RIFTCAST
Weekly model report
May 18 — May 24, 2026
Last completed week · all leagues
45 evaluated series
Weekly overview
Series and game accuracy across every prediction evaluated this week.
FastTree
Series accuracy
73.2%
30 / 41
Game accuracy
72.7%
40 / 55
LightGBM
Series accuracy
70.7%
29 / 41
Game accuracy
75.0%
48 / 64
PCA Sweep
Series accuracy
70.7%
29 / 41
Game accuracy
73.4%
47 / 64
Consensus
Series accuracy
70.5%
31 / 44
Game accuracy
76.7%
46 / 60
Per-market performance
Accuracy across every settled prediction, plus flat-stake ROI on the value engine's positive-EV picks — broken down by market.
FastTree
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 73% 30/41 | +23% 15 picks |
| Game Winner | 73% 40/55 | +22% 15 picks |
| Series Handicap | -- | -- |
| Total Maps | -- | -- |
| Exact Score | -- | -- |
| Total | 73% 70/96 | +23% +6.8u |
LightGBM
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 71% 29/41 | +29% 18 picks |
| Game Winner | 75% 48/64 | +9% 32 picks |
| Series Handicap | -- | -- |
| Total Maps | -- | -- |
| Exact Score | -- | -- |
| Total | 73% 77/105 | +16% +8.2u |
PCA Sweep
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 71% 29/41 | +27% 16 picks |
| Game Winner | 73% 47/64 | +21% 12 picks |
| Series Handicap | -- | -- |
| Total Maps | -- | -- |
| Exact Score | -- | -- |
| Total | 72% 76/105 | +24% +6.8u |
Consensus
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 70% 31/44 | +25% 18 picks |
| Game Winner | 77% 46/60 | +25% 23 picks |
| Series Handicap | -- | -- |
| Total Maps | -- | -- |
| Exact Score | -- | -- |
| Total | 74% 77/104 | +25% +10.2u |
Match results
45 completed series with evaluated predictions, grouped by match day.
MONDAY
May 18, 2026
2 SERIESEsports World Cup
08:00 UTC
KT Rolster
0
-
2
HANJIN BRIONFastTree0/1
SERIES
19%
19%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
40%
40%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
37%
37%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
34%
34%
CD
20:00 UTC
Estral Esports
3
-
0
RED AcademyFastTree0/1
SERIES
50%
50%
LightGBM--
SERIES
48%
48%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
37%
37%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
41%
41%
TUESDAY
May 19, 2026
2 SERIESLCK CL
08:00 UTC
BNK FEARX Youth
2
-
0
HANJIN BRION ChallengersFastTree0/1
SERIES
36%
36%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
33%
33%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
24%
24%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
22%
22%
TCL
14:00 UTC
SU Esports
3
-
1
BoostGate EsportsFastTree1/1
SERIES
64%
64%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
78%
78%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
81%
81%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
80%
80%
WEDNESDAY
May 20, 2026
12 SERIESLCK
08:00 UTC
T1
2
-
1
KIWOOM DRXFastTree3/4
SERIES
82%
82%
GAME 1
76%
76%
GAME 2
25%
25%
GAME 3
75%
75%
LightGBM3/4
SERIES
76%
76%
GAME 1
71%
71%
GAME 2
31%
31%
GAME 3
70%
70%
PCA Sweep3/4
SERIES
80%
80%
GAME 1
72%
72%
GAME 2
29%
29%
GAME 3
71%
71%
Consensus3/4
SERIES
80%
80%
GAME 1
73%
73%
GAME 2
28%
28%
GAME 3
72%
72%
Esports World Cup
