LECWeek 5

Fnatic vs Shifters - LEC

Fnatic Fnatic
VS
Shifters Shifters
Aug 22, 15:00·Bo3
Series Predictions
Fnatic
Shifters
FastTree · free model
Fnatic81.2% Shifters18.8%
Head-to-Head & Form
Fnatic
Elo Rating 1474
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 79W - 77L (50.6%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 66.9%
VS
Shifters
Elo Rating 1404
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 19W - 41L (31.7%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 33.1%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Win Rate
Fnatic +19% WR
Impact 18.1%
Fnatic
2
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Fnatic +73
Fnatic leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Shifters.
Impact 16.5%
Counts for Shifters The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Elo Rating
Fnatic +117 Elo
Impact 12.6%
Fnatic
4
Head-to-Head History
Fnatic +33.8% WR
Impact 10.6%
Fnatic
5
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Fnatic +220
Impact 10.2%
Fnatic
6
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Fnatic +16.2% expected WR
Impact 6.8%
Fnatic
7
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Fnatic +516
Impact 6%
Fnatic
8
Opponent Avg Elo
Fnatic +0
Impact 4.5%
Fnatic
9
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Shifters +25
Shifters leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Fnatic.
Impact 4%
Counts for Fnatic The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Fnatic +13.5%
Impact 3.1%
Fnatic
Scouting Report
Fnatic BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (51%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Better dragon control
Shifters RED
Well-rounded profile