Week preview · Sep 5–Sep 12, 2026

CD - this week's matches, called by the models

Model performance for CD? Return on investment Flat-stake ROI - the return from staking 1 unit on this model's picks at the closing market odds. ALL counts every priced prediction in this market; +EV counts only the picks that were positive-EV at that price (the ones the value engine stakes).
Series winner 8/14-1% ROI
Handicap ––
Total maps ––
Exact score ––
  • 1 series scheduled in CD this week.
  • Tightest matchup by Elo: KaBuM! Eports (#100) vs INTZ (#118).

Monday, Sep 7

CD BO5 20:00
KaBuM! EportsKBM 2 - 1
VS
INTZINTZ 2 - 1
FastTree · free modelLeanUpdated 2h ago
KBM39.0% INTZ61.0%
market 2.20 · fair 2.56 fair 1.64 · market 1.61
Model agreement Unlock all four
50/50FastTree · 61.0% INTZ
Form 4–1 4–1 last five series
Gold 15 min +0.5k −0.1k season average
Head to head 2 1 0–1 in the last series
Markets
Series Handicap Premium unlock to see the number Series Total maps Premium unlock to see the number Series Exact score Premium unlock to see the number Series Total kills Premium unlock to see the number
Consensus, LightGBM & PCA Sweep are Premium models Upgrade to Premium
ModelSeries winner Accuracy At this confidenceCD ROI ROI on +EV picks
FastTreeBest +EV in CDBest ROI in CDBest accuracy in CDBest for confidence
39.0 61.0
71%37/52
69%604/880 Claims 61.0% here · was right 69% of the time at this confidence (604/880)
+3.6%26/35 ?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.26/35 picks
+1.2%13/21 ?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.13/21 picks
LightGBM
Premium
69%35/51
–
−6.1%26/35 ?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.26/35 picks
−12.1%9/13 ?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.9/13 picks
PCA Sweep!
Premium
65%33/51
–
−4.4%24/32 ?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.24/32 picks
−10.3%9/14 ?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.9/14 picks
Consensus
Premium
70%35/50
68%651/954
−2.1%25/33 ?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.25/33 picks
−15.5%9/15 ?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.9/15 picks
Accuracy and ROI are each model's record on past CD matches on this market.
Best price market line KBM2.20 INTZ1.61
Chance the market gives from the price, margin removed KBM42.3% INTZ57.7%
Chance the models give FastTree only KBM39.0% INTZ61.0%
Model Fair KBM Edge @2.20 Fair INTZ Edge @1.61
FastTree2.56 −14.1% 1.64 −1.9%
LightGBM Premium
PCA Sweep Premium
Consensus Premium
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See every model's call on these matches LightGBM, PCA Sweep and Consensus predictions, value picks and premium markets.
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