09:00 UTC
Team Secret Whales
3
-
1
GAM Esports
FastTree1/1
SERIES
64%
64%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
60%
60%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
69%
69%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
67%
67%
LCK
10:00 UTC
NONGSHIM RED FORCE
1
-
2
kt RolsterFastTree3/4
SERIES
80%
80%
GAME 1
37%
37%
GAME 2
62%
62%
GAME 3
63%
63%
LightGBM3/4
SERIES
67%
67%
GAME 1
23%
23%
GAME 2
77%
77%
GAME 3
69%
69%
PCA Sweep3/4
SERIES
69%
69%
GAME 1
34%
34%
GAME 2
65%
65%
GAME 3
64%
64%
Consensus3/4
SERIES
68%
68%
GAME 1
32%
32%
GAME 2
68%
68%
GAME 3
66%
66%
TCL
14:00 UTC
PCIFIC Esports
3
-
2
Bushido WildcatsFastTree1/1
SERIES
50%
50%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
66%
66%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
62%
62%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
52%
52%
LES
15:00 UTC
LUA Gaming
2
-
0
UB Alma MaterFastTree3/3
SERIES
80%
80%
GAME 1
61%
61%
GAME 2
60%
60%
LightGBM2/2
SERIES
49%
49%
GAME 1
70%
70%
GAME 2
70%
70%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
61%
61%
GAME 1
61%
61%
GAME 2
60%
60%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
51%
51%
GAME 1
64%
64%
GAME 2
64%
64%
Prime League
15:00 UTC
TeamOrangeGaming
1
-
3
E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTSFastTree0/1
SERIES
36%
36%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
21%
21%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
19%
19%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
20%
20%
LFL
16:00 UTC
TLN Pirates
1
-
2
Karmine Corp BlueFastTree1/1
SERIES
81%
81%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
78%
78%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
77%
77%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
80%
80%
Rift Legends
17:30 UTC
Anonymo Esports
0
-
2
BOMBA TeamFastTree1/1
SERIES
64%
64%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
78%
78%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
76%
76%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
79%
79%
LES
18:00 UTC
Barça Esports
0
-
2
Heretics AcademyFastTree3/3
SERIES
81%
81%
GAME 1
71%
71%
GAME 2
72%
72%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
79%
79%
GAME 1
76%
76%
GAME 2
76%
76%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
81%
81%
GAME 1
71%
71%
GAME 2
71%
71%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
80%
80%
GAME 1
73%
73%
GAME 2
73%
73%
LFL
19:00 UTC
Solary
2
-
0
GalionsFastTree1/1
SERIES
80%
80%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
59%
59%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
61%
61%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
53%
53%
NACL
20:00 UTC
CCG Esports
2
-
1
Winthrop UniversityFastTree1/1
SERIES
50%
50%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
39%
39%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
32%
32%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
50%
50%
NACL
23:00 UTC
Maryville University
1
-
2
ConvictionFastTree0/1
SERIES
20%
20%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
20%
20%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
18%
18%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
