Week preview · Aug 28–Sep 4, 2026
CD - this week's matches, called by the models
Model performance for CD?
Return on investment
Flat-stake ROI - the return from staking 1 unit on this model's picks at the closing market odds. ALL counts every priced prediction in this market; +EV counts only the picks that were positive-EV at that price (the ones the value engine stakes).
Series winner
7/13-4% ROI
Handicap
––
Total maps
––
Exact score
––
- 2 series scheduled in CD this week.
- Tightest matchup by Elo: RMD Gaming (#188) vs INTZ (#124).
Handicap, Total Maps, Exact Score, Total Kills and Player Kills unlock with Premium
Monday, Aug 31
FastTree
· free model
Best models: FastTree
−0.7%
High confidenceUpdated 2h ago
RMD27.2%
INTZ72.8%
market 6.00 · fair 3.68
fair 1.37 · market 1.11
Model agreement
Unlock all four
50/50FastTree · 72.8% INTZ
Form
3–2
4–1
last five series
3–2
4–1
last five series
Gold
15 min
−0.7k
−0.1k
season average
Head to head
0
2
0–1 in the last series
0
2
0–1 in the last seriesModelSeries winner
Accuracy
At this confidenceCD ROI
ROI on +EV picks
FastTreeBest +EV in CDBest ROI in CDBest accuracy in CD
27.2
72.8
69%34/49
71%448/627
Claims 72.8% here · was right 71% of the time at this confidence (448/627)
+2.3%23/32
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.23/32 picks
−0.7%12/20
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.12/20 picks
LightGBM
67%32/48
73%432/591
−8.4%23/32
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.23/32 picks
−12.1%9/13
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.9/13 picks
PCA Sweep!
63%30/48
72%460/636
−6.7%21/29
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.21/29 picks
−10.3%9/14
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.9/14 picks
ConsensusBest for confidence
68%32/47
74%444/598
−4.1%22/30
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.22/30 picks
−19.4%8/14
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.8/14 picks
Accuracy and ROI are each model's record on past CD matches on this market.
Best price
market line
RMD6.00
INTZ1.11
RMD6.00
INTZ1.11Chance the market gives
from the price, margin removed
RMD15.6%
INTZ84.4%
RMD15.6%
INTZ84.4%Chance the models give
FastTree only
RMD27.2%
INTZ72.8%
RMD27.2%
INTZ72.8%
Sign in to track this pick
Tracked picksSaved picks go to the Stake Tracker on your account page and settle automatically once the match finishes. Premium members also get an email when the models change their call on a tracked series winner pick before kickoff - you can switch that on or off in your Account settings.
Tuesday, Sep 1
FastTree
· free model
Best models: FastTree
−0.7%
High confidenceUpdated 2h ago
KBM76.2%
NERD23.8%
fair 1.31
fair 4.20
Model agreement
Unlock all four
50/50FastTree · 76.2% KBM
Form
4–1
1–4
last five series
4–1
1–4
last five series
Gold
15 min
+0.5k
−5.0k
season average
Head to head
2
0
1–0 in the last series
2
0
1–0 in the last seriesModelSeries winner
Accuracy
At this confidenceCD ROI
ROI on +EV picks
FastTreeBest +EV in CDBest ROI in CDBest accuracy in CDBest for confidence
76.2
23.8
69%34/49
71%448/627
Claims 76.2% here · was right 71% of the time at this confidence (448/627)
+2.3%23/32
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.23/32 picks
−0.7%12/20
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.12/20 picks
LightGBM
67%32/48
70%551/791
−8.4%23/32
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.23/32 picks
−12.1%9/13
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.9/13 picks
PCA Sweep!
63%30/48
68%567/840
−6.7%21/29
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.21/29 picks
−10.3%9/14
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.9/14 picks
Consensus
68%32/47
69%559/811
−4.1%22/30
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.22/30 picks
−19.4%8/14
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.8/14 picks
Accuracy and ROI are each model's record on past CD matches on this market.
See every model's call on these matches
LightGBM, PCA Sweep and Consensus predictions, value picks and premium markets.
Go Premium