Sep 5, 10:00·Bo5
Sign in to track this pick
Series Predictions
Team VitalityG2 Esports
FastTree
· free model
Team Vitality24.4%
G2 Esports75.6%
Head-to-Head & Form
Team VitalityElo Rating
1589
Tournament Record
0-1
(0-3)
Overall Record
67W - 66L (50.4%)
Current Streak
3L
H2H Win Rate
28.1%
VS
G2 EsportsElo Rating
1797
Tournament Record
2-0
(6-1)
Overall Record
151W - 89L (62.9%)
Current Streak
1W
H2H Win Rate
71.9%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
G2 Esports +26.8% expected WR
Impact
24.2%
G2 Esports
2
Elo Rating
G2 Esports +208 Elo
Impact
19%
G2 Esports
3
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
G2 Esports +0.296
Impact
10.6%
G2 Esports
4
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Team Vitality +80
Impact
9.8%
Team Vitality
5
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Team Vitality +12
Team Vitality leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward G2 Esports.
Impact
7.3%
Counts for G2 Esports
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
G2 Esports +40% WR
G2 Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Vitality.
Impact
6.2%
Counts for Team Vitality
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
G2 Esports +69
Impact
5%
G2 Esports
8
H2HWin Rate Weighted
G2 Esports +43.8% WR
G2 Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Vitality.
Impact
4.6%
Counts for Team Vitality
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
G2 Esports +11.1%
G2 Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Vitality.
Impact
3.8%
Counts for Team Vitality
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Win Rate
G2 Esports +12.5% WR
Impact
3.5%
G2 Esports
Scouting Report
Team Vitality
BLUE
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
G2 Esports
RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (63%)
Better dragon control