LECPlayoffs

Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere - LEC

Movistar KOI Movistar KOI3-1
VS
1-1Natus Vincere Natus Vincere
Sep 18, 15:00·Bo5

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Series Predictions
Movistar KOI
Natus Vincere
FastTree · free model
Movistar KOI67.5% Natus Vincere32.5%
Head-to-Head & Form
Movistar KOI
Elo Rating 1647
Tournament Record 3-1 (9-6)
Overall Record 141W - 132L (51.6%)
Current Streak 4L
H2H Win Rate 70.8%
VS
Natus Vincere
Elo Rating 1502
Tournament Record 1-1 (4-5)
Overall Record 47W - 53L (47%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 29.2%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Movistar KOI +72
Movistar KOI leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Natus Vincere.
Impact 28.2%
Counts for Natus Vincere The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Win Rate
Movistar KOI +4.6% WR
Impact 11.5%
Movistar KOI
3
Head-to-Head History
Movistar KOI +41.7% WR
Impact 10.9%
Movistar KOI
4
Elo Rating
Movistar KOI +146 Elo
Impact 10.8%
Movistar KOI
5
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Natus Vincere +18
Natus Vincere leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Movistar KOI.
Impact 7.5%
Counts for Movistar KOI The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Opponent Avg Elo
Natus Vincere +0.003
Natus Vincere leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Movistar KOI.
Impact 6.6%
Counts for Movistar KOI The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Movistar KOI +19.8% expected WR
Impact 5.7%
Movistar KOI
8
History Depth
Movistar KOI +0
Movistar KOI leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Natus Vincere.
Impact 4.3%
Counts for Natus Vincere The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Movistar KOI +153
Impact 3.3%
Movistar KOI
10
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Movistar KOI +9.6%
Impact 2%
Movistar KOI
Scouting Report
Movistar KOI BLUE
Higher rated overall
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Natus Vincere RED
Well-rounded profile