LECWeek 2

Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - LEC

Fnatic Fnatic
VS
3-1Movistar KOI Movistar KOI
Aug 2, 17:15·Bo3
Series Predictions
Fnatic
Movistar KOI
FastTree · free model
Fnatic30.3% Movistar KOI69.7%
Head-to-Head & Form
Fnatic
Elo Rating 1474
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 79W - 77L (50.6%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 31.9%
VS
Movistar KOI
Elo Rating 1676
Tournament Record 3-1 (9-6)
Overall Record 139W - 128L (52.1%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 68.1%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Movistar KOI +202 Elo
Impact 24.9%
Movistar KOI
2
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Movistar KOI +146
Movistar KOI leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Fnatic.
Impact 12.8%
Counts for Fnatic The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Movistar KOI +4.4%
Movistar KOI leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Fnatic.
Impact 11.4%
Counts for Fnatic The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Movistar KOI +310
Impact 8.4%
Movistar KOI
5
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Movistar KOI +26.2% expected WR
Impact 8.2%
Movistar KOI
6
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Movistar KOI +0.093
Impact 7.7%
Movistar KOI
7
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Movistar KOI +86
Impact 6%
Movistar KOI
8
Opponent Avg Elo
Movistar KOI +0.093
Impact 5.8%
Movistar KOI
9
Win Streak
Fnatic +2 games
Impact 4.7%
Fnatic
10
Head-to-Head History
Movistar KOI +36.2% WR
Impact 3.1%
Movistar KOI
Scouting Report
Fnatic BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Movistar KOI RED
Higher rated overall
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Higher damage output
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)