LCSWeek 4

FlyQuest vs Cloud9 Kia - LCS

Aug 16, 20:00·Bo3
Series Predictions
FlyQuest
Cloud9 Kia
FastTree · free model
FlyQuest44.9% Cloud9 Kia55.1%
Head-to-Head & Form
FlyQuest
Elo Rating 1538
Tournament Record 1-0 (3-0)
Overall Record 103W - 65L (61.3%)
Current Streak 7W
H2H Win Rate 37.0%
VS
Cloud9
Elo Rating 1571
Tournament Record 1-0 (3-0)
Overall Record 99W - 63L (61.1%)
Current Streak 6W
H2H Win Rate 63.0%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
FlyQuest +0.123
Impact 27.4%
FlyQuest
2
Win Rate
FlyQuest +0.2% WR
FlyQuest leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Cloud9.
Impact 12.7%
Counts for Cloud9 The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Cloud9 +302
Cloud9 leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward FlyQuest.
Impact 7.8%
Counts for FlyQuest The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Elo Rating
Cloud9 +33 Elo
Impact 7.1%
Cloud9
5
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
FlyQuest +3.6%
FlyQuest leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Cloud9.
Impact 6.5%
Counts for Cloud9 The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Cloud9 +4.7% expected WR
Cloud9 leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward FlyQuest.
Impact 6.4%
Counts for FlyQuest The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Cloud9 +128
Impact 5.6%
Cloud9
8
Opponent Avg Elo
FlyQuest +0
FlyQuest leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Cloud9.
Impact 4.8%
Counts for Cloud9 The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Head-to-Head History
Cloud9 +26% WR
Impact 4.8%
Cloud9
10
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Cloud9 +80
Impact 4.3%
Cloud9
Scouting Report
FlyQuest BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Cloud9 RED
Higher rated overall
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Higher first blood rate