LCSWeek 7

Team Liquid Alienware vs Dignitas - LCS

Team Liquid Alienware Team Liquid Alienware3-0
VS
Dignitas Dignitas
Sep 5, 23:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
Team Liquid Alienware
Dignitas
FastTree · free model
Team Liquid Alienware89.9% Dignitas10.1%
Head-to-Head & Form
Team Liquid
Elo Rating 1725
Tournament Record 3-0 (9-2)
Overall Record 101W - 76L (57.1%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 68.1%
VS
Dignitas
Elo Rating 1132
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 18W - 66L (21.4%)
Current Streak 8L
H2H Win Rate 31.9%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Team Liquid +593 Elo
Impact 24.7%
Team Liquid
2
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Team Liquid +335
Impact 21.8%
Team Liquid
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Team Liquid +46.8% expected WR
Impact 13.7%
Team Liquid
4
Win Streak
Team Liquid +7 games
Team Liquid leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Dignitas.
Impact 9.2%
Counts for Dignitas The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Team Liquid +24.2%
Impact 7.1%
Team Liquid
6
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Team Liquid +1691
Impact 5.6%
Team Liquid
7
Opponent Avg Elo
Team Liquid +0.201
Impact 5.2%
Team Liquid
8
Head-to-Head History
Team Liquid +36.3% WR
Impact 3.1%
Team Liquid
9
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Team Liquid +756
Impact 3.1%
Team Liquid
10
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Team Liquid +0.201
Impact 1.9%
Team Liquid
Scouting Report
Team Liquid BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (57%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output
Dignitas RED
Well-rounded profile