Series Predictions
Barca eSports
Movistar KOI Fenix
FastTreeBest in LESBest for confidence
20.3%
79.7%
LightGBM
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PCA Sweep
Premium
FastTree
Best in LESBest for confidence
Series Prediction Accuracy for LES
86%
12/14
Accuracy for confidence level
Accuracy for confidence levelHow accurate this model has been across ALL leagues when it predicts with this level of confidence. Thresholds: 55%+, 60%+, 70%+, 80%+. This is not league-specific.
75%
180/241
Market · Series prelive
Barca eSports
2.50
·
Movistar KOI Fenix
1.50
Barca eSports
2.50
·
Movistar KOI Fenix
1.50
Barca eSports
Movistar KOI FenixMarket Odds
2.50
1.50
FastTree
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LightGBM
Premium
PCA Sweep
Premium
Consensus
ConsensusConsensus = unweighted average of FastTree, LightGBM, and PCA Sweep (each already calibrated and weighted).
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Head-to-Head & Form
Barca eSports
Elo Rating
1571
Tournament Record
0-1
(1-3)
Overall Record
115W - 97L (54.2%)
Current Streak
1L
H2H Win Rate
36.3%
VS
Movistar KOI Fenix
Elo Rating
1628
Tournament Record
0-1
(2-3)
Overall Record
26W - 14L (65%)
Current Streak
1L
H2H Win Rate
63.7%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Objective Control
Objective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
+128
Impact
20.3%
Barca eSports
2
Expected Win Rate
Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
+12.2% expected WR
Impact
17.6%
Movistar KOI Fenix
3
Head-to-Head History
+27.4% WR
Impact
17.2%
Movistar KOI Fenix
4
Elo Composite
Elo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
+33
Impact
14.2%
Movistar KOI Fenix
5
Elo Rating
+86 Elo
Impact
13.2%
Movistar KOI Fenix
6
Vision Control
Vision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
+97
Impact
13%
Movistar KOI Fenix
7
Early Game
Early GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
+422
Impact
3.5%
Movistar KOI Fenix
Scouting Report
Barca eSports
BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Movistar KOI Fenix
RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (65%)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Stronger first tower pressure