LCSPlayoffs
Series Predictions
Shopify RebellionTeam Liquid Alienware

FastTreeBest in LCSBest for confidence
16.4%
83.6%
LightGBM
Premium
PCA Sweep
Premium
FastTree
Best in LCSBest for confidence
Series Prediction Accuracy for LCS
79%
11/14
Accuracy for confidence level
Accuracy for confidence levelHow accurate this model has been across ALL leagues when it predicts with this level of confidence. Thresholds: 55%+, 60%+, 70%+, 80%+. This is not league-specific.
82%
121/147
Market · Series prelive
Shopify Rebellion
8.00
·
Team Liquid Alienware
1.06
Shopify Rebellion
8.00
·
Team Liquid Alienware
1.06
Shopify Rebellion
Team Liquid AlienwareMarket Odds
8.00
1.06
FastTree
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LightGBM
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PCA Sweep
Premium
Consensus
ConsensusConsensus = unweighted average of FastTree, LightGBM, and PCA Sweep (each already calibrated and weighted).
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Head-to-Head & Form
Shopify Rebellion
Elo Rating
1342
Tournament Record
0-1
(0-3)
Overall Record
31W - 56L (35.6%)
Current Streak
3L
H2H Win Rate
23.2%
VS
Team Liquid
Elo Rating
1532
Tournament Record
1-1
(5-3)
Overall Record
56W - 51L (52.3%)
Current Streak
3W
H2H Win Rate
76.8%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
+190 Elo
Impact
19.8%
Team Liquid
2
Expected Win Rate
Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
+24.9% expected WR
Impact
19.8%
Team Liquid
3
Team Strength
Team StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
+773
Impact
18.9%
Team Liquid
4
Head-to-Head History
+53.5% WR
Impact
10.8%
Team Liquid
5
Vision Control
Vision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
+450
Impact
7.5%
Team Liquid
6
Win Streak
+6 games
Impact
6.5%
Team Liquid
7
Combat Power
Combat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
+110
Impact
3%
Team Liquid
Scouting Report
Shopify Rebellion
BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Team Liquid
RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (52%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Better vision control