LECWeek 4

SK Gaming vs Fnatic - LEC

Aug 15, 15:00·Bo3
Series Predictions
SK Gaming
Fnatic
FastTree · free model
Uncertain
SK Gaming52.9% Fnatic47.1%
Head-to-Head & Form
SK Gaming
Elo Rating 1430
Tournament Record
Overall Record 27W - 68L (28.4%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 46.7%
VS
Fnatic
Elo Rating 1474
Tournament Record
Overall Record 79W - 77L (50.6%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 53.3%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Head-to-Head History
Fnatic +6.6% WR
Fnatic leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward SK Gaming.
Impact 26.8%
Counts for SK Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
SK Gaming +20% WR
Impact 16.3%
SK Gaming
3
Win Rate
Fnatic +22.2% WR
Impact 11.5%
Fnatic
4
History Depth
SK Gaming +0
Impact 8.3%
SK Gaming
5
Elo Rating
Fnatic +79 Elo
Impact 5.5%
Fnatic
6
Opponent Avg Elo
SK Gaming +0
SK Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Fnatic.
Impact 4.6%
Counts for Fnatic The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Fnatic +328
Impact 4.3%
Fnatic
8
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Fnatic +12.6%
Impact 4%
Fnatic
9
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Fnatic +241
Impact 3.9%
Fnatic
10
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Fnatic +233
Impact 3.5%
Fnatic
Scouting Report
SK Gaming BLUE
Higher damage output
Fnatic RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (51%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Stronger first tower pressure