LECWeek 6

Team Heretics vs Movistar KOI - LEC

Team Heretics Team Heretics
VS
3-1Movistar KOI Movistar KOI
Aug 30, 14:15·Bo3

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Series Predictions
Team Heretics
Movistar KOI
FastTree · free model
Team Heretics20.3% Movistar KOI79.7%
Head-to-Head & Form
Team Heretics
Elo Rating 1237
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 34W - 79L (30.1%)
Current Streak 6L
H2H Win Rate 33.7%
VS
Movistar KOI
Elo Rating 1717
Tournament Record 3-1 (9-6)
Overall Record 140W - 128L (52.2%)
Current Streak 1W
H2H Win Rate 66.3%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Movistar KOI +480 Elo
Impact 31.5%
Movistar KOI
2
Win Rate
Movistar KOI +22.2% WR
Movistar KOI leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Heretics.
Impact 20.3%
Counts for Team Heretics The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Movistar KOI +44.1% expected WR
Impact 13.6%
Movistar KOI
4
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Movistar KOI +21.4%
Impact 8.7%
Movistar KOI
5
Opponent Avg Elo
Movistar KOI +0.149
Impact 6.6%
Movistar KOI
6
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Movistar KOI +1040
Impact 4.5%
Movistar KOI
7
Head-to-Head History
Movistar KOI +32.5% WR
Impact 4%
Movistar KOI
8
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Movistar KOI +60
Impact 3.6%
Movistar KOI
9
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Movistar KOI +362
Impact 3.5%
Movistar KOI
10
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Movistar KOI +546
Impact 1.4%
Movistar KOI
Scouting Report
Team Heretics BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Movistar KOI RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (52%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output