RIFTCAST
Weekly model report
Sep 7–Sep 13, 2026
Last completed week · all leagues
37 evaluated series
Weekly overview
Series and game accuracy across every prediction evaluated this week.
FastTree
Series accuracy
60.0%
15 / 25
Game accuracy
58.9%
33 / 56
LightGBM
Series accuracy
67.7%
21 / 31
Game accuracy
61.7%
29 / 47
PCA Sweep
Series accuracy
55.2%
16 / 29
Game accuracy
61.0%
36 / 59
Consensus
Series accuracy
63.3%
19 / 30
Game accuracy
64.3%
36 / 56
Per-market performance
Accuracy across every settled prediction, plus flat-stake ROI on the value engine's positive-EV picks - broken down by market.
FastTree
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 60% 15/25 | -- |
| Game Winner | 59% 33/56 | -- |
| Series Handicap | 41% 11/27 | -- |
| Total Maps | 75% 27/36 | -- |
| Exact Score | 22% 8/37 | -- |
| Total | 52% 94/181 | -- |
LightGBM
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 68% 21/31 | -- |
| Game Winner | 62% 29/47 | -- |
| Series Handicap | 48% 13/27 | -- |
| Total Maps | 75% 27/36 | -- |
| Exact Score | 24% 9/37 | -- |
| Total | 56% 99/178 | -- |
PCA Sweep
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 55% 16/29 | -- |
| Game Winner | 61% 36/59 | -- |
| Series Handicap | 44% 12/27 | -- |
| Total Maps | 75% 27/36 | -- |
| Exact Score | 22% 8/37 | -- |
| Total | 53% 99/188 | -- |
Consensus
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 63% 19/30 | -- |
| Game Winner | 64% 36/56 | -- |
| Series Handicap | 37% 10/27 | -- |
| Total Maps | 75% 27/36 | -- |
| Exact Score | 19% 7/37 | -- |
| Total | 53% 99/186 | -- |
Match results
37 completed series with evaluated predictions, grouped by match day.
MONDAY
September 7, 2026
6 SERIESLCK CL
08:00
KRX Challengers
0
-
3
DNS ChallengersFastTree3/3
SERIES
61%
61%
GAME 1
57%
57%
GAME 2
51%
51%
GAME 3
56%
56%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
51%
51%
GAME 1
55%
55%
GAME 2
57%
57%
GAME 3
54%
54%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
56%
56%
GAME 1
60%
60%
GAME 2
54%
54%
GAME 3
57%
57%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
56%
56%
GAME 1
57%
57%
GAME 2
54%
54%
GAME 3
56%
56%
LPL
09:00
BILIBILI GAMING
3
-
0
Anyone's LegendFastTree1/1
SERIES
59%
59%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
64%
64%
PCA Sweep--
SERIES
52%
52%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
58%
58%
NLC
16:00
Ruddy Corporation
3
-
0
Arctic PandasFastTree0/1
SERIES
50%
50%
GAME 1
41%
41%
GAME 2
49%
49%
GAME 3
55%
55%
LightGBM1/3
SERIES
56%
56%
GAME 1
34%
34%
GAME 2
52%
52%
GAME 3
42%
42%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
39%
39%
GAME 1
46%
46%
GAME 2
49%
49%
GAME 3
51%
51%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
46%
46%
GAME 1
41%
41%
GAME 2
50%
50%
GAME 3
50%
50%
NACL
17:00
Conviction
2
-
3
NRGFastTree1/1
SERIES
72%
72%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
