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Series Predictions
Movistar KOIKarmine Corp
FastTree
· free model
Movistar KOI28.8%
Karmine Corp71.2%
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Head-to-Head & Form
Movistar KOIElo Rating
1616
Tournament Record
3-1
(9-6)
Overall Record
141W - 134L (51.3%)
Current Streak
6L
H2H Win Rate
37.1%
VS
Karmine CorpElo Rating
1857
Tournament Record
1-2
(4-7)
Overall Record
162W - 98L (62.3%)
Current Streak
4W
H2H Win Rate
62.9%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Karmine Corp +241 Elo
Impact
22.6%
Karmine Corp
2
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Karmine Corp +4%
Karmine Corp leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Movistar KOI.
Impact
18.9%
Counts for Movistar KOI
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Karmine Corp +30% expected WR
Impact
12.8%
Karmine Corp
4
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Karmine Corp +0.092
Impact
8.5%
Karmine Corp
5
Head-to-Head History
Karmine Corp +25.8% WR
Impact
8.5%
Karmine Corp
6
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Karmine Corp +421
Karmine Corp leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Movistar KOI.
Impact
7%
Counts for Movistar KOI
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Karmine Corp +79
Impact
5.6%
Karmine Corp
8
Opponent Avg Elo
Movistar KOI +0
Movistar KOI leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Karmine Corp.
Impact
5.5%
Counts for Karmine Corp
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Karmine Corp +14
Impact
2.8%
Karmine Corp
10
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
Karmine Corp +80% WR
Karmine Corp leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Movistar KOI.
Impact
1.9%
Counts for Movistar KOI
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Movistar KOI
BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Karmine Corp
RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (62%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Better dragon control