LCSWeek 2

Team Liquid Alienware vs Sentinels - LCS

Team Liquid Alienware Team Liquid Alienware3-0
VS
0-2Sentinels Sentinels
Aug 2, 23:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
Team Liquid Alienware
Sentinels
FastTree · free model
Team Liquid Alienware78.1% Sentinels21.9%
Head-to-Head & Form
Team Liquid
Elo Rating 1725
Tournament Record 3-0 (9-2)
Overall Record 101W - 76L (57.1%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 59.6%
VS
Sentinels
Elo Rating 1383
Tournament Record 0-2 (2-6)
Overall Record 43W - 48L (47.3%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 40.4%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Team Liquid +342 Elo
Impact 22.8%
Team Liquid
2
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Team Liquid +155
Impact 16.2%
Team Liquid
3
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Team Liquid +219
Team Liquid leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Sentinels.
Impact 12.5%
Counts for Sentinels The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Team Liquid +37.8% expected WR
Impact 10.2%
Team Liquid
5
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Team Liquid +0.139
Impact 8.7%
Team Liquid
6
Opponent Avg Elo
Team Liquid +0.139
Impact 7.9%
Team Liquid
7
Head-to-Head History
Team Liquid +19.2% WR
Impact 6.9%
Team Liquid
8
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Sentinels +146
Impact 4.5%
Sentinels
9
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Team Liquid +3.1%
Team Liquid leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Sentinels.
Impact 4.1%
Counts for Sentinels The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Win Rate
Team Liquid +9.8% WR
Impact 3.6%
Team Liquid
Scouting Report
Team Liquid BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (57%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Stronger first tower pressure
Sentinels RED
Well-rounded profile