78%
78%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
72%
72%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
74%
74%
CD
20:00
KaBuM! Eports
3
-
1
INTZFastTree2/3
SERIES
63%
63%
GAME 1
49%
49%
GAME 2
42%
42%
GAME 3
59%
59%
GAME 4
49%
49%
LightGBM1/3
SERIES
57%
57%
GAME 1
43%
43%
GAME 2
38%
38%
GAME 3
47%
47%
GAME 4
49%
49%
PCA Sweep1/2
SERIES
46%
46%
GAME 1
50%
50%
GAME 2
40%
40%
GAME 3
59%
59%
GAME 4
52%
52%
Consensus1/2
SERIES
54%
54%
GAME 1
47%
47%
GAME 2
40%
40%
GAME 3
55%
55%
GAME 4
50%
50%
LRN
23:00
Zeu5 Esports
0
-
3
Fuego
FastTree1/1
SERIES
59%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
62%
PCA Sweep--
SERIES
53%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
57%
TUESDAY
September 8, 2026
6 SERIESLCK CL
05:00
T1 Esports Academy
3
-
1
kt ChallengersFastTree1/4
SERIES
43%
43%
GAME 1
40%
40%
GAME 2
43%
43%
GAME 3
58%
58%
GAME 4
45%
45%
LightGBM0/3
SERIES
44%
44%
GAME 1
38%
38%
GAME 2
51%
51%
GAME 3
48%
48%
GAME 4
41%
41%
PCA Sweep1/4
SERIES
46%
46%
GAME 1
39%
39%
GAME 2
44%
44%
GAME 3
60%
60%
GAME 4
40%
40%
Consensus1/4
SERIES
44%
44%
GAME 1
39%
39%
GAME 2
46%
46%
GAME 3
56%
56%
GAME 4
42%
42%
LCK CL
08:30
DK Challengers
3
-
1
NS ChallengersFastTree0/2
SERIES
37%
37%
GAME 1
39%
39%
GAME 2
47%
47%
GAME 3
47%
47%
GAME 4
46%
46%
LightGBM2/3
SERIES
63%
63%
GAME 1
49%
49%
GAME 2
43%
43%
GAME 3
56%
56%
GAME 4
49%
49%
PCA Sweep0/2
SERIES
40%
40%
GAME 1
43%
43%
GAME 2
50%
50%
GAME 3
50%
50%
GAME 4
50%
50%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
45%
45%
GAME 1
43%
43%
GAME 2
47%
47%
GAME 3
51%
51%
GAME 4
49%
49%
LPL
09:00
LGD GAMING
0
-
3
Invictus GamingFastTree--
SERIES
50%
50%
LightGBM--
SERIES
45%
45%
PCA Sweep--
SERIES
51%
51%
Consensus--
SERIES
49%
49%
Rift Legends
15:00
Forsaken
3
-
2
BOMBA TeamFastTree--
SERIES
46%
46%
LightGBM--
SERIES
52%
52%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
39%
39%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
45%
45%
CD
20:00
KaBuM! Eports
3
-
1
Vivo Keyd Stars AcademyFastTree1/1
SERIES
47%
47%
GAME 1
52%
52%
GAME 2
52%
52%
GAME 3
60%
60%
GAME 4
50%
50%
LightGBM4/4
SERIES
56%
56%
GAME 1
58%
58%
GAME 2
52%
52%
GAME 3
61%
61%
GAME 4
56%
56%
PCA Sweep4/5
SERIES
65%
65%
GAME 1
62%
62%
GAME 2
38%
38%
GAME 3
62%
62%
GAME 4
62%
62%
Consensus4/4
SERIES
57%
57%
GAME 1
58%
58%
GAME 2
47%
47%
GAME 3
61%
61%
GAME 4
56%
56%
LRS
20:00
9z Globant
3
-
0
Golden Lions
FastTree0/1
SERIES
41%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
70%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
68%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
60%
WEDNESDAY
September 9, 2026
4 SERIESLCK CL
08:00
NS Challengers
2
-
3
DNS ChallengersFastTree4/5
SERIES
59%
59%
GAME 1
48%
48%
GAME 2
43%
43%
GAME 3
58%
58%
GAME 4
62%
62%
GAME 5
67%
67%
LightGBM2/2
SERIES
59%
59%
GAME 1
53%
53%
GAME 2
50%
50%
GAME 3
54%
54%
GAME 4
