Series Edge
Premium
Bo3Patch 16.17Updates after every game
FENNELBetter draft expected
Premium
Better draft expectedWhich roster is expected to get the better draft on this patch, from pool depth and the current meta. A house read, not any single model's number.
See which side, and whether the market agrees
Cupid EsportsHighest impact champions this seriesPremium
Highest impact champions this series
The five champions that swing this series most, with who plays them and how it has gone.
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Series Predictions
FENNELCupid Esports


FastTree
· free model
Uncertain
FENNEL54.6%
Cupid Esports45.4%
Head-to-Head & Form
FENNELElo Rating
1736
Tournament Record
–
Overall Record
41W - 8L (83.7%)
Current Streak
1W
H2H Win Rate
---
VS
Cupid EsportsElo Rating
1562
Tournament Record
–
Overall Record
17W - 5L (77.3%)
Current Streak
5W
H2H Win Rate
---
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
FENNEL +61
FENNEL leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Cupid Esports.
Impact
29.2%
Counts for Cupid Esports
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Elo Rating
FENNEL +262 Elo
Impact
21%
FENNEL
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
FENNEL +31.9% expected WR
Impact
13.1%
FENNEL
4
Win Streak
Cupid Esports +4 games
Impact
11.2%
Cupid Esports
5
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
FENNEL +121
Impact
8.4%
FENNEL
6
Opponent Avg Elo
FENNEL +0.461
Impact
5.6%
FENNEL
7
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
FENNEL +0.461
Impact
4.4%
FENNEL
8
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Cupid Esports +50%
Impact
3.5%
Cupid Esports
9
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Cupid Esports +206
Impact
1.5%
Cupid Esports
Scouting Report
FENNEL
BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (84%)
Higher damage output
Higher first blood rate
Cupid Esports
RED
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)