LCSPlayoffs
Team Liquid Alienware1-1
VS
Jun 6, 20:00
Bo5
FlyQuest1-1
Series Predictions
Team Liquid Alienware
FlyQuest
FastTreeBest in LCSBest for confidence
35.0%
65.0%
LightGBM
Premium
PCA Sweep
Premium
FastTree Best in LCSBest for confidence
Series Prediction Accuracy for LCS 79% 11/14
Accuracy for confidence level Accuracy for confidence levelHow accurate this model has been across ALL leagues when it predicts with this level of confidence. Thresholds: 55%+, 60%+, 70%+, 80%+. This is not league-specific. 71% 206/290
Market · Series prelive
Team Liquid Alienware 2.25 · FlyQuest 1.57
Team Liquid Alienware FlyQuest
Market Odds 2.25 1.57
FastTree Sign in to see
LightGBM! Uncertain — this model favours its pick by less than 55% (close to a coin flip). Low-conviction call; weight it accordingly. Premium
PCA Sweep! Uncertain — this model favours its pick by less than 55% (close to a coin flip). Low-conviction call; weight it accordingly. Premium
Consensus ConsensusConsensus = unweighted average of FastTree, LightGBM, and PCA Sweep (each already calibrated and weighted). Premium
Head-to-Head & Form
Team Liquid
Elo Rating 1532
Tournament Record 1-1 (5-3)
Overall Record 56W - 51L (52.3%)
Current Streak 3W
H2H Win Rate 46.5%
VS
FlyQuest
Elo Rating 1585
Tournament Record 1-1 (5-3)
Overall Record 85W - 47L (64.4%)
Current Streak 3W
H2H Win Rate 53.5%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Vision Control Vision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
+245
Impact 35% Team Liquid
2
Win Rate
+12.1% WR
Impact 13% FlyQuest
3
Elo Rating
+53 Elo
Impact 12.1% FlyQuest
4
Expected Win Rate Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
+7.6% expected WR
Impact 11.7% FlyQuest
5
Early Game Early GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
+116
Impact 10.7% FlyQuest
6
Combat Power Combat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
+80
Impact 4.8% FlyQuest
7
Elo Composite Elo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
+20
Impact 4.6% FlyQuest
8
Team Strength Team StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
+106
Impact 3% FlyQuest
9
Objective Control Objective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
+63
Impact 3% FlyQuest
10
Head-to-Head History
+7% WR
Impact 2.2% FlyQuest
Scouting Report
Team Liquid BLUE
Higher first blood rate
FlyQuest RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (64%)