LECWeek 4

G2 Esports vs Fnatic - LEC

G2 Esports G2 Esports3-0
VS
Fnatic Fnatic
Aug 16, 17:15·Bo3
Series Predictions
G2 Esports
Fnatic
FastTree · free model
G2 Esports85.3% Fnatic14.7%
Head-to-Head & Form
G2 Esports
Elo Rating 1851
Tournament Record 3-0 (9-1)
Overall Record 154W - 89L (63.4%)
Current Streak 4W
H2H Win Rate ---
VS
Fnatic
Elo Rating 1474
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 79W - 77L (50.6%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate ---
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
G2 Esports +377 Elo
Impact 24.6%
G2 Esports
2
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
G2 Esports +39.7% expected WR
Impact 14.6%
G2 Esports
3
Opponent Avg Elo
G2 Esports +0.29
Impact 11.8%
G2 Esports
4
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
G2 Esports +347
Impact 11.4%
G2 Esports
5
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
G2 Esports +174
Impact 10.4%
G2 Esports
6
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
G2 Esports +76
G2 Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Fnatic.
Impact 8.1%
Counts for Fnatic The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
G2 Esports +7.6%
G2 Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Fnatic.
Impact 4.7%
Counts for Fnatic The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Win Rate
G2 Esports +12.7% WR
Impact 3.3%
G2 Esports
9
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
G2 Esports +0.29
Impact 2.6%
G2 Esports
10
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
G2 Esports +167
Impact 2.6%
G2 Esports
Scouting Report
G2 Esports BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (63%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Higher damage output
Stronger first tower pressure
Fnatic RED
Higher first blood rate