LCSWeek 3

Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion - LCS

Aug 8, 23:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
Sentinels
Shopify Rebellion
FastTree · free model
Sentinels74.4% Shopify Rebellion25.6%
Head-to-Head & Form
Sentinels
Elo Rating 1383
Tournament Record 0-2 (2-6)
Overall Record 43W - 48L (47.3%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 47.6%
VS
Shopify Rebellion
Elo Rating 1416
Tournament Record 2-2 (7-10)
Overall Record 49W - 85L (36.6%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 52.4%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Sentinels +503
Impact 20.2%
Sentinels
2
Elo Rating
Shopify Rebellion +33 Elo
Shopify Rebellion leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Sentinels.
Impact 12.8%
Counts for Sentinels The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Sentinels +525
Impact 11.7%
Sentinels
4
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Sentinels +350
Impact 11.3%
Sentinels
5
Win Rate
Sentinels +10.7% WR
Sentinels leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Shopify Rebellion.
Impact 6.1%
Counts for Shopify Rebellion The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Sentinels +425
Sentinels leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Shopify Rebellion.
Impact 6.1%
Counts for Shopify Rebellion The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Sentinels +114
Impact 6%
Sentinels
8
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Shopify Rebellion +4.8% expected WR
Shopify Rebellion leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Sentinels.
Impact 5.8%
Counts for Sentinels The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
H2HWin Rate Weighted
Shopify Rebellion +4.8% WR
Shopify Rebellion leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Sentinels.
Impact 4.3%
Counts for Sentinels The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Shopify Rebellion +0.078
Impact 3.4%
Shopify Rebellion
Scouting Report
Sentinels BLUE
Stronger win record (47%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better vision control
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Stronger first tower pressure
Shopify Rebellion RED
Higher rated overall