May 24, 15:00·Bo5
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Series Predictions
Team VitalityMovistar KOI
FastTree
· free model
Uncertain
Team Vitality54.0%
Movistar KOI46.0%
Head-to-Head & Form
Team VitalityElo Rating
1589
Tournament Record
0-1
(0-3)
Overall Record
67W - 66L (50.4%)
Current Streak
3L
H2H Win Rate
43.2%
VS
Movistar KOIElo Rating
1548
Tournament Record
–
Overall Record
130W - 122L (51.6%)
Current Streak
2W
H2H Win Rate
56.8%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Win Streak
Movistar KOI +5 games
Impact
15.9%
Movistar KOI
2
H2HWin Rate Weighted
Movistar KOI +13.7% WR
Movistar KOI leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Vitality.
Impact
14.8%
Counts for Team Vitality
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Vision Control
Vision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Movistar KOI +469
Movistar KOI leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Vitality.
Impact
13.8%
Counts for Team Vitality
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Schedule Strength
Schedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Movistar KOI +0.085
Impact
10.5%
Movistar KOI
5
Expected Win Rate
Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Team Vitality +6% expected WR
Impact
8.9%
Team Vitality
6
Elo Rating
Team Vitality +42 Elo
Impact
7.5%
Team Vitality
7
Opponent Avg Elo
Movistar KOI +0.085
Impact
6.6%
Movistar KOI
8
Upset Rate
Upset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Movistar KOI +6.9%
Impact
3.9%
Movistar KOI
9
Objective Control
Objective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Team Vitality +41
Impact
3.5%
Team Vitality
10
Recent Win Rate
Recent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
Movistar KOI +20% WR
Movistar KOI leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Vitality.
Impact
3.3%
Counts for Team Vitality
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Team Vitality
BLUE
Higher rated overall
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Movistar KOI
RED
Better vision control