LCSWeek 7

Sentinels vs Dignitas - LCS

Sentinels Sentinels0-1
VS
Dignitas Dignitas
May 17, 20:00·Bo3
Series Predictions
Sentinels
Dignitas
FastTree · free model
Sentinels86.9% Dignitas13.1%
Head-to-Head & Form
Sentinels
Elo Rating 1426
Tournament Record 0-1 (0-3)
Overall Record 41W - 45L (47.7%)
Current Streak 5L
H2H Win Rate 67.0%
VS
Dignitas
Elo Rating 1132
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 18W - 66L (21.4%)
Current Streak 8L
H2H Win Rate 33.0%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Sentinels +294 Elo
Impact 32%
Sentinels
2
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Sentinels +34.5% expected WR
Impact 15%
Sentinels
3
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Sentinels +0.091
Sentinels leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Dignitas.
Impact 13.1%
Counts for Dignitas The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Sentinels +180
Impact 11.7%
Sentinels
5
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Sentinels +878
Impact 8.8%
Sentinels
6
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Sentinels +695
Impact 7.5%
Sentinels
7
Opponent Avg Elo
Sentinels +0.091
Impact 5.2%
Sentinels
8
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Sentinels +21.1%
Impact 3.6%
Sentinels
9
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Sentinels +134
Impact 1.6%
Sentinels
10
Win Rate
Sentinels +26.2% WR
Impact 1.1%
Sentinels
Scouting Report
Sentinels BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (48%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Better vision control
Dignitas RED
Well-rounded profile