LECWeek 6

Shifters vs Team Heretics - LEC

Shifters Shifters
VS
Team Heretics Team Heretics
Aug 28, 15:00·Bo3
Series Predictions
Shifters
Team Heretics
FastTree · free model
Shifters43.0% Team Heretics57.0%
Head-to-Head & Form
Shifters
Elo Rating 1404
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 19W - 41L (31.7%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 72.7%
VS
Team Heretics
Elo Rating 1237
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 34W - 79L (30.1%)
Current Streak 6L
H2H Win Rate 27.3%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
Contrarian call - fading the favorite
No single stat favors Team Heretics. Shifters leads nearly every metric below, but the model reads that profile as one that tends to lose here - so it favors Team Heretics anyway. The rows below are the Shifters edges the model weighs against, not reasons Team Heretics is ahead.
1
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
Shifters +40% WR
Shifters leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Heretics.
Impact 39.2%
Counts for Team Heretics The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
History Depth
Shifters +0
Shifters leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Heretics.
Impact 17.8%
Counts for Team Heretics The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Win Rate
Shifters +1.6% WR
Impact 10.1%
Shifters
4
Elo Rating
Shifters +121 Elo
Impact 3.6%
Shifters
5
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Shifters +87
Impact 3.5%
Shifters
6
Opponent Avg Elo
Shifters +0
Impact 3.3%
Shifters
7
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Shifters +238
Impact 3.2%
Shifters
8
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Shifters +145
Impact 3.1%
Shifters
9
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Shifters +16.7% expected WR
Impact 3.1%
Shifters
10
Head-to-Head History
Shifters +45.4% WR
Impact 2.7%
Shifters
Scouting Report
Shifters BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Higher first blood rate
Stronger first tower pressure
Team Heretics RED
Well-rounded profile