 5
55%
55%
LightGBM1/3
SERIES
34%
34%
GAME 1
51%
51%
GAME 2
72%
72%
GAME 3
31%
31%
GAME 4
46%
46%
GAME 5
50%
50%
PCA Sweep1/4
SERIES
26%
26%
GAME 1
52%
52%
GAME 2
68%
68%
GAME 3
35%
35%
GAME 4
42%
42%
GAME 5
52%
52%
Consensus1/4
SERIES
30%
30%
GAME 1
49%
49%
GAME 2
73%
73%
GAME 3
29%
29%
GAME 4
43%
43%
GAME 5
52%
52%
SATURDAY
September 19, 2026
6 SERIESVCS
09:00
Saigon MVKE Academy
2
-
1
Saigon 1TAP DINOFastTree1/1
SERIES
68%
68%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
77%
77%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
73%
73%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
72%
72%
LPL
09:00
Beijing JDG Esports
1
-
3
Invictus GamingFastTree0/1
SERIES
45%
45%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
37%
37%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
31%
31%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
37%
37%
VCS
12:00
Saigon 9Gaming Esports
1
-
2
TP.HCM SN CyberCore EsportsFastTree1/1
SERIES
61%
61%
LightGBM--
SERIES
47%
47%
PCA Sweep--
SERIES
51%
51%
Consensus--
SERIES
53%
53%
LEC
15:00
Movistar KOI
3
-
0
Karmine CorpFastTree0/2
SERIES
36%
36%
GAME 1
41%
41%
GAME 2
51%
51%
GAME 3
51%
51%
LightGBM0/2
SERIES
40%
40%
GAME 1
37%
37%
GAME 2
46%
46%
GAME 3
46%
46%
PCA Sweep0/2
SERIES
33%
33%
GAME 1
40%
40%
GAME 2
46%
46%
GAME 3
48%
48%
Consensus0/2
SERIES
36%
36%
GAME 1
40%
40%
GAME 2
47%
47%
GAME 3
48%
48%
CBLOL
16:00
Vivo Keyd Stars
0
-
3
RED KalungaFastTree3/3
SERIES
46%
46%
GAME 1
56%
56%
GAME 2
65%
65%
GAME 3
70%
70%
LightGBM3/4
SERIES
40%
40%
GAME 1
63%
63%
GAME 2
58%
58%
GAME 3
65%
65%
PCA Sweep3/4
SERIES
43%
43%
GAME 1
58%
58%
GAME 2
55%
55%
GAME 3
61%
61%
Consensus3/4
SERIES
43%
43%
GAME 1
59%
59%
GAME 2
59%
59%
GAME 3
65%
65%
LCS
20:00
Cloud9 Kia
3
-
1
LYONFastTree0/4
SERIES
39%
39%
GAME 1
27%
27%
GAME 2
43%
43%
GAME 3
30%
30%
GAME 4
51%
51%
LightGBM1/5
SERIES
43%
43%
GAME 1
21%
21%
GAME 2
60%
60%
GAME 3
21%
21%
GAME 4
38%
38%
PCA Sweep1/5
SERIES
31%
31%
GAME 1
25%
25%
GAME 2
61%
61%
GAME 3
25%
25%
GAME 4
36%
36%
Consensus0/4
SERIES
37%
37%
GAME 1
24%
24%
GAME 2
55%
55%
GAME 3
25%
25%
GAME 4
42%
42%
SUNDAY
September 20, 2026
5 SERIESVCS
09:00
Saigon MVKE Academy
0
-
2
Saigon WarriorFastTree1/1
SERIES
68%
68%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
55%
55%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
57%
57%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
61%
61%
VCS
12:00
Saigon 9Gaming Esports
2
-
0
Saigon 1TAP DINOFastTree--
SERIES
49%
49%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
64%
64%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
62%
62%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
58%
58%
LEC
15:00
Movistar KOI
0
-
3
G2 EsportsFastTree3/3
SERIES
57%
57%
GAME 1
50%
50%
GAME 2
60%
60%
GAME 3
60%
60%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
52%
52%
GAME 1
55%
55%
GAME 2
55%
55%
GAME 3
55%
55%
PCA Sweep2/2
SERIES
60%
60%
GAME 1
53%
53%
GAME 2
56%
56%
GAME 3
54%
54%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
56%
56%
GAME 1
53%
53%
GAME 2
57%
57%
GAME 3
57%
57%
CBLOL
16:00
RED Kalunga
3
-
1
paiN GamingFastTree3/5
SERIES
66%
66%
GAME 1
42%
42%
GAME 2
36%
36%
GAME 3
56%
56%
GAME 4
64%
64%
LightGBM3/4
SERIES
59%
59%
GAME 1
33%
33%
GAME 2
51%
51%
GAME 3
64%
64%
GAME 4
65%
65%
PCA Sweep1/3
SERIES
54%
54%
GAME 1
41%
41%
GAME 2
42%
42%
GAME 3
54%
54%
GAME 4
60%
60%
Consensus3/5
SERIES
59%
59%
GAME 1
39%
39%
GAME 2
43%
43%
GAME 3
58%
58%
GAME 4
63%
63%
LCS
20:00
FlyQuest
0
-
3
Team Liquid AlienwareFastTree4/4
SERIES
55%
55%
GAME 1
80%
80%
GAME 2
85%
85%
GAME 3
70%
70%
LightGBM4/4
SERIES
56%
56%
GAME 1
75%
75%
GAME 2
72%
72%
GAME 3
58%
58%
PCA Sweep4/4
SERIES
67%
67%
GAME 1
78%
78%
GAME 2
75%
75%
GAME 3
71%
71%
Consensus4/4
SERIES
60%
60%
GAME 1
78%
78%
GAME 2
78%
78%
GAME 3
67%
67%