LCSPlayoffs
VS
May 31, 20:00
Bo5
Series Predictions
Shopify Rebellion
Team Liquid Alienware
FastTreeBest in LCSBest for confidence
16.4%
83.6%
LightGBM
PCA Sweep
FastTree Best in LCSBest for confidence
Series Prediction Accuracy for LCS 79% 11/14
Accuracy for confidence level Accuracy for confidence levelHow accurate this model has been across ALL leagues when it predicts with this level of confidence. Thresholds: 55%+, 60%+, 70%+, 80%+. This is not league-specific. 82% 121/147
Market · Series prelive
Shopify Rebellion 8.00 · Team Liquid Alienware 1.06
Shopify Rebellion Team Liquid Alienware
Market Odds 8.00 1.06
LightGBM Premium
PCA Sweep Premium
Consensus ConsensusConsensus = unweighted average of FastTree, LightGBM, and PCA Sweep (each already calibrated and weighted). Premium
Head-to-Head & Form
Shopify Rebellion
Elo Rating 1342
Tournament Record 0-1 (0-3)
Overall Record 31W - 56L (35.6%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 23.2%
VS
Team Liquid
Elo Rating 1532
Tournament Record 1-1 (5-3)
Overall Record 56W - 51L (52.3%)
Current Streak 3W
H2H Win Rate 76.8%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
+190 Elo
Impact 19.8% Team Liquid
2
Expected Win Rate Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
+24.9% expected WR
Impact 19.8% Team Liquid
3
Team Strength Team StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
+773
Impact 18.9% Team Liquid
4
Head-to-Head History
+53.5% WR
Impact 10.8% Team Liquid
5
Vision Control Vision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
+450
Impact 7.5% Team Liquid
6
Win Streak
+6 games
Impact 6.5% Team Liquid
7
Combat Power Combat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
+110
Impact 3% Team Liquid
Scouting Report
Shopify Rebellion BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Team Liquid RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (52%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Better vision control