LECWeek 6

SK Gaming vs Karmine Corp - LEC

SK Gaming SK Gaming
VS
1-2Karmine Corp Karmine Corp
Aug 29, 15:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
SK Gaming
Karmine Corp
FastTree · free model
SK Gaming15.5% Karmine Corp84.5%
Head-to-Head & Form
SK Gaming
Elo Rating 1430
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 27W - 68L (28.4%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 24.2%
VS
Karmine Corp
Elo Rating 1827
Tournament Record 1-2 (4-7)
Overall Record 157W - 96L (62.1%)
Current Streak 8W
H2H Win Rate 75.8%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Karmine Corp +432 Elo
Impact 34.5%
Karmine Corp
2
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Karmine Corp +42.3% expected WR
Impact 17.1%
Karmine Corp
3
H2HWin Rate Weighted
Karmine Corp +51.7% WR
Karmine Corp leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward SK Gaming.
Impact 15.5%
Counts for SK Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Karmine Corp +20.1%
Impact 7.4%
Karmine Corp
5
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Karmine Corp +800
Impact 6.6%
Karmine Corp
6
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Karmine Corp +674
Impact 4.2%
Karmine Corp
7
Opponent Avg Elo
Karmine Corp +0.231
Impact 3.8%
Karmine Corp
8
Head-to-Head History
Karmine Corp +51.7% WR
Impact 3.1%
Karmine Corp
9
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Karmine Corp +22
Impact 1.8%
Karmine Corp
10
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Karmine Corp +0.231
Impact 1.5%
Karmine Corp
Scouting Report
SK Gaming BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Karmine Corp RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (62%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Stronger first tower pressure