Riftcast — League of Legends Esports Predictions

Calibrated ML predictions for League of Legends esports

Three machine-learning models and a consensus verdict across every market — winner, handicap, map totals. We track every prediction and publish the real hit rate, so an 80% pick wins about 80% of the time.

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12,664 Matches Analyzed
415 Teams Tracked
222 Tournaments
Verified results — value picks up +19.3% ROI, high-confidence picks hit 79%, every result public
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Recent winning pick
ANUB to win @ 1.50
EMEA Masters · Bo3 · vs BOMB
Consensus Won
+12.9% ROI 71% hit rate 86–35 record
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MSI BO5 03:00
Karmine CorpKARM
VS
Deep Cross GamingDEEP
Consensus
Premium
FastTree
59.6%
40.4%
LightGBM
Premium
PCA SweepBest for confidence
Premium
Updated 1h ago
FastTree
Series Prediction Accuracy for MSI — 0/0 ! Limited history in MSI for this model (fewer than 3 settled predictions). Its reliability here is unproven — treat the call as exploratory.
Accuracy for confidence level Accuracy for confidence levelHow accurate this model has been across ALL leagues when it predicts with this level of confidence. Thresholds: 55%+, 60%+, 70%+, 80%+. This is not league-specific. 68% 255/377
LightGBM
Series Prediction Accuracy for MSI — 0/0 ! Limited history in MSI for this model (fewer than 3 settled predictions). Its reliability here is unproven — treat the call as exploratory.
Accuracy for confidence level Accuracy for confidence levelHow accurate this model has been across ALL leagues when it predicts with this level of confidence. Thresholds: 55%+, 60%+, 70%+, 80%+. This is not league-specific. 71% 230/325
PCA Sweep Best for confidence
Series Prediction Accuracy for MSI — 0/0 ! Limited history in MSI for this model (fewer than 3 settled predictions). Its reliability here is unproven — treat the call as exploratory.
Accuracy for confidence level Accuracy for confidence levelHow accurate this model has been across ALL leagues when it predicts with this level of confidence. Thresholds: 55%+, 60%+, 70%+, 80%+. This is not league-specific. 73% 206/283
Consensus
Series Prediction Accuracy for MSI — 0/0 ! Limited history in MSI for this model (fewer than 3 settled predictions). Its reliability here is unproven — treat the call as exploratory.
Accuracy for confidence level Accuracy for confidence levelHow accurate this model has been across ALL leagues when it predicts with this level of confidence. Thresholds: 55%+, 60%+, 70%+, 80%+. This is not league-specific. 69% 236/341
KARM DEEP
Market Odds 1.08 7.00
FastTree! Limited history for this model in MSI (fewer than 3 settled predictions). Its reliability here is unproven — treat the call as exploratory. Sign in to see
LightGBM! Limited history for this model in MSI (fewer than 3 settled predictions). Its reliability here is unproven — treat the call as exploratory. Premium
PCA Sweep! Limited history for this model in MSI (fewer than 3 settled predictions). Its reliability here is unproven — treat the call as exploratory. Premium
Consensus! Limited history for this model in MSI (fewer than 3 settled predictions). Its reliability here is unproven — treat the call as exploratory. ConsensusConsensus = unweighted average of FastTree, LightGBM, and PCA Sweep (each already calibrated and weighted). Premium