LCSWeek 1

Dignitas vs Sentinels - LCS

Jul 25, 23:00·Bo3
Series Predictions
Dignitas
Sentinels
FastTree · free model
Dignitas11.4% Sentinels88.6%
Head-to-Head & Form
Dignitas
Elo Rating 1132
Tournament Record
Overall Record 18W - 66L (21.4%)
Current Streak 8L
H2H Win Rate 33.1%
VS
Sentinels
Elo Rating 1426
Tournament Record 0-1 (0-3)
Overall Record 41W - 45L (47.7%)
Current Streak 5L
H2H Win Rate 66.9%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Sentinels +294 Elo
Impact 38.2%
Sentinels
2
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Sentinels +34.5% expected WR
Impact 22.7%
Sentinels
3
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Sentinels +0.091
Sentinels leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Dignitas.
Impact 8.8%
Counts for Dignitas The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Sentinels +695
Impact 7.9%
Sentinels
5
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Sentinels +878
Impact 7.7%
Sentinels
6
Opponent Avg Elo
Sentinels +0.091
Impact 4.2%
Sentinels
7
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Sentinels +52
Impact 2.6%
Sentinels
8
Win Streak
Sentinels +3 games
Sentinels leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Dignitas.
Impact 2.6%
Counts for Dignitas The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Sentinels +21.1%
Impact 2.4%
Sentinels
10
Win Rate
Sentinels +26.2% WR
Impact 1.3%
Sentinels
Scouting Report
Dignitas BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Sentinels RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (48%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Better vision control