LECWeek 5

Team Heretics vs SK Gaming - LEC

Aug 21, 15:00·Bo3
Series Predictions
Team Heretics
SK Gaming
FastTree · free model
Team Heretics37.4% SK Gaming62.6%
Head-to-Head & Form
Team Heretics
Elo Rating 1237
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 34W - 79L (30.1%)
Current Streak 6L
H2H Win Rate 54.5%
VS
SK Gaming
Elo Rating 1430
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 27W - 68L (28.4%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 45.5%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
SK Gaming +37
SK Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Heretics.
Impact 34%
Counts for Team Heretics The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Elo Rating
SK Gaming +158 Elo
Impact 19.3%
SK Gaming
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
SK Gaming +21.3% expected WR
Impact 10.7%
SK Gaming
4
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
SK Gaming +0.018
Impact 7.1%
SK Gaming
5
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
SK Gaming +633
Impact 6.6%
SK Gaming
6
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
SK Gaming +74
Impact 5%
SK Gaming
7
Opponent Avg Elo
Team Heretics +0
Team Heretics leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward SK Gaming.
Impact 4.2%
Counts for SK Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Head-to-Head History
Team Heretics +9% WR
Team Heretics leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward SK Gaming.
Impact 3.2%
Counts for SK Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Win Streak
SK Gaming +4 games
Impact 2.5%
SK Gaming
10
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
SK Gaming +40% WR
SK Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Heretics.
Impact 1.8%
Counts for Team Heretics The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Team Heretics BLUE
Well-rounded profile
SK Gaming RED
Higher rated overall
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output
Better vision control