LCSWeek 1
Team Liquid Alienware vs Cloud9 Kia - LCS
Jul 26, 20:00·Bo3
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Series Predictions
Team Liquid AlienwareCloud9 Kia

FastTree
· free model
Team Liquid Alienware63.9%
Cloud9 Kia36.1%
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Head-to-Head & Form
Team LiquidElo Rating
1725
Tournament Record
3-0
(9-2)
Overall Record
101W - 76L (57.1%)
Current Streak
1L
H2H Win Rate
60.4%
VS
Elo Rating
1521
Tournament Record
2-2
(8-7)
Overall Record
107W - 76L (58.5%)
Current Streak
3L
H2H Win Rate
39.6%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Team Liquid +184
Team Liquid leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Cloud9.
Impact
30.1%
Counts for Cloud9
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Elo Rating
Team Liquid +204 Elo
Impact
20.4%
Team Liquid
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Team Liquid +26.4% expected WR
Impact
8.3%
Team Liquid
4
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Team Liquid +0.045
Impact
7.1%
Team Liquid
5
Opponent Avg Elo
Team Liquid +0.045
Impact
7%
Team Liquid
6
Head-to-Head History
Team Liquid +20.8% WR
Impact
6.7%
Team Liquid
7
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Team Liquid +87
Impact
6.4%
Team Liquid
8
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Team Liquid +253
Impact
2.2%
Team Liquid
9
History Depth
Team Liquid +0
Team Liquid leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Cloud9.
Impact
2.2%
Counts for Cloud9
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
Team Liquid +40% WR
Team Liquid leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Cloud9.
Impact
2%
Counts for Cloud9
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Team Liquid
BLUE
Higher rated overall
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger first tower pressure
Well-rounded profile