52%
52%
GAME 5
60%
60%
PCA Sweep3/4
SERIES
54%
54%
GAME 1
49%
49%
GAME 2
44%
44%
GAME 3
55%
55%
GAME 4
58%
58%
GAME 5
64%
64%
Consensus4/4
SERIES
57%
57%
GAME 1
50%
50%
GAME 2
46%
46%
GAME 3
56%
56%
GAME 4
58%
58%
GAME 5
64%
64%
Rift Legends
15:00
devils.one
0
-
3
LODIS
FastTree0/1
SERIES
42%
LightGBM--
SERIES
52%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
43%
Consensus--
SERIES
45%
NLC
16:00
Verdant
3
-
1
Deer GamingFastTree4/5
SERIES
85%
85%
GAME 1
19%
19%
GAME 2
81%
81%
GAME 3
80%
80%
GAME 4
81%
81%
LightGBM4/5
SERIES
85%
85%
GAME 1
21%
21%
GAME 2
81%
81%
GAME 3
83%
83%
GAME 4
80%
80%
PCA Sweep4/5
SERIES
85%
85%
GAME 1
24%
24%
GAME 2
78%
78%
GAME 3
79%
79%
GAME 4
78%
78%
Consensus4/5
SERIES
85%
85%
GAME 1
21%
21%
GAME 2
80%
80%
GAME 3
81%
81%
GAME 4
80%
80%
NACL
21:00
Maryville University
3
-
1
NRGFastTree1/5
SERIES
33%
33%
GAME 1
71%
71%
GAME 2
30%
30%
GAME 3
29%
29%
GAME 4
30%
30%
LightGBM1/5
SERIES
20%
20%
GAME 1
58%
58%
GAME 2
39%
39%
GAME 3
36%
36%
GAME 4
36%
36%
PCA Sweep1/5
SERIES
27%
27%
GAME 1
60%
60%
GAME 2
38%
38%
GAME 3
34%
34%
GAME 4
35%
35%
Consensus1/5
SERIES
27%
27%
GAME 1
63%
63%
GAME 2
35%
35%
GAME 3
33%
33%
GAME 4
34%
34%
THURSDAY
September 10, 2026
3 SERIESLCK CL
08:00
DK Challengers
1
-
3
T1 Esports AcademyFastTree--
SERIES
49%
49%
GAME 1
54%
54%
GAME 2
46%
46%
GAME 3
47%
47%
GAME 4
53%
53%
LightGBM1/2
SERIES
43%
43%
GAME 1
56%
56%
GAME 2
46%
46%
GAME 3
50%
50%
GAME 4
50%
50%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
42%
42%
GAME 1
51%
51%
GAME 2
50%
50%
GAME 3
46%
46%
GAME 4
50%
50%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
44%
44%
GAME 1
54%
54%
GAME 2
48%
48%
GAME 3
48%
48%
GAME 4
51%
51%
Rift Legends
15:00
BOMBA Team
3
-
1
LODIS
FastTree--
SERIES
47%
47%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
55%
55%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
62%
62%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
56%
56%
NACL
21:00
Maryville University
3
-
2
Winthrop UniversityFastTree3/4
SERIES
54%
54%
GAME 1
46%
46%
GAME 2
61%
61%
GAME 3
36%
36%
GAME 4
57%
57%
GAME 5
62%
62%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
59%
59%
GAME 1
54%
54%
GAME 2
56%
56%
GAME 3
46%
46%
GAME 4
53%
53%
GAME 5
57%
57%
PCA Sweep4/6
SERIES
64%
64%
GAME 1
42%
42%
GAME 2
65%
65%
GAME 3
34%
34%
GAME 4
64%
64%
GAME 5
65%
65%
Consensus4/5
SERIES
59%
59%
GAME 1
47%
47%
GAME 2
61%
61%
GAME 3
38%
38%
GAME 4
59%
59%
GAME 5
61%
61%
FRIDAY
September 11, 2026
6 SERIESLCK CL
08:00
DNS Challengers
1
-
3
kt ChallengersFastTree2/4
SERIES
46%
46%
GAME 1
57%
57%
GAME 2
57%
57%
GAME 3
40%
40%
GAME 4
41%
41%
LightGBM2/3
SERIES
51%
51%
GAME 1
57%
57%
GAME 2
61%
61%
GAME 3
44%
44%
GAME 4
52%
52%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
48%
48%
GAME 1
60%
60%
GAME 2
54%
54%
GAME 3
47%
47%
GAME 4
47%
47%
Consensus2/3
SERIES
49%
49%
GAME 1
58%
58%
GAME 2
