LCSWeek 3

Dignitas vs LYON - LCS

Dignitas Dignitas
VS
LYON LYON
Aug 9, 20:00·Bo3
Series Predictions
Dignitas
LYON
FastTree · free model
Dignitas11.4% LYON88.6%
Head-to-Head & Form
Dignitas
Elo Rating 1132
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 18W - 66L (21.4%)
Current Streak 8L
H2H Win Rate 32.6%
VS
LYON
Elo Rating 1774
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 79W - 60L (56.8%)
Current Streak 6W
H2H Win Rate 67.4%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
LYON +642 Elo
Impact 40.6%
LYON
2
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
LYON +47.6% expected WR
Impact 20.1%
LYON
3
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
LYON +1376
Impact 11.2%
LYON
4
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
LYON +798
Impact 6.1%
LYON
5
Opponent Avg Elo
Dignitas +0
Dignitas leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward LYON.
Impact 2.6%
Counts for LYON The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
LYON +21.2%
Impact 2.3%
LYON
7
Win Rate
LYON +35.4% WR
Impact 1.4%
LYON
8
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
LYON +0.24
Impact 1.4%
LYON
9
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Dignitas +28
Dignitas leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward LYON.
Impact 1.2%
Counts for LYON The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Dignitas BLUE
Well-rounded profile
LYON RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (57%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output