LCSWeek 1

Team Liquid Alienware vs Cloud9 Kia - LCS

Jul 26, 20:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
Team Liquid Alienware
Cloud9 Kia
FastTree · free model
Team Liquid Alienware63.9% Cloud9 Kia36.1%
Head-to-Head & Form
Team Liquid
Elo Rating 1725
Tournament Record 3-0 (9-2)
Overall Record 101W - 76L (57.1%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 60.4%
VS
Cloud9
Elo Rating 1521
Tournament Record 2-2 (8-7)
Overall Record 107W - 76L (58.5%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 39.6%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Team Liquid +184
Team Liquid leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Cloud9.
Impact 30.1%
Counts for Cloud9 The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Elo Rating
Team Liquid +204 Elo
Impact 20.4%
Team Liquid
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Team Liquid +26.4% expected WR
Impact 8.3%
Team Liquid
4
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Team Liquid +0.045
Impact 7.1%
Team Liquid
5
Opponent Avg Elo
Team Liquid +0.045
Impact 7%
Team Liquid
6
Head-to-Head History
Team Liquid +20.8% WR
Impact 6.7%
Team Liquid
7
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Team Liquid +87
Impact 6.4%
Team Liquid
8
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Team Liquid +253
Impact 2.2%
Team Liquid
9
History Depth
Team Liquid +0
Team Liquid leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Cloud9.
Impact 2.2%
Counts for Cloud9 The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
Team Liquid +40% WR
Team Liquid leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Cloud9.
Impact 2%
Counts for Cloud9 The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Team Liquid BLUE
Higher rated overall
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger first tower pressure
Cloud9 RED
Well-rounded profile