57%
57%
GAME 3
44%
44%
GAME 4
47%
47%
VCS
09:00
TP.HCM SN CyberCore Esports
2
-
1
Saigon 1TAP DINOFastTree0/1
SERIES
34%
34%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
36%
36%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
38%
38%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
36%
36%
VCS
12:00
Saigon Warrior
0
-
2
Saigon 9Gaming EsportsFastTree0/1
SERIES
26%
26%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
19%
19%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
20%
20%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
22%
22%
TCL
14:30
PCIFIC Esports
0
-
3
Bushido WildcatsFastTree0/2
SERIES
50%
50%
GAME 1
41%
41%
GAME 2
44%
44%
GAME 3
50%
50%
LightGBM1/2
SERIES
41%
41%
GAME 1
48%
48%
GAME 2
52%
52%
GAME 3
57%
57%
PCA Sweep0/3
SERIES
42%
42%
GAME 1
40%
40%
GAME 2
43%
43%
GAME 3
52%
52%
Consensus0/2
SERIES
44%
44%
GAME 1
43%
43%
GAME 2
47%
47%
GAME 3
53%
53%
LEC
15:00
GIANTX
2
-
3
Natus VincereFastTree4/6
SERIES
59%
59%
GAME 1
62%
62%
GAME 2
41%
41%
GAME 3
69%
69%
GAME 4
39%
39%
GAME 5
65%
65%
LightGBM2/2
SERIES
66%
66%
GAME 1
50%
50%
GAME 2
50%
50%
GAME 3
57%
57%
GAME 4
50%
50%
GAME 5
54%
54%
PCA Sweep4/6
SERIES
74%
74%
GAME 1
60%
60%
GAME 2
40%
40%
GAME 3
68%
68%
GAME 4
39%
39%
GAME 5
63%
63%
Consensus4/6
SERIES
67%
67%
GAME 1
56%
56%
GAME 2
44%
44%
GAME 3
65%
65%
GAME 4
42%
42%
GAME 5
61%
61%
NACL
21:00
Maryville University
0
-
3
Cupid EsportsFastTree4/4
SERIES
62%
62%
GAME 1
63%
63%
GAME 2
61%
61%
GAME 3
64%
64%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
71%
71%
GAME 1
52%
52%
GAME 2
55%
55%
GAME 3
53%
53%
PCA Sweep4/4
SERIES
67%
67%
GAME 1
59%
59%
GAME 2
60%
60%
GAME 3
63%
63%
Consensus4/4
SERIES
67%
67%
GAME 1
58%
58%
GAME 2
59%
59%
GAME 3
60%
60%
SATURDAY
September 12, 2026
7 SERIESLCK
05:00
T1
1
-
3
Hanwha Life EsportsFastTree1/3
SERIES
49%
49%
GAME 1
58%
58%
GAME 2
42%
42%
GAME 3
42%
42%
GAME 4
53%
53%
LightGBM2/3
SERIES
51%
51%
GAME 1
59%
59%
GAME 2
48%
48%
GAME 3
42%
42%
GAME 4
61%
61%
PCA Sweep1/3
SERIES
54%
54%
GAME 1
57%
57%
GAME 2
43%
43%
GAME 3
44%
44%
GAME 4
52%
52%
Consensus1/3
SERIES
51%
51%
GAME 1
58%
58%
GAME 2
44%
44%
GAME 3
43%
43%
GAME 4
55%
55%
LPL
09:00
Invictus Gaming
2
-
3
Anyone's LegendFastTree--
SERIES
47%
47%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
64%
64%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
58%
58%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
57%
57%
VCS
12:00
Saigon Warrior
2
-
0
TP.HCM SN CyberCore EsportsFastTree1/1
SERIES
68%
68%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
74%
74%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
64%
64%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
68%
68%
Prime League
12:00
G2 NORD
2
-
3
Berlin International GamingFastTree--
SERIES
46%
46%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
39%
39%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
