LCSWeek 4

Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas - LCS

Shopify Rebellion Shopify Rebellion0-1
VS
Dignitas Dignitas
Aug 15, 23:00·Bo3
Series Predictions
Shopify Rebellion
Dignitas
FastTree · free model
Shopify Rebellion75.8% Dignitas24.2%
Head-to-Head & Form
Shopify Rebellion
Elo Rating 1308
Tournament Record 0-1 (0-3)
Overall Record 39W - 73L (34.8%)
Current Streak 6L
H2H Win Rate 57.7%
VS
Dignitas
Elo Rating 1132
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 18W - 66L (21.4%)
Current Streak 8L
H2H Win Rate 42.3%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Shopify Rebellion +176 Elo
Impact 28.1%
Shopify Rebellion
2
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Shopify Rebellion +7.3%
Shopify Rebellion leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Dignitas.
Impact 20.1%
Counts for Dignitas The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Shopify Rebellion +23.4% expected WR
Impact 15%
Shopify Rebellion
4
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Shopify Rebellion +98
Impact 9.5%
Shopify Rebellion
5
Opponent Avg Elo
Shopify Rebellion +0.145
Impact 8.5%
Shopify Rebellion
6
Win Rate
Shopify Rebellion +13.4% WR
Impact 6.3%
Shopify Rebellion
7
History Depth
Shopify Rebellion +0
Shopify Rebellion leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Dignitas.
Impact 2.6%
Counts for Dignitas The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Shopify Rebellion +569
Impact 2.4%
Shopify Rebellion
9
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Shopify Rebellion +0.145
Impact 2.1%
Shopify Rebellion
10
H2HWin Rate Weighted
Shopify Rebellion +15.5% WR
Shopify Rebellion leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Dignitas.
Impact 1.5%
Counts for Dignitas The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Shopify Rebellion BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (35%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Stronger first tower pressure
Dignitas RED
Well-rounded profile