RIFTCAST
LEAGUE OF LEGENDS ESPORTS PREDICTIONS
16,374
Matches
453
Teams
230
Tournaments
41,236
Settled Picks
Four machine-learning models. Every prediction published before the match, graded in public.
Verified market performance· Featured markets · +EV ROI
Filtered settled picksFeatured markets are fixed for each model. ROI uses settled published +EV picks and recorded profit at a one-unit stake. Negative-ROI leagues are excluded separately for each model and market. The expandable lists show markets the model leads, with at least 50 settled picks, ordered by pick count.
Series Winner
+29.0%
153 picks
FastTree
99/153
landed
+44.3u
65%
hit rate
Series Total Kills (Prelive)
+17.9%
177 picks
LightGBM
114/177
landed
+31.6u
64%
hit rate
Player Total Kills (Prelive)
+30.7%
128 picks
PCA Sweep
85/128
landed
+39.2u
66%
hit rate
Game Winner
+18.0%
193 picks
Consensus
123/193
landed
+34.8u
64%
hit rate
World Championship
Worlds 2026
Knockouts · Next: TES vs IG in 7h 42m
Bracket, qualified teams, power rankings and winner projections
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Worlds
FastTree
· free model
Best models: Consensus
+0.0%
LeanUpdated 2h ago
TES44.9%
IG55.1%
market 2.20 · fair 2.22
fair 1.82 · market 1.61
Model agreement
Unlock all four
50/50FastTree · 55.1% IG
Form
4–1
4–1
last five series
4–1
4–1
last five series
Gold
15 min
−0.2k
−0.0k
season average
Head to head
7
5
3–1 in the last series
7
5
3–1 in the last seriesModelSeries winner
Accuracy
At this confidenceWorlds ROI
ROI on +EV picks
FastTreeNegative +EV recordNegative +EV record. Excludes model-market-league records with negative settled +EV ROI.
44.9
55.1
45%14/31
66%619/945
Claims 55.1% here · was right 66% of the time at this confidence (619/945)
−28.1%16/30
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.16/30 picks
−34.1%2/7
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.2/7 picks
LightGBMNegative +EV recordNegative +EV record. Excludes model-market-league records with negative settled +EV ROI.
Best ROI in WorldsBest accuracy in Worlds
53%17/32
–
−15.2%18/30
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.18/30 picks
−14.3%2/7
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.2/7 picks
PCA SweepNegative +EV recordNegative +EV record. Excludes model-market-league records with negative settled +EV ROI.
Best for confidence
50%14/28
67%634/943
−33.1%15/30
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.15/30 picks
−50.0%1/6
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.1/6 picks
ConsensusBest +EV in Worlds
52%17/33
–
−25.2%17/30
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.17/30 picks
+0.0%1/3
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.1/3 picks
Accuracy and ROI are each model's record on past Worlds matches on this market.
Best price
market line
TES2.20
IG1.61
TES2.20
IG1.61Chance the market gives
from the price, margin removed
TES42.3%
IG57.7%
TES42.3%
IG57.7%Chance the models give
FastTree only
TES44.9%
IG55.1%
TES44.9%
IG55.1%
Sign in to track this pickTracked picksSaved picks go to the Stake Tracker on your account page and settle automatically once the match finishes. Premium members also get an email when the models change their call on a tracked series winner pick before kickoff - you can switch that on or off in your Account settings.