Series Predictions
DignitasSentinels
FastTreeBest in LCSBest for confidence
15.6%
84.4%
LightGBM
Premium
PCA Sweep
Premium
FastTree
Best in LCSBest for confidence
Series Prediction Accuracy for LCS
75%
9/12
Accuracy for confidence level
Accuracy for confidence levelHow accurate this model has been across ALL leagues when it predicts with this level of confidence. Thresholds: 55%+, 60%+, 70%+, 80%+. This is not league-specific.
82%
121/147
Market · Series prelive
Dignitas
4.50
·
Sentinels
1.16
Dignitas
4.50
·
Dignitas
Market Odds
4.50
1.16
FastTree
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LightGBM
Premium
PCA Sweep
Premium
Consensus
ConsensusConsensus = unweighted average of FastTree, LightGBM, and PCA Sweep (each already calibrated and weighted).
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Head-to-Head & Form
Dignitas
Elo Rating
1254
Tournament Record
—
Overall Record
15W - 48L (23.8%)
Current Streak
5L
H2H Win Rate
28.1%
VS
Sentinels
Elo Rating
1432
Tournament Record
0-1
(0-3)
Overall Record
22W - 29L (43.1%)
Current Streak
3L
H2H Win Rate
71.9%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Expected Win Rate
Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
+23.6% expected WR
Impact
18.6%
Sentinels
2
Elo Rating
+178 Elo
Impact
18%
Sentinels
3
Objective Control
Objective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
+493
Impact
13.6%
Sentinels
4
Win Rate
+19.3% WR
Impact
11.8%
Sentinels
5
Team Strength
Team StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
+711
Impact
10.4%
Sentinels
6
Head-to-Head History
+43.8% WR
Impact
8.8%
Sentinels
7
Elo Composite
Elo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
+51
Impact
3.2%
Sentinels
8
Combat Power
Combat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
+47
Impact
2.1%
Sentinels
Scouting Report
Dignitas
BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Sentinels
RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (43%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)