LCSPlayoffs

Team Liquid Alienware vs FlyQuest - LCS

Team Liquid Alienware Team Liquid Alienware3-0
VS
1-2FlyQuest FlyQuest
Jun 6, 20:00·Bo5

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Series Predictions
Team Liquid Alienware
FlyQuest
FastTree · free model
Team Liquid Alienware44.6% FlyQuest55.4%
Head-to-Head & Form
Team Liquid
Elo Rating 1781
Tournament Record 3-0 (9-2)
Overall Record 98W - 72L (57.6%)
Current Streak 1W
H2H Win Rate 62.9%
VS
FlyQuest
Elo Rating 1495
Tournament Record 1-2 (5-6)
Overall Record 113W - 78L (59.2%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 37.1%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Team Liquid +175
Team Liquid leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward FlyQuest.
Impact 39.8%
Counts for FlyQuest The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Elo Rating
Team Liquid +287 Elo
Impact 12.7%
Team Liquid
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Team Liquid +33.9% expected WR
Impact 8.1%
Team Liquid
4
Win Rate
FlyQuest +1.5% WR
Impact 7.1%
FlyQuest
5
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Team Liquid +111
Impact 5.3%
Team Liquid
6
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
FlyQuest +1.6%
Impact 4.7%
FlyQuest
7
Head-to-Head History
Team Liquid +25.9% WR
Impact 4.1%
Team Liquid
8
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Team Liquid +628
Impact 3.9%
Team Liquid
9
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
Team Liquid +40% WR
Team Liquid leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward FlyQuest.
Impact 3.6%
Counts for FlyQuest The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
FlyQuest +0.028
FlyQuest leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Liquid.
Impact 3.3%
Counts for Team Liquid The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Team Liquid BLUE
Higher rated overall
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Stronger first tower pressure
FlyQuest RED
Well-rounded profile