LCSWeek 3

Dignitas vs LYON - LCS

Dignitas Dignitas
VS
2-2LYON LYON
Aug 9, 20:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
Dignitas
LYON
FastTree · free model
Dignitas12.9% LYON87.1%
Head-to-Head & Form
Dignitas
Elo Rating 1132
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 18W - 66L (21.4%)
Current Streak 8L
H2H Win Rate 34.0%
VS
LYON
Elo Rating 1751
Tournament Record 2-2 (8-8)
Overall Record 93W - 73L (56%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 66.0%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
LYON +619 Elo
Impact 37.3%
LYON
2
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
LYON +47.2% expected WR
Impact 19.9%
LYON
3
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
LYON +23.7%
Impact 7.8%
LYON
4
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
LYON +1287
Impact 6.7%
LYON
5
Opponent Avg Elo
LYON +0.289
Impact 3.8%
LYON
6
Head-to-Head History
LYON +32% WR
Impact 2.9%
LYON
7
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
LYON +0.289
Impact 2%
LYON
8
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
LYON +540
Impact 1.7%
LYON
9
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Dignitas +18
Dignitas leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward LYON.
Impact 1.5%
Counts for LYON The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
LYON +439
Impact 1.1%
LYON
Scouting Report
Dignitas BLUE
Well-rounded profile
LYON RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (56%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)