LECWeek 5

SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - LEC

SK Gaming SK Gaming
VS
3-1Movistar KOI Movistar KOI
Aug 22, 17:15·Bo3
Series Predictions
SK Gaming
Movistar KOI
FastTree · free model
SK Gaming19.3% Movistar KOI80.7%
Head-to-Head & Form
SK Gaming
Elo Rating 1430
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 27W - 68L (28.4%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 49.5%
VS
Movistar KOI
Elo Rating 1676
Tournament Record 3-1 (9-6)
Overall Record 139W - 128L (52.1%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 50.5%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Movistar KOI +281 Elo
Impact 26.7%
Movistar KOI
2
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Movistar KOI +17%
Impact 14.7%
Movistar KOI
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Movistar KOI +33.4% expected WR
Impact 13%
Movistar KOI
4
Win Streak
SK Gaming +1 games
Impact 9.7%
SK Gaming
5
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Movistar KOI +474
Movistar KOI leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward SK Gaming.
Impact 9.6%
Counts for SK Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Opponent Avg Elo
Movistar KOI +0.128
Impact 6.1%
Movistar KOI
7
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Movistar KOI +57
Impact 5.9%
Movistar KOI
8
Win Rate
Movistar KOI +23.6% WR
Impact 3%
Movistar KOI
9
Head-to-Head History
Movistar KOI +1% WR
Impact 2.7%
Movistar KOI
10
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Movistar KOI +0.128
Impact 2.4%
Movistar KOI
Scouting Report
SK Gaming BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Movistar KOI RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (52%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Stronger first tower pressure