LCSWeek 4

LYON vs Sentinels - LCS

LYON LYON2-2
VS
0-2Sentinels Sentinels
Aug 16, 23:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
LYON
Sentinels
FastTree · free model
LYON83.4% Sentinels16.6%
Head-to-Head & Form
LYON
Elo Rating 1751
Tournament Record 2-2 (8-8)
Overall Record 93W - 73L (56%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 55.8%
VS
Sentinels
Elo Rating 1383
Tournament Record 0-2 (2-6)
Overall Record 43W - 48L (47.3%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 44.2%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
LYON +368 Elo
Impact 23.5%
LYON
2
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
LYON +159
Impact 16.8%
LYON
3
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
LYON +25
LYON leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Sentinels.
Impact 14.6%
Counts for Sentinels The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
LYON +39.3% expected WR
Impact 11%
LYON
5
Opponent Avg Elo
LYON +0.227
Impact 10.8%
LYON
6
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
LYON +0.227
Impact 10.6%
LYON
7
Head-to-Head History
LYON +11.7% WR
Impact 6.7%
LYON
8
Win Streak
LYON +5 games
LYON leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Sentinels.
Impact 1.9%
Counts for Sentinels The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
LYON +2.6%
Impact 1.7%
LYON
Scouting Report
LYON BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (56%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Sentinels RED
Better vision control