LCSPlayoffs
Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid Alienware - LCS
May 31, 20:00·Bo5
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Series Predictions
Shopify RebellionTeam Liquid Alienware


FastTree
· free model
Shopify Rebellion11.3%
Team Liquid Alienware88.7%
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Head-to-Head & Form
Shopify RebellionElo Rating
1416
Tournament Record
2-2
(7-10)
Overall Record
49W - 85L (36.6%)
Current Streak
2W
H2H Win Rate
27.1%
VS
Team LiquidElo Rating
1781
Tournament Record
3-0
(9-2)
Overall Record
98W - 72L (57.6%)
Current Streak
1W
H2H Win Rate
72.9%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Team Liquid +365 Elo
Impact
35.3%
Team Liquid
2
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Team Liquid +39.1% expected WR
Impact
18.3%
Team Liquid
3
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Team Liquid +13.6%
Impact
8.6%
Team Liquid
4
Win Streak
Shopify Rebellion +1 games
Impact
7.5%
Shopify Rebellion
5
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Team Liquid +1210
Impact
6.9%
Team Liquid
6
Opponent Avg Elo
Team Liquid +0.045
Impact
4.7%
Team Liquid
7
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Team Liquid +748
Impact
4%
Team Liquid
8
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Team Liquid +181
Team Liquid leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Shopify Rebellion.
Impact
3.7%
Counts for Shopify Rebellion
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Head-to-Head History
Team Liquid +45.8% WR
Impact
3.7%
Team Liquid
10
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Team Liquid +227
Impact
2.3%
Team Liquid
Scouting Report
Shopify Rebellion
BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Team Liquid
RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (58%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output