LCSWeek 3

Cloud9 Kia vs Disguised - LCS

Cloud9 Kia Cloud9 Kia2-2
VS
Disguised Disguised
Aug 8, 20:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
Cloud9 Kia
Disguised
FastTree · free model
Cloud9 Kia87.1% Disguised12.9%
Head-to-Head & Form
Cloud9
Elo Rating 1521
Tournament Record 2-2 (8-7)
Overall Record 107W - 76L (58.5%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 63.0%
VS
Disguised
Elo Rating 1247
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 26W - 64L (28.9%)
Current Streak 4L
H2H Win Rate 37.0%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Cloud9 +274 Elo
Impact 24.3%
Cloud9
2
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Cloud9 +178
Impact 22.4%
Cloud9
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Cloud9 +32.9% expected WR
Impact 12.6%
Cloud9
4
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Cloud9 +0.115
Cloud9 leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Disguised.
Impact 7.9%
Counts for Disguised The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Cloud9 +24.6%
Impact 6.5%
Cloud9
6
Opponent Avg Elo
Cloud9 +0.115
Impact 6%
Cloud9
7
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Cloud9 +1007
Impact 5.3%
Cloud9
8
Win Streak
Cloud9 +1 games
Cloud9 leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Disguised.
Impact 4.7%
Counts for Disguised The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Head-to-Head History
Cloud9 +26.1% WR
Impact 3.3%
Cloud9
10
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Cloud9 +757
Impact 3.2%
Cloud9
Scouting Report
Cloud9 BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (58%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Better vision control
Disguised RED
Well-rounded profile