RIFTCAST
LEAGUE OF LEGENDS ESPORTS PREDICTIONS
15,816
Matches
450
Teams
230
Tournaments
29,696
Settled Picks
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Four machine-learning models. Every prediction published before the match, graded in public.

Verified market performance· Best market per model · +EV ROI profitable markets · 50+ picksEach tile shows a market this model currently leads: the best +EV ROI of the four models, in profit, over at least 50 settled picks.
Game Post-Draft Total Kills
+8.6%
346 picks
FastTree
205/346 landed +29.8u
59% hit rate
Series Total Kills
+7.5%
252 picks
LightGBM
148/252 landed +18.8u
59% hit rate
Series Winner
+8.7%
105 picks
PCA Sweep
70/105 landed +9.2u
67% hit rate
Game Winner
+5.9%
203 picks
Consensus
130/203 landed +12.0u
64% hit rate
Worlds 2026
World Championship

Worlds 2026

Play-In starts in 26 days · 10 of 19 teams qualified
Bracket, qualified teams, power rankings and winner projections
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Recent winning pick
MKOI vs VIT
Sep 12 · LEC · Bo5 · Series Winner
1.61 PCA Sweep Won
+4.4% ROI 62% hit rate 206–128 record
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VCS BO3 12:00
FastTree · free modelHigh confidenceUpdated 44m ago
9G30.0% SCBC70.0%
fair 3.33 fair 1.43
Model agreement Unlock all four
50/50FastTree · 70.0% SCBC
Form 1–4 2–3 last five series
Gold 15 min −0.3k −2.2k season average
Head to head 1 1 0–2 in the last series
Consensus, LightGBM & PCA Sweep are Premium models Upgrade to Premium
ModelSeries winner Accuracy At this confidenceVCS ROI ROI on +EV picks
FastTree!Best for confidence
30.0 70.0
33%2/6
71%348/492 Claims 70.0% here · was right 71% of the time at this confidence (348/492)
LightGBM!
Premium
33%2/6
PCA Sweep!
Premium
33%2/6
Consensus!
Premium
33%2/6
70%388/555
Accuracy and ROI are each model's record on past VCS matches on this market.
Model Fair 9G Edge @ Fair SCBC Edge @
FastTree3.33 1.43
LightGBM Premium
PCA Sweep Premium
Consensus Premium
LEC BO5 15:00 Bracket
Movistar KOIMKOI 2 - 0
VS
FastTree · free modelHigh confidenceUpdated 31m ago
MKOI22.6% KC77.4%
market 3.25 · fair 4.43 fair 1.29 · market 1.33
Model agreement Unlock all four
50/50FastTree · 77.4% KC
Form 4–1 4–1 last five series
Gold 15 min +0.7k +1.1k season average
Head to head 3 10 0–2 in the last series
Consensus, LightGBM & PCA Sweep are Premium models Upgrade to Premium
ModelSeries winner Accuracy At this confidenceLEC ROI ROI on +EV picks
FastTree
22.6 77.4
75%36/48
75%239/317 Claims 77.4% here · was right 75% of the time at this confidence (239/317)
−10.4%32/46 ?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.32/46 picks
−12.6%9/16 ?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.9/16 picks
LightGBMBest +EV in LECBest ROI in LEC
Premium
73%37/51
71%341/479
+3.3%37/50 ?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.37/50 picks
+26.5%13/18 ?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.13/18 picks
PCA Sweep
Premium
72%34/47
75%244/327
−1.1%37/51 ?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.37/51 picks
+1.6%10/17 ?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.10/17 picks
ConsensusBest accuracy in LECBest for confidence
Premium
77%36/47
76%237/311
+0.4%36/47 ?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.36/47 picks
−8.2%5/9 ?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.5/9 picks
Accuracy and ROI are each model's record on past LEC matches on this market.
Best price market line MKOI3.25 KC1.33
Chance the market gives from the price, margin removed MKOI29.0% KC71.0%
Chance the models give FastTree only MKOI22.6% KC77.4%
Model Fair MKOI Edge @3.25 Fair KC Edge @1.33
FastTree4.43 −26.6% 1.29 +3.0%
LightGBM Premium
PCA Sweep Premium
Consensus Premium
Line movement MKOI 3.75 3.25 · KC 1.25 1.33 3
Rift Legends BO5 15:00
ForsakenFORS 5 - 1
VS
BOMBA TeamBOMB 5 - 3
FastTree · free modelLeanUpdated 31m ago
FORS55.8% BOMB44.2%
market 1.61 · fair 1.79 fair 2.26 · market 2.20
Model agreement Unlock all four
50/50FastTree · 55.8% FORS
Form 4–1 4–1 last five series
Gold 15 min +0.5k +1.3k season average
Head to head 3 2 3–2 in the last series
Consensus, LightGBM & PCA Sweep are Premium models Upgrade to Premium
ModelSeries winner Accuracy At this confidenceRift Legends ROI ROI on +EV picks
