LCSWeek 5

Disguised vs Dignitas - LCS

Disguised Disguised
VS
Dignitas Dignitas
Aug 22, 23:00·Bo3
Series Predictions
Disguised
Dignitas
FastTree · free model
Uncertain
Disguised48.8% Dignitas51.2%
Head-to-Head & Form
Disguised
Elo Rating 1247
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 26W - 64L (28.9%)
Current Streak 4L
H2H Win Rate 72.4%
VS
Dignitas
Elo Rating 1132
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 18W - 66L (21.4%)
Current Streak 8L
H2H Win Rate 27.6%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
Contrarian call - fading the favorite
No single stat favors Dignitas. Disguised leads nearly every metric below, but the model reads that profile as one that tends to lose here - so it favors Dignitas anyway. The rows below are the Disguised edges the model weighs against, not reasons Dignitas is ahead.
1
History Depth
Disguised +0
Disguised leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Dignitas.
Impact 51.2%
Counts for Dignitas The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Elo Rating
Disguised +115 Elo
Impact 7.2%
Disguised
3
Win Rate
Disguised +7.5% WR
Impact 6.9%
Disguised
4
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Disguised +226
Impact 6.1%
Disguised
5
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Disguised +16% expected WR
Impact 4.7%
Disguised
6
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Disguised +0.041
Impact 3.7%
Disguised
7
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Disguised +235
Impact 2.8%
Disguised
8
Opponent Avg Elo
Disguised +0
Impact 2.8%
Disguised
9
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Disguised +1.4%
Impact 2.5%
Disguised
10
Win Streak
Disguised +4 games
Impact 2.5%
Disguised
Scouting Report
Disguised BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (29%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Higher first blood rate
Stronger first tower pressure
Dignitas RED
Well-rounded profile