LCSWeek 5

Sentinels vs FlyQuest - LCS

Sentinels Sentinels0-2
VS
1-2FlyQuest FlyQuest
Aug 22, 20:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
Sentinels
FlyQuest
FastTree · free model
Uncertain
Sentinels46.0% FlyQuest54.0%
Head-to-Head & Form
Sentinels
Elo Rating 1383
Tournament Record 0-2 (2-6)
Overall Record 43W - 48L (47.3%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 47.6%
VS
FlyQuest
Elo Rating 1495
Tournament Record 1-2 (5-6)
Overall Record 113W - 78L (59.2%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 52.4%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
FlyQuest +15.6% expected WR
FlyQuest leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Sentinels.
Impact 23.4%
Counts for Sentinels The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
FlyQuest +4.5%
FlyQuest leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Sentinels.
Impact 22.6%
Counts for Sentinels The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Head-to-Head History
FlyQuest +4.8% WR
Impact 11.6%
FlyQuest
4
Win Rate
FlyQuest +11.9% WR
Impact 7.2%
FlyQuest
5
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Sentinels +391
Sentinels leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward FlyQuest.
Impact 6%
Counts for FlyQuest The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Elo Rating
FlyQuest +112 Elo
Impact 4.4%
FlyQuest
7
Opponent Avg Elo
FlyQuest +0.15
Impact 4.3%
FlyQuest
8
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
FlyQuest +0.15
Impact 3.5%
FlyQuest
9
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
FlyQuest +92
Impact 3.4%
FlyQuest
10
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
FlyQuest +41
Impact 3.3%
FlyQuest
Scouting Report
Sentinels BLUE
Better vision control
FlyQuest RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (59%)
Stronger first tower pressure