FastTree!
55.8 44.2
60%9/15
69%394/574 Claims 55.8% here · was right 69% of the time at this confidence (394/574)
LightGBMBest accuracy in Rift Legends
Premium
71%12/17
PCA Sweep
Premium
67%10/15
69%392/571
ConsensusBest for confidence
Premium
67%12/18
70%388/555
Accuracy and ROI are each model's record on past Rift Legends matches on this market.
Best price market line FORS1.61 BOMB2.20
Chance the market gives from the price, margin removed FORS57.7% BOMB42.3%
Chance the models give FastTree only FORS55.8% BOMB44.2%
Model Fair FORS Edge @1.61 Fair BOMB Edge @2.20
FastTree1.79 −10.1% 2.26 −2.8%
LightGBM Premium
PCA Sweep Premium
Consensus Premium
Line movement FORS 1.72 1.61 · BOMB 2.00 2.20 2
CBLOL BO5 16:00
VS
RED KalungaRED 0 - 1
FastTree · free modelLeanUpdated 31m ago
VKS58.2% RED41.8%
market 1.53 · fair 1.72 fair 2.39 · market 2.37
Model agreement Unlock all four
50/50FastTree · 58.2% VKS
Form 2–3 1–4 last five series
Gold 15 min −2.1k +1.0k season average
Head to head 4 3 2–1 in the last series
Consensus, LightGBM & PCA Sweep are Premium models Upgrade to Premium
ModelSeries winner Accuracy At this confidenceCBLOL ROI ROI on +EV picks
FastTreeBest ROI in CBLOLBest accuracy in CBLOL
58.2 41.8
79%27/34
69%394/574 Claims 58.2% here · was right 69% of the time at this confidence (394/574)
+6.4%26/33 ?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.26/33 picks
+15.8%9/13 ?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.9/13 picks
LightGBM
Premium
75%24/32
71%341/479
+2.2%25/33 ?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.25/33 picks
+24.3%7/10 ?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.7/10 picks
PCA Sweep
Premium
74%26/35
70%347/493
+0.2%25/34 ?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.25/34 picks
+16.8%10/14 ?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.10/14 picks
ConsensusBest +EV in CBLOLBest for confidence
Premium
78%28/36
72%341/474
+6.3%27/35 ?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.27/35 picks
+32.8%9/12 ?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.9/12 picks
Accuracy and ROI are each model's record on past CBLOL matches on this market.
Best price market line VKS1.53 RED2.37
Chance the market gives from the price, margin removed VKS60.8% RED39.2%
Chance the models give FastTree only VKS58.2% RED41.8%
Model Fair VKS Edge @1.53 Fair RED Edge @2.37
FastTree1.72 −11.0% 2.39 −0.8%
LightGBM Premium
PCA Sweep Premium
Consensus Premium
Line movement VKS 1.40 1.53 · RED 2.75 2.37 2
LCS BO5 20:00
Cloud9 KiaC9 1 - 0
VS
LYONLYON
FastTree · free modelHigh confidenceUpdated 31m ago
C920.2% LYON79.8%
market 3.75 · fair 4.95 fair 1.25 · market 1.25
Model agreement Unlock all four
50/50FastTree · 79.8% LYON
Form 4–1 4–1 last five series
Gold 15 min +0.5k +0.6k season average
Head to head 6 3 0–2 in the last series
Consensus, LightGBM & PCA Sweep are Premium models Upgrade to Premium
ModelSeries winner Accuracy At this confidenceLCS ROI ROI on +EV picks
FastTree
20.2 79.8
77%27/35
75%239/317 Claims 79.8% here · was right 75% of the time at this confidence (239/317)
−5.8%26/36 ?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.26/36 picks
−22.0%7/14 ?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.7/14 picks
LightGBM
Premium
83%29/35
73%231/316
+7.6%28/35 ?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.28/35 picks
+16.7%7/10 ?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.7/10 picks
PCA SweepBest +EV in LCSBest ROI in LCSBest accuracy in LCSBest for confidence
Premium
83%30/36
82%128/157
+8.4%29/36 ?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.29/36 picks
+20.6%13/17 ?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.13/17 picks
Consensus
Premium
81%26/32
76%237/311
+3.8%27/34 ?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.27/34 picks
−3.1%6/10 ?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.6/10 picks
Accuracy and ROI are each model's record on past LCS matches on this market.
Best price market line C93.75 LYON1.25
Chance the market gives from the price, margin removed C925.0% LYON75.0%
Chance the models give FastTree only C920.2% LYON79.8%
Model Fair C9 Edge @3.75 Fair LYON Edge @1.25
FastTree4.95 −24.2% 1.25 −0.3%
LightGBM Premium
PCA Sweep Premium
Consensus Premium
Line movement C9 3.25 3.75 · LYON 1.33 1.25 4