LCSPlayoffs
Team Liquid Alienware vs Cloud9 Kia - LCS
Jun 13, 20:00·Bo5
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Series Predictions
Team Liquid AlienwareCloud9 Kia
FastTree
· free model
Team Liquid Alienware36.8%
Cloud9 Kia63.2%
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Head-to-Head & Form
Team LiquidElo Rating
1781
Tournament Record
3-0
(9-2)
Overall Record
98W - 72L (57.6%)
Current Streak
1W
H2H Win Rate
60.6%
VS
Cloud9Elo Rating
1612
Tournament Record
2-2
(8-7)
Overall Record
106W - 73L (59.2%)
Current Streak
2L
H2H Win Rate
39.4%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
Contrarian call - fading the favorite
No single stat favors Cloud9. Team Liquid leads nearly every metric below, but the model reads that profile as one that tends to lose here - so it favors Cloud9 anyway. The rows below are the Team Liquid edges the model weighs against, not reasons Cloud9 is ahead.
1
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Team Liquid +74
Team Liquid leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Cloud9.
Impact
56.2%
Counts for Cloud9
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Elo Rating
Team Liquid +170 Elo
Impact
9.4%
Team Liquid
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Team Liquid +22.6% expected WR
Impact
5.6%
Team Liquid
4
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Team Liquid +232
Team Liquid leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Cloud9.
Impact
5.6%
Counts for Cloud9
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Win Rate
Cloud9 +1.6% WR
Cloud9 leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Liquid.
Impact
4.8%
Counts for Team Liquid
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Team Liquid +0.028
Impact
3.7%
Team Liquid
7
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Cloud9 +360
Cloud9 leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Liquid.
Impact
3.5%
Counts for Team Liquid
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Head-to-Head History
Team Liquid +21.2% WR
Impact
3.4%
Team Liquid
9
Opponent Avg Elo
Team Liquid +0.028
Impact
1.6%
Team Liquid
10
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Team Liquid +446
Impact
1.6%
Team Liquid
Scouting Report
Team Liquid
BLUE
Higher rated overall
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Stronger first tower pressure
Cloud9
RED
Well-rounded profile