LCSWeek 4

LYON vs Sentinels - LCS

LYON LYON
VS
0-1Sentinels Sentinels
Aug 16, 23:00·Bo3
Series Predictions
LYON
Sentinels
FastTree · free model
LYON85.8% Sentinels14.2%
Head-to-Head & Form
LYON
Elo Rating 1774
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 79W - 60L (56.8%)
Current Streak 6W
H2H Win Rate 56.3%
VS
Sentinels
Elo Rating 1426
Tournament Record 0-1 (0-3)
Overall Record 41W - 45L (47.7%)
Current Streak 5L
H2H Win Rate 43.7%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
LYON +348 Elo
Impact 35.2%
LYON
2
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
LYON +38.1% expected WR
Impact 15.9%
LYON
3
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
LYON +155
Impact 11.7%
LYON
4
Opponent Avg Elo
LYON +0.149
Impact 9%
LYON
5
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
LYON +103
LYON leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Sentinels.
Impact 6%
Counts for Sentinels The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
LYON +0.2%
LYON leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Sentinels.
Impact 5.8%
Counts for Sentinels The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Win Streak
LYON +11 games
Impact 5.7%
LYON
8
Win Rate
LYON +9.2% WR
Impact 5%
LYON
9
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
LYON +0.149
Impact 1.4%
LYON
10
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
LYON +498
LYON leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Sentinels.
Impact 1.1%
Counts for Sentinels The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
LYON BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (57%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output
Sentinels RED
Well-rounded profile