LECWeek 3

Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - LEC

Fnatic Fnatic
VS
1-2Karmine Corp Karmine Corp
Aug 9, 17:15·Bo3
Series Predictions
Fnatic
Karmine Corp
FastTree · free model
Fnatic13.1% Karmine Corp86.9%
Head-to-Head & Form
Fnatic
Elo Rating 1474
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 79W - 77L (50.6%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 37.8%
VS
Karmine Corp
Elo Rating 1714
Tournament Record 1-2 (4-7)
Overall Record 148W - 94L (61.2%)
Current Streak 4L
H2H Win Rate 62.2%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Karmine Corp +240 Elo
Impact 27.9%
Karmine Corp
2
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Karmine Corp +29.9% expected WR
Impact 16.3%
Karmine Corp
3
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Karmine Corp +489
Impact 13.1%
Karmine Corp
4
Opponent Avg Elo
Karmine Corp +0.194
Impact 12.3%
Karmine Corp
5
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Karmine Corp +6.1%
Karmine Corp leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Fnatic.
Impact 7%
Counts for Fnatic The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Karmine Corp +0.194
Impact 3.9%
Karmine Corp
7
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Karmine Corp +90
Impact 3.3%
Karmine Corp
8
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Karmine Corp +229
Impact 3.2%
Karmine Corp
9
Win Rate
Karmine Corp +10.5% WR
Impact 2.6%
Karmine Corp
10
Win Streak
Fnatic +3 games
Impact 2.5%
Fnatic
Scouting Report
Fnatic BLUE
Higher first blood rate
Karmine Corp RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (61%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output