25%
25%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
36%
36%
LEC
15:00
Team Vitality
2
-
3
Movistar KOIFastTree2/3
SERIES
57%
57%
GAME 1
50%
50%
GAME 2
36%
36%
GAME 3
47%
47%
GAME 4
52%
52%
GAME 5
61%
61%
LightGBM2/4
SERIES
62%
62%
GAME 1
41%
41%
GAME 2
46%
46%
GAME 3
59%
59%
GAME 4
40%
40%
GAME 5
48%
48%
PCA Sweep2/3
SERIES
63%
63%
GAME 1
49%
49%
GAME 2
35%
35%
GAME 3
46%
46%
GAME 4
51%
51%
GAME 5
59%
59%
Consensus2/3
SERIES
61%
61%
GAME 1
47%
47%
GAME 2
39%
39%
GAME 3
51%
51%
GAME 4
47%
47%
GAME 5
56%
56%
CBLOL
16:00
LOS
3
-
1
FURIAFastTree1/3
SERIES
40%
40%
GAME 1
55%
55%
GAME 2
65%
65%
GAME 3
41%
41%
GAME 4
54%
54%
LightGBM3/5
SERIES
40%
40%
GAME 1
64%
64%
GAME 2
67%
67%
GAME 3
40%
40%
GAME 4
59%
59%
PCA Sweep2/4
SERIES
40%
40%
GAME 1
57%
57%
GAME 2
64%
64%
GAME 3
43%
43%
GAME 4
51%
51%
Consensus2/4
SERIES
40%
40%
GAME 1
58%
58%
GAME 2
65%
65%
GAME 3
42%
42%
GAME 4
54%
54%
LCS
20:00
Shopify Rebellion
0
-
3
Cloud9 KiaFastTree4/4
SERIES
76%
76%
GAME 1
67%
67%
GAME 2
75%
75%
GAME 3
72%
72%
LightGBM4/4
SERIES
74%
74%
GAME 1
76%
76%
GAME 2
78%
78%
GAME 3
74%
74%
PCA Sweep4/4
SERIES
82%
82%
GAME 1
72%
72%
GAME 2
77%
77%
GAME 3
74%
74%
Consensus4/4
SERIES
78%
78%
GAME 1
71%
71%
GAME 2
76%
76%
GAME 3
73%
73%
SUNDAY
September 13, 2026
5 SERIESLCK
05:00
Hanwha Life Esports
1
-
3
Gen.G EsportsFastTree2/3
SERIES
59%
59%
GAME 1
37%
37%
GAME 2
48%
48%
GAME 3
53%
53%
GAME 4
59%
59%
LightGBM1/2
SERIES
55%
55%
GAME 1
42%
42%
GAME 2
48%
48%
GAME 3
47%
47%
GAME 4
54%
54%
PCA Sweep3/4
SERIES
60%
60%
GAME 1
37%
37%
GAME 2
52%
52%
GAME 3
55%
55%
GAME 4
60%
60%
Consensus2/3
SERIES
58%
58%
GAME 1
39%
39%
GAME 2
49%
49%
GAME 3
51%
51%
GAME 4
58%
58%
VCS
09:00
Saigon Warrior
2
-
0
Saigon 1TAP DINOFastTree1/1
SERIES
77%
77%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
62%
62%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
81%
81%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
74%
74%
LPL
09:00
Anyone's Legend
3
-
1
BILIBILI GAMINGFastTree0/1
SERIES
24%
24%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
28%
28%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
30%
30%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
28%
28%
VCS
12:00
Saigon MVKE Academy
0
-
2
TP.HCM SN CyberCore EsportsFastTree0/1
SERIES
41%
41%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
30%
30%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
25%
25%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
32%
32%
CBLOL
16:00
LOUD
3
-
1
paiN GamingFastTree4/5
SERIES
74%
74%
GAME 1
34%
34%
GAME 2
57%
57%
GAME 3
71%
71%
GAME 4
72%
72%
LightGBM4/5
SERIES
66%
66%
GAME 1
33%
33%
GAME 2
59%
59%
GAME 3
72%
72%
GAME 4
72%
72%
PCA Sweep4/5
SERIES
72%
72%
GAME 1
32%
32%
GAME 2
65%
65%
GAME 3
72%
72%
GAME 4
73%
73%
Consensus4/5
SERIES
71%
71%
GAME 1
33%
33%
GAME 2
60%
60%
GAME 3
72%
72%
GAME 4
72%
72%