LCSWeek 3

Cloud9 Kia vs Disguised - LCS

Cloud9 Kia Cloud9 Kia1-0
VS
Disguised Disguised
Aug 8, 20:00·Bo3
Series Predictions
Cloud9 Kia
Disguised
FastTree · free model
Cloud9 Kia88.6% Disguised11.4%
Head-to-Head & Form
Cloud9
Elo Rating 1571
Tournament Record 1-0 (3-0)
Overall Record 99W - 63L (61.1%)
Current Streak 6W
H2H Win Rate 64.1%
VS
Disguised
Elo Rating 1247
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 26W - 64L (28.9%)
Current Streak 4L
H2H Win Rate 35.9%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Cloud9 +324 Elo
Impact 32.7%
Cloud9
2
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Cloud9 +210
Impact 15.8%
Cloud9
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Cloud9 +36.6% expected WR
Impact 14.6%
Cloud9
4
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Cloud9 +0.07
Cloud9 leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Disguised.
Impact 11.4%
Counts for Disguised The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Cloud9 +1317
Impact 10.2%
Cloud9
6
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Cloud9 +916
Impact 6.2%
Cloud9
7
Opponent Avg Elo
Cloud9 +0.07
Impact 3.8%
Cloud9
8
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Cloud9 +24.3%
Impact 2.7%
Cloud9
9
Win Rate
Cloud9 +32.2% WR
Impact 1.2%
Cloud9
Scouting Report
Cloud9 BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (61%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Better vision control
Disguised RED
Well-rounded profile