20%
20%
THURSDAY
May 21, 2026
8 SERIESLCK
08:00 UTC
BNK FEARX
0
-
2
Hanwha Life EsportsFastTree2/2
SERIES
79%
79%
GAME 1
79%
79%
LightGBM2/2
SERIES
80%
80%
GAME 1
86%
86%
PCA Sweep2/2
SERIES
82%
82%
GAME 1
74%
74%
Consensus2/2
SERIES
82%
82%
GAME 1
80%
80%
LJL
08:00 UTC
FENNEL
2
-
0
UWinksFastTree3/3
SERIES
81%
81%
GAME 1
78%
78%
GAME 2
79%
79%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
80%
80%
GAME 1
86%
86%
GAME 2
85%
85%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
83%
83%
GAME 1
76%
76%
GAME 2
76%
76%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
82%
82%
GAME 1
80%
80%
GAME 2
80%
80%
LCK
10:00 UTC
Dplus KIA
2
-
1
HANJIN BRIONFastTree3/4
SERIES
63%
63%
GAME 1
65%
65%
GAME 2
34%
34%
GAME 3
65%
65%
LightGBM2/3
SERIES
52%
52%
GAME 1
84%
84%
GAME 2
30%
30%
GAME 3
60%
60%
PCA Sweep2/3
SERIES
50%
50%
GAME 1
62%
62%
GAME 2
38%
38%
GAME 3
63%
63%
Consensus3/4
SERIES
50%
50%
GAME 1
70%
70%
GAME 2
34%
34%
GAME 3
63%
63%
LJL
11:00 UTC
Rising Gaming
2
-
1
New MetaFastTree2/3
SERIES
82%
82%
GAME 1
26%
26%
GAME 2
72%
72%
GAME 3
54%
54%
LightGBM2/4
SERIES
78%
78%
GAME 1
15%
15%
GAME 2
86%
86%
GAME 3
45%
45%
PCA Sweep3/4
SERIES
75%
75%
GAME 1
29%
29%
GAME 2
70%
70%
GAME 3
59%
59%
Consensus2/3
SERIES
80%
80%
GAME 1
23%
23%
GAME 2
76%
76%
GAME 3
52%
52%
TCL
14:00 UTC
Misa Esports
3
-
0
Ozarox EsportsFastTree1/1
SERIES
79%
79%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
79%
79%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
76%
76%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
80%
80%
LES
15:00 UTC
FALKE ESPORTS
0
-
2
GIANTX ITEROFastTree3/3
SERIES
81%
81%
GAME 1
77%
77%
GAME 2
76%
76%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
78%
78%
GAME 1
83%
83%
GAME 2
85%
85%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
76%
76%
GAME 1
72%
72%
GAME 2
71%
71%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
80%
80%
GAME 1
77%
77%
GAME 2
78%
78%
Prime League
15:00 UTC
G2 NORD
3
-
0
Unicorns of Love Sexy EditionFastTree--
SERIES
50%
50%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
66%
66%
PCA Sweep--
SERIES
50%
50%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
58%
58%
LES
18:00 UTC
UCAM Esports Club
1
-
2
Movistar KOI FénixFastTree--
SERIES
50%
50%
GAME 1
46%
46%
GAME 2
51%
51%
GAME 3
51%
51%
LightGBM2/3
SERIES
51%
51%
GAME 1
60%
60%
GAME 2
65%
65%
GAME 3
17%
17%
PCA Sweep1/3
SERIES
50%
50%
GAME 1
44%
44%
GAME 2
59%
59%
GAME 3
41%
41%
Consensus1/2
SERIES
56%
56%
GAME 1
50%
50%
GAME 2
58%
58%
GAME 3
36%
36%
FRIDAY
May 22, 2026
6 SERIESLCK CL
05:00 UTC
KT Rolster Challengers
2
-
1
BNK FEARX YouthFastTree1/1
SERIES
64%
64%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
78%
78%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
69%
69%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
79%
79%
LCK
08:00 UTC
DN SOOPers
0
-
2
KIWOOM DRXFastTree3/3
SERIES
78%
78%
GAME 1
75%
75%
GAME 2
75%
75%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
76%
76%
GAME 1
83%
83%
GAME 2
82%
82%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
76%
76%
GAME 1
70%
70%
GAME 2
71%
71%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
