LCSWeek 2

Team Liquid Alienware vs Sentinels - LCS

Team Liquid Alienware Team Liquid Alienware
VS
0-2Sentinels Sentinels
Aug 2, 23:00·Bo3
Series Predictions
Team Liquid Alienware
Sentinels
FastTree · free model
Team Liquid Alienware81.3% Sentinels18.7%
Head-to-Head & Form
Team Liquid
Elo Rating 1697
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 89W - 70L (56%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 60.5%
VS
Sentinels
Elo Rating 1383
Tournament Record 0-2 (2-6)
Overall Record 43W - 48L (47.3%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 39.5%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Team Liquid +314 Elo
Impact 32.7%
Team Liquid
2
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Team Liquid +35.9% expected WR
Impact 15.8%
Team Liquid
3
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Team Liquid +2.9%
Team Liquid leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Sentinels.
Impact 12%
Counts for Sentinels The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Team Liquid +144
Impact 11.7%
Team Liquid
5
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Team Liquid +638
Impact 9.4%
Team Liquid
6
Opponent Avg Elo
Team Liquid +0.109
Impact 6.3%
Team Liquid
7
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Team Liquid +136
Team Liquid leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Sentinels.
Impact 4.3%
Counts for Sentinels The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Win Rate
Team Liquid +8.7% WR
Impact 2.5%
Team Liquid
9
Head-to-Head History
Team Liquid +20.9% WR
Team Liquid leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Sentinels.
Impact 1.4%
Counts for Sentinels The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Team Liquid +0.109
Impact 1%
Team Liquid
Scouting Report
Team Liquid BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (56%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output
Sentinels RED
Well-rounded profile