LCKWeek 9

NONGSHIM RED FORCE vs Dplus KIA - LCK

NONGSHIM RED FORCE NONGSHIM RED FORCE
VS
Dplus KIA Dplus KIA
May 31, 10:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
NONGSHIM RED FORCE
Dplus KIA
FastTree · free model
NONGSHIM RED FORCE29.9% Dplus KIA70.1%
Head-to-Head & Form
Nongshim RedForce
Elo Rating 1585
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 99W - 142L (41.1%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 37.4%
VS
Dplus KIA
Elo Rating 1788
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 178W - 142L (55.6%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 62.6%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Dplus KIA +202 Elo
Impact 24%
Dplus KIA
2
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Dplus KIA +62
Dplus KIA leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Nongshim RedForce.
Impact 22.6%
Counts for Nongshim RedForce The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Dplus KIA +26.2% expected WR
Impact 11.7%
Dplus KIA
4
Head-to-Head History
Dplus KIA +25.2% WR
Impact 6%
Dplus KIA
5
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Dplus KIA +64
Impact 5.6%
Dplus KIA
6
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Nongshim RedForce +150
Impact 5.6%
Nongshim RedForce
7
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Dplus KIA +8.7%
Impact 5%
Dplus KIA
8
Opponent Avg Elo
Dplus KIA +0.032
Impact 4.9%
Dplus KIA
9
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Dplus KIA +0.032
Impact 4.6%
Dplus KIA
10
Win Rate
Dplus KIA +14.5% WR
Impact 3.7%
Dplus KIA
Scouting Report
Nongshim RedForce BLUE
Higher damage output
Dplus KIA RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (56%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better vision control
Better dragon control