80%
80%
GAME 1
76%
76%
GAME 2
76%
76%
LJL
08:00 UTC
DFM Academy
1
-
2
RAYN ClocksFastTree1/4
SERIES
37%
37%
GAME 1
38%
38%
GAME 2
64%
64%
GAME 3
36%
36%
LightGBM2/4
SERIES
35%
35%
GAME 1
41%
41%
GAME 2
60%
60%
GAME 3
63%
63%
PCA Sweep1/4
SERIES
31%
31%
GAME 1
39%
39%
GAME 2
61%
61%
GAME 3
41%
41%
Consensus1/3
SERIES
33%
33%
GAME 1
39%
39%
GAME 2
62%
62%
GAME 3
47%
47%
LCK
10:00 UTC
kt Rolster
0
-
2
Gen.G EsportsFastTree3/3
SERIES
80%
80%
GAME 1
71%
71%
GAME 2
71%
71%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
65%
65%
GAME 1
78%
78%
GAME 2
70%
70%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
69%
69%
GAME 1
71%
71%
GAME 2
72%
72%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
67%
67%
GAME 1
73%
73%
GAME 2
71%
71%
LJL
11:00 UTC
L Guide Gaming
0
-
2
ArnebFastTree2/2
SERIES
64%
64%
GAME 1
61%
61%
LightGBM1/2
SERIES
66%
66%
GAME 1
43%
43%
PCA Sweep2/2
SERIES
63%
63%
GAME 1
60%
60%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
67%
67%
GAME 1
54%
54%
TCL
14:00 UTC
SU Esports
1
-
3
PCIFIC EsportsFastTree0/1
SERIES
44%
44%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
39%
39%
PCA Sweep--
SERIES
50%
50%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
49%
49%
SATURDAY
May 23, 2026
8 SERIESLPL
06:00 UTC
Suzhou LNG Esports
2
-
3
Xi'an Team WEFastTree--
SERIES
50%
50%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
21%
21%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
50%
50%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
47%
47%
LCK
08:00 UTC
Dplus KIA
2
-
1
BNK FEARXFastTree3/4
SERIES
81%
81%
GAME 1
63%
63%
GAME 2
36%
36%
GAME 3
65%
65%
LightGBM3/4
SERIES
76%
76%
GAME 1
82%
82%
GAME 2
17%
17%
GAME 3
70%
70%
PCA Sweep3/4
SERIES
76%
76%
GAME 1
63%
63%
GAME 2
26%
26%
GAME 3
61%
61%
Consensus3/4
SERIES
79%
79%
GAME 1
69%
69%
GAME 2
26%
26%
GAME 3
65%
65%
LPL
09:00 UTC
THUNDER TALK GAMING
3
-
0
Invictus GamingFastTree0/1
SERIES
19%
19%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
25%
25%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
32%
32%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
22%
22%
LCP
09:00 UTC
MVK Esports
3
-
2
CTBC Flying OysterFastTree1/1
SERIES
64%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
75%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
63%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
67%
LCK
10:00 UTC
Hanwha Life Esports
2
-
1
NONGSHIM RED FORCEFastTree3/4
SERIES
79%
79%
GAME 1
24%
24%
GAME 2
76%
76%
GAME 3
76%
76%
LightGBM3/4
SERIES
80%
80%
GAME 1
15%
15%
GAME 2
85%
85%
GAME 3
85%
85%
PCA Sweep3/4
SERIES
80%
80%
GAME 1
27%
27%
GAME 2
72%
72%
GAME 3
73%
73%
Consensus3/4
SERIES
81%
81%
GAME 1
22%
22%
GAME 2
78%
78%
GAME 3
78%
78%
LEC
15:00 UTC
G2 Esports
3
-
1
Karmine CorpFastTree4/5
SERIES
80%
80%
GAME 1
38%
38%
GAME 2
59%
59%
GAME 3
63%
63%
GAME 4
65%
65%
LightGBM4/5
SERIES
67%
67%
GAME 1
33%
33%
GAME 2
63%
63%
GAME 3
68%
68%
GAME 4
79%
79%
PCA Sweep4/5
SERIES
69%
69%
GAME 1
41%
41%
GAME 2
59%
59%
GAME 3
59%
59%
GAME 4
64%
64%
Consensus4/5
SERIES
67%
67%
GAME 1
37%
37%
GAME 2
60%
60%
GAME 3
63%
63%
GAME 4
69%
69%
CBLOL
16:00 UTC
LOS
3
-
0
Vivo Keyd StarsFastTree2/2
SERIES
50%
50%
GAME 1
