LECWeek 6

Team Vitality vs Shifters - LEC

Team Vitality Team Vitality0-2
VS
Shifters Shifters
Aug 30, 12:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
Team Vitality
Shifters
FastTree · free model
Team Vitality80.8% Shifters19.2%
Head-to-Head & Form
Team Vitality
Elo Rating 1583
Tournament Record 0-2 (2-6)
Overall Record 75W - 73L (50.7%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 58.5%
VS
Shifters
Elo Rating 1404
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 19W - 41L (31.7%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 41.5%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Team Vitality +226 Elo
Impact 30.5%
Team Vitality
2
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Team Vitality +132
Impact 14.3%
Team Vitality
3
Opponent Avg Elo
Shifters +0.108
Impact 14.1%
Shifters
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Team Vitality +28.6% expected WR
Impact 12.2%
Team Vitality
5
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Team Vitality +10.6%
Impact 9.5%
Team Vitality
6
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Team Vitality +846
Impact 7.1%
Team Vitality
7
Head-to-Head History
Team Vitality +17% WR
Impact 3.3%
Team Vitality
8
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Team Vitality +399
Team Vitality leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Shifters.
Impact 2.9%
Counts for Shifters The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Shifters +0.108
Impact 1.9%
Shifters
10
Win Rate
Team Vitality +19% WR
Impact 1.6%
Team Vitality
Scouting Report
Team Vitality BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (51%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output
Shifters RED
Well-rounded profile