LECPlayoffs

Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports - LEC

Movistar KOI Movistar KOI3-1
VS
3-0G2 Esports G2 Esports
May 25, 15:00·Bo5

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Series Predictions
Movistar KOI
G2 Esports
FastTree · free model
Movistar KOI26.1% G2 Esports73.9%
Head-to-Head & Form
Movistar KOI
Elo Rating 1676
Tournament Record 3-1 (9-6)
Overall Record 139W - 128L (52.1%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 30.9%
VS
G2 Esports
Elo Rating 1851
Tournament Record 3-0 (9-1)
Overall Record 154W - 89L (63.4%)
Current Streak 4W
H2H Win Rate 69.1%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
G2 Esports +175 Elo
Impact 21.4%
G2 Esports
2
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
G2 Esports +37
G2 Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Movistar KOI.
Impact 14.5%
Counts for Movistar KOI The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Movistar KOI +71
Impact 11.2%
Movistar KOI
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
G2 Esports +23.2% expected WR
Impact 9%
G2 Esports
5
Win Streak
G2 Esports +7 games
Impact 8.3%
G2 Esports
6
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
G2 Esports +0.197
Impact 6.9%
G2 Esports
7
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
G2 Esports +62
Impact 6%
G2 Esports
8
Head-to-Head History
G2 Esports +38.1% WR
Impact 5.7%
G2 Esports
9
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
G2 Esports +3.2%
Impact 4.8%
G2 Esports
10
Opponent Avg Elo
Movistar KOI +0
Movistar KOI leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward G2 Esports.
Impact 4.3%
Counts for G2 Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Movistar KOI BLUE
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
G2 Esports RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (63%)