50%
50%
GAME 2
63%
63%
GAME 3
64%
64%
LightGBM4/4
SERIES
61%
61%
GAME 1
81%
81%
GAME 2
83%
83%
GAME 3
82%
82%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
61%
61%
GAME 1
53%
53%
GAME 2
65%
65%
GAME 3
65%
65%
Consensus4/4
SERIES
51%
51%
GAME 1
61%
61%
GAME 2
70%
70%
GAME 3
71%
71%
LCS
20:00 UTC
FlyQuest
2
-
3
Cloud9 KiaFastTree4/6
SERIES
64%
64%
GAME 1
64%
64%
GAME 2
66%
66%
GAME 3
37%
37%
GAME 4
37%
37%
GAME 5
58%
58%
LightGBM4/6
SERIES
59%
59%
GAME 1
60%
60%
GAME 2
82%
82%
GAME 3
17%
17%
GAME 4
18%
18%
GAME 5
60%
60%
PCA Sweep4/6
SERIES
68%
68%
GAME 1
60%
60%
GAME 2
62%
62%
GAME 3
36%
36%
GAME 4
36%
36%
GAME 5
59%
59%
Consensus4/6
SERIES
66%
66%
GAME 1
62%
62%
GAME 2
70%
70%
GAME 3
30%
30%
GAME 4
30%
30%
GAME 5
59%
59%
SUNDAY
May 24, 2026
7 SERIESLPL
06:00 UTC
Shenzhen NINJAS IN PYJAMAS
2
-
3
EDWARD GAMINGFastTree0/1
SERIES
43%
43%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
26%
26%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
37%
37%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
34%
34%
LCK
08:00 UTC
Gen.G Esports
2
-
0
DN SOOPersFastTree3/3
SERIES
79%
79%
GAME 1
77%
77%
GAME 2
81%
81%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
80%
80%
GAME 1
85%
85%
GAME 2
84%
84%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
81%
81%
GAME 1
75%
75%
GAME 2
74%
74%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
81%
81%
GAME 1
79%
79%
GAME 2
80%
80%
LPL
09:00 UTC
WeiboGaming
2
-
3
LGD GAMINGFastTree0/1
SERIES
36%
36%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
25%
25%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
32%
32%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
33%
33%
LCK
10:00 UTC
T1
2
-
0
HANJIN BRIONFastTree3/3
SERIES
81%
81%
GAME 1
80%
80%
GAME 2
78%
78%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
79%
79%
GAME 1
86%
86%
GAME 2
86%
86%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
76%
76%
GAME 1
71%
71%
GAME 2
75%
75%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
80%
80%
GAME 1
79%
79%
GAME 2
80%
80%
LEC
15:00 UTC
Movistar KOI
3
-
0
Team VitalityFastTree0/3
SERIES
45%
45%
GAME 1
39%
39%
GAME 2
38%
38%
GAME 3
49%
49%
LightGBM1/3
SERIES
35%
35%
GAME 1
55%
55%
GAME 2
21%
21%
GAME 3
69%
69%
PCA Sweep1/4
SERIES
32%
32%
GAME 1
42%
42%
GAME 2
43%
43%
GAME 3
61%
61%
Consensus1/3
SERIES
47%
47%
GAME 1
45%
45%
GAME 2
33%
33%
GAME 3
60%
60%
CBLOL
16:00 UTC
FURIA
3
-
0
RED Canids KalungaFastTree1/1
SERIES
56%
56%
GAME 1
55%
55%
GAME 2
54%
54%
GAME 3
51%
51%
LightGBM4/4
SERIES
60%
60%
GAME 1
70%
70%
GAME 2
80%
80%
GAME 3
61%
61%
PCA Sweep4/4
SERIES
63%
63%
GAME 1
56%
56%
GAME 2
57%
57%
GAME 3
57%
57%
Consensus4/4
SERIES
52%
52%
GAME 1
60%
60%
GAME 2
64%
64%
GAME 3
56%
56%
LCS
20:00 UTC
Team Liquid Alienware
2
-
3
LYONFastTree3/5
SERIES
64%
64%
GAME 1
29%
29%
GAME 2
51%
51%
GAME 3
70%
70%
GAME 4
30%
30%
GAME 5
70%
70%
LightGBM4/6
SERIES
66%
66%
GAME 1
22%
22%
GAME 2
82%
82%
GAME 3
60%
60%
GAME 4
15%
15%
GAME 5
82%
82%
PCA Sweep4/6
SERIES
69%
69%
GAME 1
43%
43%
GAME 2
56%
56%
GAME 3
57%
57%
GAME 4
40%
40%
GAME 5
58%
58%
Consensus4/6
SERIES
67%
67%
GAME 1
31%
31%
GAME 2
63%
63%
GAME 3
63%
63%
GAME 4
28%
28%
GAME 5
70%
70%