LCSWeek 1
Team Liquid Alienware vs Cloud9 Kia - LCS
Jul 26, 20:00·Bo3
Sign in to track this pick
Series Predictions
Team Liquid AlienwareCloud9 Kia
FastTree
· free model
Team Liquid Alienware70.6%
Cloud9 Kia29.4%
Head-to-Head & Form
Team LiquidElo Rating
1697
Tournament Record
–
Overall Record
89W - 70L (56%)
Current Streak
2W
H2H Win Rate
56.2%
VS
Cloud9Elo Rating
1571
Tournament Record
1-0
(3-0)
Overall Record
99W - 63L (61.1%)
Current Streak
6W
H2H Win Rate
43.8%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Head-to-Head History
Team Liquid +12.5% WR
Team Liquid leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Cloud9.
Impact
28%
Counts for Cloud9
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Elo Rating
Team Liquid +126 Elo
Impact
12.5%
Team Liquid
3
Win Rate
Cloud9 +5.1% WR
Cloud9 leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Liquid.
Impact
11%
Counts for Team Liquid
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Team Liquid +18
Impact
6.4%
Team Liquid
5
Opponent Avg Elo
Team Liquid +0.061
Impact
6.2%
Team Liquid
6
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Team Liquid +17.4% expected WR
Impact
6%
Team Liquid
7
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Team Liquid +0.061
Impact
6%
Team Liquid
8
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Cloud9 +1.7%
Cloud9 leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Liquid.
Impact
5.9%
Counts for Team Liquid
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Cloud9 +365
Cloud9 leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Liquid.
Impact
3%
Counts for Team Liquid
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Cloud9 +23
Cloud9 leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Liquid.
Impact
2.9%
Counts for Team Liquid
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Team Liquid
BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger first tower pressure
Cloud9
RED
Stronger win record (61%)