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Series Predictions
LYON


FastTree
· free model
Cloud9 Kia36.1%
LYON63.9%
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Head-to-Head & Form
Elo Rating
1521
Tournament Record
2-2
(8-7)
Overall Record
107W - 76L (58.5%)
Current Streak
3L
H2H Win Rate
44.0%
VS
LYONElo Rating
1751
Tournament Record
2-2
(8-8)
Overall Record
93W - 73L (56%)
Current Streak
2W
H2H Win Rate
56.0%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
LYON +230 Elo
Impact
19.6%
LYON
2
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
LYON +0.133
Impact
12%
LYON
3
Head-to-Head History
LYON +12% WR
Impact
10.9%
LYON
4
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Cloud9 +151
Impact
10%
Cloud9
5
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
LYON +29% expected WR
Impact
9.9%
LYON
6
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Cloud9 +32
Impact
6.9%
Cloud9
7
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
LYON +102
Impact
6.2%
LYON
8
Win Rate
Cloud9 +2.4% WR
Impact
6.1%
Cloud9
9
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Cloud9 +291
Impact
5.5%
Cloud9
10
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Cloud9 +2.3%
Impact
5.3%
Cloud9
Scouting Report
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better dragon control
LYON
RED
Higher rated overall