LCSWeek 5

Disguised vs Sentinels - LCS

Aug 23, 20:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
Disguised
Sentinels
FastTree · free model
Disguised20.6% Sentinels79.4%
Head-to-Head & Form
Disguised
Elo Rating 1247
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 26W - 64L (28.9%)
Current Streak 4L
H2H Win Rate 40.5%
VS
Sentinels
Elo Rating 1383
Tournament Record 0-2 (2-6)
Overall Record 43W - 48L (47.3%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 59.5%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Sentinels +0.021
Sentinels leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Disguised.
Impact 13.9%
Counts for Disguised The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Sentinels +722
Impact 13.6%
Sentinels
3
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Sentinels +972
Impact 11%
Sentinels
4
Head-to-Head History
Sentinels +19.1% WR
Impact 9.5%
Sentinels
5
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Sentinels +18.6% expected WR
Impact 7.5%
Sentinels
6
H2HWin Rate Weighted
Sentinels +19.1% WR
Sentinels leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Disguised.
Impact 6.7%
Counts for Disguised The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Sentinels +42
Impact 6.5%
Sentinels
8
Win Rate
Sentinels +18.4% WR
Impact 6.4%
Sentinels
9
Elo Rating
Sentinels +136 Elo
Impact 5.7%
Sentinels
10
Opponent Avg Elo
Sentinels +0.021
Impact 5.2%
Sentinels
Scouting Report
Disguised BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Sentinels RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (47%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Better vision control