Sep 19, 15:00·Bo5
Series Edge
Premium
Bo5Patch 16.17Updates after every game
Movistar KOIBetter draft expected
Premium
Better draft expectedWhich roster is expected to get the better draft on this patch, from pool depth and the current meta. A house read, not any single model's number.
See which side, and whether the market agrees
Karmine CorpHighest impact champions this seriesPremium
Highest impact champions this series
The five champions that swing this series most, with who plays them and how it has gone.
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Series Predictions
Movistar KOIKarmine Corp
FastTree
· free model
Movistar KOI24.8%
Karmine Corp75.2%
Head-to-Head & Form
Movistar KOIElo Rating
1729
Tournament Record
3-0
(9-3)
Overall Record
139W - 125L (52.7%)
Current Streak
6W
H2H Win Rate
40.6%
VS
Karmine CorpElo Rating
1714
Tournament Record
1-2
(4-7)
Overall Record
148W - 94L (61.2%)
Current Streak
4L
H2H Win Rate
59.4%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Karmine Corp +83
Karmine Corp leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Movistar KOI.
Impact
13.5%
Counts for Movistar KOI
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Movistar KOI +13
Movistar KOI leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Karmine Corp.
Impact
11.8%
Counts for Karmine Corp
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Head-to-Head History
Karmine Corp +18.7% WR
Impact
11.1%
Karmine Corp
4
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Karmine Corp +0.109
Impact
9.9%
Karmine Corp
5
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Movistar KOI +6
Movistar KOI leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Karmine Corp.
Impact
9.9%
Counts for Karmine Corp
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
H2HWin Rate Weighted
Karmine Corp +18.7% WR
Impact
6.3%
Karmine Corp
7
Elo Rating
Movistar KOI +15 Elo
Movistar KOI leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Karmine Corp.
Impact
6.3%
Counts for Karmine Corp
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Karmine Corp +62
Impact
5.8%
Karmine Corp
9
Win Streak
Movistar KOI +10 games
Impact
5.5%
Movistar KOI
10
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Movistar KOI +2.2% expected WR
Movistar KOI leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Karmine Corp.
Impact
5.4%
Counts for Karmine Corp
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Movistar KOI
BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Karmine Corp
RED
Stronger win record (61%)
Better dragon control